Text Box: Wiser Trader Stocks and Options Newsletter
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Issue No. 60 – January 9, 2006                   Prescott, Arizona                    Systems@WiserTrader.com

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1.0   Trading

 

      Are the major averages engaged in a premature breakout or something more substantial?

 

1.1 Breakout

 

      A 2 year chart for the S&P 500 Index in Figure 1 shows the index protruding less than 1% above the upper trend line of a rising wedge formation, closing last week at 1,285.  The first 4 trading days of 2006 were substantially better than 2005. 

 

FIGURE 1

 

© 2005 WiserTrader.com, LLC.  Members of wisertrader.com are neither licensed brokers nor licensed advisors.   Trades discussed represent recommendations made by the editor for the wisertrader.com portfolio.  The newsletter and web site are for information only and should not be considered as personal advice.   While it is believed that the posted information is factual, mistakes can be made in transcription.  Investors should trade stocks only after verifying all information and consulting with a licensed broker or adviser.  WiserTrader.commarkets third party trading systems but has no other affiliation with trading system companies.

 

      This is a statistically interesting time.  It has been observed that when the first 5 trading days of January have been up, the index has gained an average of about 13% for the year.  The rule has held up about 85% of the time.  However, in midterm election years, such as the current one, the rule has held only 43% of the time. 

 

      A more robust rule, developed by Yale Hirsch in 1972, states that as the month of January goes, so goes the year.  This rule has better than 90% accuracy.  When the S&P January gain was around 3.6% or more, the rule has been accurate 100% of the time over the last 50 years. 

 

      However, the price of oil is rising once again and, by short term measures, the market is overbought.  The recent tendency for traders to sell into strength should not be overlooked.  Should the index fall back into the rising wedge formation, it would be bearish for the near term.  For now though, volume is higher than average and market breadth is good. 

 

 

1.2 Filter Studies

 

      Continuing with filter performance studies, the latest 1 year period is shown at the bottom of Table 1.  Details of the filters can be found on the web site. The objective of this portion of the analysis is to find the right parameter that describes how S&P 500 performance affects profits for the previous year.  Currently we are tracking filter performance with the previous month’s average index value relative to its mean 200 day simple moving average (SMA) for the previous month.  The correlation is promising.

 

 

Table 1

1 Year Filter Performance versus the S&P 500 Index

Using No Trailing Stop

Year Ending

Prior Year S&P 500

Prior Month Avg. S&P 500 Relative to its Mean 200 Day SMA

Growth $15-$40 Filter

Growth >$40 Filter

Absolute Value Filter

Relative Value Filter

9/02/05

9.4%

+2.5%

60.1%

40.7%

19.3%

50%

9/30/05

8.6%

+2.3%

25.4%

61.4%

12.3%

24.1

11/04/05

8.0%

-0.6%

8.2%

14.8%

4.4%

-0.6%

12/02/05

6.2%

+2.9%

24.6%

9.6%

17.0%

34.7%

01/06/06

8.2%

+4.5%

39.8%

50.3%

27.8%

28.3%

 

 

      As the index pulls away from its 200 day SMA, stocks are affected favorably.  As the index moves toward its 200 day SMA, stocks are affected adversely.  A more detailed look at this is obviously needed.

 

      It still amazes me how the previous month’s index activity has such a strong impact on a full year’s profits.  Clearly this is showing us the importance of an ability to anticipate the behavior of the S&P 500 Index.  The study will continue at 1 month intervals.

 

2.0 Market Analysis

 

      The fact that the anticipated repeat of the January 2005 sell off did not occur was met with relief.  The Fed’s December FOMC minutes, indicating a lower certainty of further rate increases, provided a rosier outlook for the economy in general and for stocks in particular.  A lower cap on interest rates increases the value of stocks and options in valuation models.

 

      Key industry ETF’s in Table 2A are Biotech and Semiconductors which confirm the NASDAQ.   Transportation confirms the Dow Jones Industrial Average according to Dow Theory.   Banking and Financials are confirming indicators for the S&P 500.  Gold and Real Estate are respective indicators for the inverse health of the currency (inflation) and the capacity for consumer spending. 

 

 

Table 2A

Indices, Key Industry ETF’s and Sector SPDR’s

 

 

1 month

1 wk ago

2 wks ago

3 wks ago

4 wks ago

Dow Jones Industrials

1.7%

2.3%

-1.5%

0.1%

0.9%

NASDAQ

2.2%

4.5%

-2.0%

-0.1%

-0.2%

S & P 500

2.1%

3.0%

-1.6%

0.1%

0.6%

Russell 2000

1.5%

3.9%

-1.9%

0.5%

-0.8%

GLD, GOLD

2.5%

4.1%

2.9%

0.1%

-4.4%

RKH, Banking

1.4%

2.2%

-2.3%

0.0%

1.5%

IYT, Transportation

2.2%

0.2%

-1.7%

2.7%

1.0%

SMH, Semiconductors

4.5%

8.2%

-3.1%

-0.6%

0.3%

BBH, Biotechnology

-0.8%

0.5%

-2.0%

2.3%

-1.5%

IYR, Real Estate

2.4%

4.8%

-1.8%

-1.1%

0.6%

OIH, Oil

4.9%

8.7%

-2.5%

1.4%

-2.3%

XLE, Energy

3.2%

6.3%

-1.8%

0.4%

-1.4%

XLU, Utilities

0.6%

2.5%

-1.4%

-1.5%

1.0%

XLB, Materials

3.9%

3.7%

-0.8%

2.4%

-1.4%

XLI, Industrial

1.0%

1.1%

-1.3%

0.5%

0.7%

XLK, Technology

0.8%

5.3%

-2.3%

-0.8%

-1.1%

XLV, Healthcare

4.4%

2.6%

-1.8%

1.9%

1.6%

XLF, Financials

1.8%

2.5%

-1.6%

0.7%

0.3%

XLP, Consumer Staples

0.6%

0.9%

-1.6%

-0.5%

1.9%

XLY, Consumer Discretionary

-0.1%

2.1%

-1.3%

-1.0%

0.1%


 

 

            Market sentiment is shown in Table 2B.

 

 

Table 2B

Market Sentiment

Sentiment Indicator

Current

Last Week

2 Weeks Ago

Complacent

Cautious

VIX **

11.0

12.1

10.3

< 20

> 50

VXN ***

15.0

14.3

13.6

< 30

> 70

Put/Call Ratio

0.583

0.503

0.514

< 0.6

> 0.7

%Bulls - %Bears

32.0%

39.6%

34.0%

> 29%

< 20%

**   Below 20 day SMA = Buy signal.

*** Above 20 day SMA = Sell signal.

 

 

 

 

 

      Figure 1 compares index tracking stocks for the major averages with key ETF’s and Sector SPDR’s.

 

 

 

 

FIGURE 1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 2C

Market Summary


 
 

 Major Indices 
 For the Past Week:
 Dow Jones     2.3%
 NASDAQ        4.5%
 S&P500 Index  3.0%
 Russell 2000  3.9%
 
 
 30 Year Bond 4.565%
 10 Year Note 4.379%
 
 
 Leading Industries
 For the Past Week:
 Internet 
 General Mining 
 Gold Mining 
 Oil Equipment & Services 
 Oil Equipment, Services & Dis 
 Telecommunications Equipt 
 Mining 
 Semiconductors 
 Platinum & Precious Metals
 Technology Hardware & Equipt          
 
 Lagging Industries
 For the Past Week:
 Railroads 
 Industrial Transportation 
 Home Improvement Retailers 
 Broadline Retailers 
 Footwear 
 Delivery Services 
 Distillers & Vintners 
 Real Estate 
          
 Leading Industries
 For the Past Month:
 Gold Mining 
 Internet 
 Mining 
 Tires 
 Pharmaceuticals 
 Mortgage Finance 
 General Mining 
 Oil Equipment & Services 
 Airlines 
 Oil Equipment, Services & Dis 
 
 Lagging Industries
 For the Past Month:
 Mobile Telecommunications 
 Home Improvement Retailers 
 Food Retailers & Wholesalers 
 Travel & Tourism 
 Specialty Retailers 
 Food & Drug Retailers 
 Computer Services 
 Drug Retailers 
 Clothing & Accessories 
 Recreational Services              
 
 Crude Oil $64.21
 
 Gold for the past 30 days:
 USD    +4.80%
 CAD    +5.54%
 CHF    +1.29%
 GBP    +2.66%
 EUR    +1.03%
 JPY    -0.97%


 

3.0 Procedure

 

      The following watch lists contain stock candidates for consideration.  They are not necessarily trades.  Categories include check lists for insider buying and cash rich companies, as well as, filters that employ stock picking methods used by master traders. 

 

      Current stock rankings are based on the degree to which stocks are overbought or over sold based on the 10-period Williams %R for the past two trading days.  Two columns are labeled “%R1” and “%R2” with “%R2” indicating the Williams %R for the most recent trading day.  Of course, values more negative than -80 are oversold and those less negative than -20 are overbought.

 

      A column labeled “Weekly % Gain” was added to show the inverse relationship between price action over the past week and the Williams %R. 

 

      One should keep in mind that oversold stocks are not necessarily ready to move upward.  They could very well be in a condition of continuous decline.  The lists are meant to serve as a starting point for further due diligence. 

 

      The “Reference” is the date that a stock passed the indicated filter and was first added to or returned to the list.  The “% Change” is how the price has changed since the reference date.  Stocks that are down 10% or more after being listed are removed for a period of about two months.  The “% from Max” is the percentage the price has declined from the maximum price reached since the reference date.  Stocks that are down 8% from their highs after being listed are flagged in yellow.  Stocks that are down 15% from their highs after being listed are removed for two months.  More information on filters is available on the web site.

 

      A performance summary of filtering techniques for check lists and master trader selection methods is given in Table 3A.  

 

 

 

 

Table 3A

Stock Filter Summary

Filter

Avg. % Change Since Listed

Avg. % Change Friday

1 Month

1 Week Ago

2 weeks Ago

3 Weeks Ago

4 Weeks Ago

Net Insider Buying

6.0%

1.4%

4.3%

2.7%

1.6%

2.6%

-2.0%

Cash Rich Companies

7.5%

0.3%

8.2%

-0.2%

1.0%

5.6%

1.7%

Price to Free Cash Flow

11.3%

2.6%

7.1%

10.1%

-0.3%

-1.7%

-0.7%

Growth Momentum Stocks

12.1%

1.3%

3.3%

4.3%

-1.4%

1.0%

-0.4%

Lynch Stocks

29.0%

0.7%

7.5%

3.9%

-0.7%

1.4%

2.7%

Buffett Stocks

19.0%

1.1%

2.5%

3.0%

-1.0%

0.8%

-0.2%

Graham Stocks

11.4%

0.9%

2.1%

2.8%

-1.5%

-1.3%

2.1%

Templeton Stocks

4.5%

-0.2%

-1.6%

0.1%

-0.9%

-1.1%

0.3%

 Zweig Stocks

16.7%

1.1%

2.3%

3.8%

-1.7%

-0.3%

0.5%

Average Long Stocks

13.0%

1.0%

4.0%

3.4%

-0.5%

0.8%

0.5%

 

 

 

Key

Passed Recent Filter

Price declined by half of stop loss setting

Oversold  based on  Williams %R  (%R2 is most recent)

Overbought based on Williams %R  (%R2 is most recent)

 

 

      Companies that have experienced net insider buying within the past 6 months of 5% or more of issued stock are listed in Table 3B.  These stocks should also appear in one of the master trader screens or meet additional screening criteria before being given serious consideration.  This list is a mixture of stocks that are optionable and those that are not.

 

 

Table 3B

Net Insider Buying Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

MMLP

11/25/05

0.0%

Martin Midstream Partners L.P.

Transportation

Water Transportation

-9.3%

-2.0%

-64

-98

CLRT

11/18/05

-2.4%

Clarient, Inc.

Technology

Scientific & Technical Instruments

-14.9%

-7.7%

-75

-77

XGEN

11/25/05

0.0%

Xenogen Corporation

Technology

Scientific & Technical Instruments

-10.0%

-8.6%

-76

-77

CRYO

11/25/05

0.0%

CryoCor, Inc.

Health Care

Medical Equipment & Supplies

-8.1%

0.7%

-72

-72

MEMY

12/30/05

-2.2%

Memory Pharmaceuticals Corp.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-2.2%

-2.2%

-57

-57

SNSS

12/16/05

11.0%

Sunesis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Health Care

Major Drugs

0.0%

5.4%

-26

-26

VSTA

10/21/05

4.7%

VistaCare, Inc.

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

-4.5%

8.1%

-12

-25

LXU

12/23/05

-1.7%

LSB Industries, Inc.

Basic Materials

Chemical Manufacturing

-6.6%

1.5%

-25

-25

MEAD

12/23/05

8.8%

Meade Instruments Corp.

Technology

Scientific & Technical Instruments

-0.3%

4.4%

-35

-23

BDOG

12/16/05

10.9%

Big Dog Holdings, Inc.

Services

Retail (Apparel)

0.0%

10.4%

-20

-20

TRMA

01/06/06

0.0%

Trico Marine Services Inc

Energy

Oil Well Services & Equipment

0.0%

3.8%

-14

-20

CWEI

12/09/05

0.0%

Clayton Williams Energy, Inc.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-0.8%

2.5%

-19

-19

MBRX

10/14/05

39.1%

Metabasis Therapeutics, Inc.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

0.0%

3.1%

-32

-12

MNKD

12/30/05

13.0%

MannKind Corporation

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-0.2%

13.0%

-5

-5

NXTM

01/06/06

0.0%

NxStage Medical, Inc.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

0.0%

8.7%

-6

0

 

 

 

      Companies with net cash positions that comprise at least 40% of their share price are listed in Table 3C.   These stocks should also appear in one of the master trader screens or meet additional screening criteria before being given serious consideration.  Again this list is a mixture of stocks that are optionable and those that are not.

 

Table 3C

Capital Rich Companies Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

WSC

07/01/05

7.5%

Wesco Financial Corporation

Conglomerates

Conglomerates

-0.5%

-0.2%

-48

-54

 

 

      Table 3D was added to contain companies having a low price to free cash flow (P-FCF) less than 5.  Companies having P-FCF less than 10 are typically capable of financing the purchase of all their outstanding shares of stock.

 

Table 3D

Price to Free Cash Flow Companies Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

F

11/11/05

6.9%

FORD MOTOR

Consumer Cyclical

Auto & Truck Manufacturers

-0.1%

10.4%

-7

-14

PBR

11/25/05

15.7%

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. (ADR)

Energy

Oil & Gas - Integrated

0.0%

9.9%

-8

-8

 

 

      For the Peter Lynch screen in Table 3E, the number of selections is reduced by selecting only optionable stocks having P/E’s less than 30. 

 

 

 

Table 3E

Peter Lynch Value Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

CHL

03/18/05

45.1%

China Mobile (Hong Kong) Limited (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

-4.4%

2.1%

-34

-58

BTI

08/12/05

13.2%

British American Tobacco (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Tobacco

-1.7%

1.2%

-62

-29

TMX

06/03/05

38.8%

Telefonos de Mexico, S.A. (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

-1.4%

4.0%

-16

-16

KOF

04/29/05

27.4%

Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Beverages (Non-Alcoholic)

0.0%

7.7%

0

-1

TM

12/13/04

43.0%

Toyota Motor Corporation (ADR)

Consumer Cyclical

Auto & Truck Manufacturers

0.0%

2.5%

-12

-1

SKM

02/07/05

6.7%

SK Telecom Co., Ltd. (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

-7.0%

6.0%

-7

0

 

 

 

 

 

      For the screen in Table 3F, the number of selections is reduced by selecting only optionable stocks having P/E’s less than 30.  

 

 

 

Table 3F

Growth Momentum Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

GOL

12/16/05

-0.3%

GOL Linhas Aereas Inteligentes SA (ADR)

Transportation

Airline

-7.6%

-5.9%

-66

-83

PCU

12/02/05

4.2%

Southern Copper Corporation (USA)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-6.2%

4.4%

-58

-56

ADTN

11/25/05

0.0%

ADTRAN, Inc.

Technology

Communications Equipment

-6.2%

1.0%

-80

-52

UNH

04/15/05

34.9%

UnitedHealth Group Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Accident & Health)

-1.4%

1.2%

-73

-43

BEN

11/04/05

5.1%

Franklin Resources, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-2.2%

1.9%

-59

-35

ENDP

11/18/05

8.1%

Endo Pharmaceuticals

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-1.2%

5.8%

-2

-35

WSO

11/25/05

4.6%

Watsco, Incorporated

Capital Goods

Misc. Capital Goods

-4.7%

6.6%

-4

-22

AMTD

10/28/05

22.0%

Ameritrade Holding Corp.

Financial

Investment Services

-0.4%

4.2%

-16

-20

BJS

11/04/05

15.2%

BJ Services Company

Energy

Oil Well Services & Equipment

-1.2%

7.3%

-36

-16

CTX

11/18/05

0.3%

Centex Corporation

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-2.7%

3.5%

-17

-15

HCC

10/21/05

13.6%

HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Property & Casualty)

-6.0%

4.0%

-13

-14

LM

08/12/05

11.9%

Legg Mason, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-3.1%

2.0%

-88

-14

CHE

05/06/05

40.1%

Chemed Corporation

Services

Business Services

0.0%

9.5%

-13

-9

BHP

09/09/05

13.3%

BHP Billiton Limited (ADR)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-0.1%

7.0%

-25

-8

ZIGO

12/09/05

-3.5%

Zygo Corporation

Technology

Semiconductors

-3.5%

3.9%

-13

-7

ET

10/21/05

24.7%

E*TRADE FINANCIAL Corporation

Financial

Investment Services

0.0%

6.9%

-11

-7

OSK

03/12/05

17.6%

Oshkosh Truck Corporation

Consumer Cyclical

Auto & Truck Manufacturers

0.0%

4.0%

-5

-7

MOT

12/09/05

4.0%

Motorola, Inc.

Technology

Communications Equipment

0.0%

7.7%

-10

-6

VIP

12/09/05

5.0%

Vimpel-Communications (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

0.0%

6.9%

-8

-6

SYT

04/08/05

20.4%

Syngenta AG (ADR)

Basic Materials

Chemical Manufacturing

0.0%

3.3%

-13

-3

 

 

 

 

 

 

      The filter for Warren Buffet style stock picking in Table 3G is for the intermediate to long term.  Two requirements were added.  One was to include only optionable stocks in order to find LEAPS opportunities.  The other requirement was to include only those stocks having a PE of 17 or less.

 

 

Table 3G

Warren Buffett Value Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

MIK

10/14/05

5.9%

Michaels Stores, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-14.5%

-6.8%

-93

-87

NKE

09/23/05

5.6%

NIKE, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Footwear

-6.2%

-1.1%

-48

-84

PGR

12/27/04

38.1%

The Progressive Corp.

Financial

Insurance (Property & Casualty)

-6.2%

-0.4%

-59

-67

PSUN

12/09/05

-3.5%

Pacific Sunwear of CA

Services

Retail (Apparel)

-4.9%

-3.6%

-87

-55

FNF

10/21/05

2.3%

Fidelity National Financial

Financial

Insurance (Property & Casualty)

-5.4%

1.8%

-10

-42

RCII

10/21/05

17.3%

Rent-A-Center, Inc

Services

Rental & Leasing

-5.5%

0.5%

-41

-37

RI

09/02/05

24.9%

Ruby Tuesday, Inc.

Services

Restaurants

0.0%

4.2%

-67

-32

ABFS

04/29/05

41.5%

Arkansas Best Corporation

Transportation

Trucking

-2.0%

2.1%

-32

-29

BTI

12/30/05

1.2%

British American Tobacco (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Tobacco

-0.7%

1.2%

-62

-29

HDI

10/14/05

6.0%

Harley-Davidson, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Recreational Products

-6.5%

1.3%

-48

-27

DHI

10/21/05

20.1%

D.R. Horton Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-1.8%

4.3%

-22

-26

LNCR

12/27/04

3.3%

Lincare Holdings Inc.

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

-5.4%

3.7%

-25

-25

RS

04/15/05

64.5%

Reliance Steel & Aluminum

Basic Materials

Misc. Fabricated Products

-5.3%

3.3%

-22

-21

EASI

09/09/05

24.1%

Engineered Support System

Capital Goods

Misc. Capital Goods

0.0%

0.4%

-32

-19

STLD

12/16/05

6.8%

Steel Dynamics, Inc.

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

0.0%

3.3%

-19

-19

CCRT

12/30/05

6.3%

CompuCredit Corporation

Financial

Consumer Financial Services

0.0%

6.3%

-10

-16

FOSL

12/02/05

12.6%

Fossil, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Jewelry & Silverware

-0.8%

6.1%

-2

-14

NUE

04/15/05

47.5%

Nucor Corporation

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

0.0%

7.8%

-22

-12

ASH

10/28/05

19.8%

Ashland Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

0.0%

10.7%

-29

-9

THO

04/15/05

55.7%

Thor Industries, Inc.

Capital Goods

Mobile Homes & RVs

0.0%

4.7%

-9

-7

TOL

12/16/05

-0.3%

Toll Brothers, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-0.3%

7.5%

-17

-5

DSPG

02/07/05

7.2%

DSP Group, Inc.

Technology

Communications Equipment

-1.4%

7.3%

-11

-4

ACS

04/29/05

30.0%

Affiliated Computer Services, Inc.

Technology

Computer Services

0.0%

4.7%

-8

-2

 

 

 

      Stocks from Benjamin Graham’s style of utility investing are listed in Table 3H.  A requirement was added to include only those stocks having a PE of 17 or less.  

 

 

Table 3H

Benjamin Graham Utility Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

PGN

01/10/05

-1.4%

Progress Energy, Inc.

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-5.0%

-1.1%

-76

-72

UU

06/10/05

-3.0%

United Utilities PLC (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-5.1%

0.6%

-76

-64

SRE

01/10/05

30.0%

Sempra Energy

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-1.1%

4.8%

-26

-20

WPS

02/07/05

10.3%

WPS Resources Corp

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-4.6%

2.5%

-36

-20

ATG

10/21/05

7.8%

AGL Resources Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-1.9%

2.5%

-12

-19

OKE

11/11/05

3.6%

ONEOK, Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-1.0%

4.6%

-1

-10

UGI

12/30/05

3.6%

UGI Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

0.0%

3.6%

-34

-9

ATO

04/01/05

-0.5%

Atmos Energy Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-9.9%

2.4%

-22

-8

WGL

12/23/05

0.8%

WGL Holdings, Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

0.0%

2.1%

-42

-4

KEP

01/10/05

67.7%

Korea Electric Power Corporation (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

0.0%

7.0%

-7

-2

CPK

05/06/05

18.5%

Chesapeake Utilities

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-12.4%

0.6%

-56

0

PNW

01/10/05

-0.6%

Pinnacle West Capital

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-7.7%

3.6%

-36

0

 

 

 

 

      Optionable stocks from John Templeton’s style of investing are listed in Table 3I.  

 

Table 3I

John Templeton Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

KSWS

12/30/05

-6.3%

K-Swiss Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Footwear

-6.3%

-6.3%

-78

-96

LOW

11/18/05

-1.9%

Lowe's Companies, Inc.

Services

Retail (Home Improvement)

-6.8%

-2.9%

-96

-92

EDMC

12/16/05

-1.8%

Education Management Corp

Services

Schools

-2.7%

-2.4%

-90

-90

MIK

12/30/05

-6.8%

Michaels Stores, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-6.8%

-6.8%

-93

-87

WSM

09/02/05

11.9%

Williams-Sonoma, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-4.4%

-1.6%

-95

-79

CAKE

10/21/05

8.1%

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated

Services

Restaurants

-3.2%

-0.9%

-75

-60

EWBC

12/30/05

0.9%

East West Bancorp, Inc.

Financial

Regional Banks

-0.7%

0.9%

-57

-53

CHD

11/18/05

-0.4%

Church & Dwight Co., Inc.

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Personal & Household Products

-1.9%

0.7%

-45

-51

MDC

12/30/05

4.1%

M.D.C. Holdings, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-2.4%

4.1%

-22

-45

UNH

12/30/05

1.2%

UnitedHealth Group Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Accident & Health)

0.0%

1.2%

-73

-43

DGX

08/19/05

4.1%

Quest Diagnostics Incorporated

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

-1.0%

1.0%

-58

-41

AMSG

10/14/05

-0.4%

AmSurg Corp.

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

-5.9%

0.3%

-25

-39

SFG

05/27/05

33.7%

StanCorp Financial Group, Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Life)

-5.3%

0.4%

-46

-34

SNV

05/27/05

-6.3%

Synovus Financial Corp.

Financial

Regional Banks

-8.5%

1.5%

-33

-32

HHS

10/28/05

5.5%

Harte-Hanks, Inc.

Services

Printing & Publishing

0.0%

1.8%

-17

-29

GISX

12/30/05

2.8%

Global Imaging Systems, Inc.

Technology

Office Equipment

0.0%

2.8%

-31

-24

EASI

06/03/05

19.0%

Engineered Support System

Capital Goods

Misc. Capital Goods

0.0%

0.4%

-32

-19

CPS

05/27/05

12.0%

ChoicePoint Inc.

Services

Business Services

0.0%

0.8%

-2

-9

TOL

12/09/05

5.8%

Toll Brothers, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-1.9%

7.5%

-17

-5

 

 

 

 

      Optionable stocks from Martin Zweig’s style of investing are listed in Table 3J.  

 

 

 

 

Table 3J

Martin Zweig Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

ESI

11/04/05

-0.6%

ITT Educational Services

Services

Schools

-5.8%

-0.5%

-75

-62

POOL

06/10/05

7.0%

SCP Pool Corporation

Consumer Cyclical

Recreational Products

-7.9%

-1.6%

-100

-60

CERS

11/18/05

42.0%

Cerus Corporation

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-8.9%

1.7%

-55

-49

CAE

06/10/05

18.8%

Cascade Corporation

Capital Goods

Misc. Capital Goods

-7.0%

4.8%

-6

-36

BEN

10/28/05

10.6%

Franklin Resources, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-2.2%

1.9%

-59

-35

APA

12/23/05

-0.3%

Apache Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-1.1%

2.3%

-30

-30

JOSB

01/06/06

0.0%

Jos. A. Bank Clothiers, Inc.

Services

Retail (Apparel)

0.0%

10.2%

-6

-28

DHI

11/18/05

7.0%

D.R. Horton Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-1.8%

4.3%

-22

-26

EXP

10/28/05

20.7%

Eagle Materials, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction - Raw Materials

-0.5%

1.6%

-18

-25

SM

10/21/05

25.9%

St. Mary Land & Exploration Co.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-1.1%

8.3%

-18

-16

CTX

10/28/05

16.6%

Centex Corporation

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-2.7%

3.5%

-17

-15

SFY

10/14/05