
______________________________________________________________________________
Issue No. 60 – January 9, 2006 Prescott, Arizona Systems@WiserTrader.com
______________________________________________________________________________
Are the major averages engaged in a premature breakout or something more substantial?
A 2 year chart for the S&P 500 Index in Figure 1 shows the index protruding less than 1% above the upper trend line of a rising wedge formation, closing last week at 1,285. The first 4 trading days of 2006 were substantially better than 2005.

FIGURE 1
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This is a statistically interesting time. It has been observed that when the first 5 trading days of January have been up, the index has gained an average of about 13% for the year. The rule has held up about 85% of the time. However, in midterm election years, such as the current one, the rule has held only 43% of the time.
A more robust rule, developed by Yale Hirsch in 1972, states that as the month of January goes, so goes the year. This rule has better than 90% accuracy. When the S&P January gain was around 3.6% or more, the rule has been accurate 100% of the time over the last 50 years.
However, the price of oil is rising once again and, by short term measures, the market is overbought. The recent tendency for traders to sell into strength should not be overlooked. Should the index fall back into the rising wedge formation, it would be bearish for the near term. For now though, volume is higher than average and market breadth is good.
Continuing with filter performance studies, the latest 1 year period is shown at the bottom of Table 1. Details of the filters can be found on the web site. The objective of this portion of the analysis is to find the right parameter that describes how S&P 500 performance affects profits for the previous year. Currently we are tracking filter performance with the previous month’s average index value relative to its mean 200 day simple moving average (SMA) for the previous month. The correlation is promising.
Table 1
1 Year Filter Performance versus the S&P 500 Index
Using No Trailing Stop
|
Year Ending |
Prior Year S&P 500 |
Prior Month Avg. S&P 500 Relative to its Mean 200 Day SMA |
Growth $15-$40 Filter |
Growth >$40 Filter |
Absolute Value Filter |
Relative Value Filter |
|
9/02/05 |
9.4% |
+2.5% |
60.1% |
40.7% |
19.3% |
50% |
|
9/30/05 |
8.6% |
+2.3% |
25.4% |
61.4% |
12.3% |
24.1 |
|
11/04/05 |
8.0% |
-0.6% |
8.2% |
14.8% |
4.4% |
-0.6% |
|
12/02/05 |
6.2% |
+2.9% |
24.6% |
9.6% |
17.0% |
34.7% |
|
01/06/06 |
8.2% |
+4.5% |
39.8% |
50.3% |
27.8% |
28.3% |
As the index pulls away from its 200 day SMA, stocks are affected favorably. As the index moves toward its 200 day SMA, stocks are affected adversely. A more detailed look at this is obviously needed.
It still amazes me how the previous month’s index activity has such a strong impact on a full year’s profits. Clearly this is showing us the importance of an ability to anticipate the behavior of the S&P 500 Index. The study will continue at 1 month intervals.
The fact that the anticipated repeat of the January 2005 sell off did not occur was met with relief. The Fed’s December FOMC minutes, indicating a lower certainty of further rate increases, provided a rosier outlook for the economy in general and for stocks in particular. A lower cap on interest rates increases the value of stocks and options in valuation models.
Key industry ETF’s in Table 2A are Biotech and Semiconductors which confirm the NASDAQ. Transportation confirms the Dow Jones Industrial Average according to Dow Theory. Banking and Financials are confirming indicators for the S&P 500. Gold and Real Estate are respective indicators for the inverse health of the currency (inflation) and the capacity for consumer spending.
Table 2A
Indices, Key Industry ETF’s and Sector SPDR’s
|
|
1 month |
1 wk ago |
2 wks ago |
3 wks ago |
4 wks ago |
|
Dow Jones Industrials |
1.7% |
2.3% |
-1.5% |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
NASDAQ |
2.2% |
4.5% |
-2.0% |
-0.1% |
-0.2% |
|
S & P 500 |
2.1% |
3.0% |
-1.6% |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
Russell 2000 |
1.5% |
3.9% |
-1.9% |
0.5% |
-0.8% |
|
GLD, GOLD |
2.5% |
4.1% |
2.9% |
0.1% |
-4.4% |
|
RKH, Banking |
1.4% |
2.2% |
-2.3% |
0.0% |
1.5% |
|
IYT, Transportation |
2.2% |
0.2% |
-1.7% |
2.7% |
1.0% |
|
SMH, Semiconductors |
4.5% |
8.2% |
-3.1% |
-0.6% |
0.3% |
|
BBH, Biotechnology |
-0.8% |
0.5% |
-2.0% |
2.3% |
-1.5% |
|
IYR, Real Estate |
2.4% |
4.8% |
-1.8% |
-1.1% |
0.6% |
|
OIH, Oil |
4.9% |
8.7% |
-2.5% |
1.4% |
-2.3% |
|
XLE, Energy |
3.2% |
6.3% |
-1.8% |
0.4% |
-1.4% |
|
XLU, Utilities |
0.6% |
2.5% |
-1.4% |
-1.5% |
1.0% |
|
XLB, Materials |
3.9% |
3.7% |
-0.8% |
2.4% |
-1.4% |
|
XLI, Industrial |
1.0% |
1.1% |
-1.3% |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
XLK, Technology |
0.8% |
5.3% |
-2.3% |
-0.8% |
-1.1% |
|
XLV, Healthcare |
4.4% |
2.6% |
-1.8% |
1.9% |
1.6% |
|
XLF, Financials |
1.8% |
2.5% |
-1.6% |
0.7% |
0.3% |
|
XLP, Consumer Staples |
0.6% |
0.9% |
-1.6% |
-0.5% |
1.9% |
|
XLY, Consumer Discretionary |
-0.1% |
2.1% |
-1.3% |
-1.0% |
0.1% |
Market sentiment is shown in Table 2B.
Table 2B
Market Sentiment
|
Sentiment Indicator |
Current |
Last Week |
2 Weeks Ago |
Complacent |
Cautious |
|
VIX ** |
11.0 |
12.1 |
10.3 |
< 20 |
> 50 |
|
VXN *** |
15.0 |
14.3 |
13.6 |
< 30 |
> 70 |
|
Put/Call Ratio |
0.583 |
0.503 |
0.514 |
< 0.6 |
> 0.7 |
|
%Bulls - %Bears |
32.0% |
39.6% |
34.0% |
> 29% |
< 20% |
|
** Below 20 day SMA = Buy signal. *** Above 20 day SMA = Sell signal. |
|||||
Figure 1 compares index tracking stocks for the major averages with key ETF’s and Sector SPDR’s.

FIGURE 1
Table 2C
Market Summary
Major Indices
For the Past Week:
Dow Jones 2.3%
NASDAQ 4.5%
S&P500 Index 3.0%
Russell 2000 3.9%
30 Year Bond 4.565%
10 Year Note 4.379%
Leading Industries
For the Past Week:
Internet
General Mining
Gold Mining
Oil Equipment & Services
Oil Equipment, Services & Dis
Telecommunications Equipt
Mining
Semiconductors
Platinum & Precious Metals
Technology Hardware & Equipt
Lagging Industries
For the Past Week:
Railroads
Industrial Transportation
Home Improvement Retailers
Broadline Retailers
Footwear
Delivery Services
Distillers & Vintners
Real Estate
Leading Industries
For the Past Month:
Gold Mining
Internet
Mining
Tires
Pharmaceuticals
Mortgage Finance
General Mining
Oil Equipment & Services
Airlines
Oil Equipment, Services & Dis
Lagging Industries
For the Past Month:
Mobile Telecommunications
Home Improvement Retailers
Food Retailers & Wholesalers
Travel & Tourism
Specialty Retailers
Food & Drug Retailers
Computer Services
Drug Retailers
Clothing & Accessories
Recreational Services
Crude Oil $64.21
Gold for the past 30 days:
USD +4.80%
CAD +5.54%
CHF +1.29%
GBP +2.66%
EUR +1.03%
JPY -0.97%
The following watch lists contain stock candidates for consideration. They are not necessarily trades. Categories include check lists for insider buying and cash rich companies, as well as, filters that employ stock picking methods used by master traders.
Current stock rankings are based on the degree to which stocks are overbought or over sold based on the 10-period Williams %R for the past two trading days. Two columns are labeled “%R1” and “%R2” with “%R2” indicating the Williams %R for the most recent trading day. Of course, values more negative than -80 are oversold and those less negative than -20 are overbought.
A column labeled “Weekly % Gain” was added to show the inverse relationship between price action over the past week and the Williams %R.
One should keep in mind that oversold stocks are not necessarily ready to move upward. They could very well be in a condition of continuous decline. The lists are meant to serve as a starting point for further due diligence.
The “Reference” is the date that a stock passed the indicated filter and was first added to or returned to the list. The “% Change” is how the price has changed since the reference date. Stocks that are down 10% or more after being listed are removed for a period of about two months. The “% from Max” is the percentage the price has declined from the maximum price reached since the reference date. Stocks that are down 8% from their highs after being listed are flagged in yellow. Stocks that are down 15% from their highs after being listed are removed for two months. More information on filters is available on the web site.
A performance summary of filtering techniques for check lists and master trader selection methods is given in Table 3A.
Table 3A
Stock Filter Summary
|
Filter |
Avg. % Change Since Listed |
Avg. % Change Friday |
1 Month |
1 Week Ago |
2 weeks Ago |
3 Weeks Ago |
4 Weeks Ago |
|
Net Insider Buying |
6.0% |
1.4% |
4.3% |
2.7% |
1.6% |
2.6% |
-2.0% |
|
Cash Rich Companies |
7.5% |
0.3% |
8.2% |
-0.2% |
1.0% |
5.6% |
1.7% |
|
Price to Free Cash Flow |
11.3% |
2.6% |
7.1% |
10.1% |
-0.3% |
-1.7% |
-0.7% |
|
Growth Momentum Stocks |
12.1% |
1.3% |
3.3% |
4.3% |
-1.4% |
1.0% |
-0.4% |
|
Lynch Stocks |
29.0% |
0.7% |
7.5% |
3.9% |
-0.7% |
1.4% |
2.7% |
|
Buffett Stocks |
19.0% |
1.1% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
-1.0% |
0.8% |
-0.2% |
|
Graham Stocks |
11.4% |
0.9% |
2.1% |
2.8% |
-1.5% |
-1.3% |
2.1% |
|
Templeton Stocks |
4.5% |
-0.2% |
-1.6% |
0.1% |
-0.9% |
-1.1% |
0.3% |
|
Zweig Stocks |
16.7% |
1.1% |
2.3% |
3.8% |
-1.7% |
-0.3% |
0.5% |
|
Average Long Stocks |
13.0% |
1.0% |
4.0% |
3.4% |
-0.5% |
0.8% |
0.5% |
Key
|
Passed Recent Filter |
|
Price declined by half of stop loss setting |
|
Oversold based on Williams %R (%R2 is most recent) |
|
Overbought based on Williams %R (%R2 is most recent) |
Companies that have experienced net insider buying within the past 6 months of 5% or more of issued stock are listed in Table 3B. These stocks should also appear in one of the master trader screens or meet additional screening criteria before being given serious consideration. This list is a mixture of stocks that are optionable and those that are not.
Table 3B
Net Insider Buying Check List
|
Stock |
Reference |
% Chg |
Company |
Sector |
Industry |
% from Max |
Weekly % Gain |
%R1 |
%R2 |
|
MMLP |
11/25/05 |
0.0% |
Martin Midstream Partners L.P. |
Transportation |
Water Transportation |
-9.3% |
-2.0% |
-64 |
-98 |
|
CLRT |
11/18/05 |
-2.4% |
Clarient, Inc. |
Technology |
Scientific & Technical Instruments |
-14.9% |
-7.7% |
-75 |
-77 |
|
XGEN |
11/25/05 |
0.0% |
Xenogen Corporation |
Technology |
Scientific & Technical Instruments |
-10.0% |
-8.6% |
-76 |
-77 |
|
CRYO |
11/25/05 |
0.0% |
CryoCor, Inc. |
Health Care |
Medical Equipment & Supplies |
-8.1% |
0.7% |
-72 |
-72 |
|
MEMY |
12/30/05 |
-2.2% |
Memory Pharmaceuticals Corp. |
Health Care |
Biotechnology & Drugs |
-2.2% |
-2.2% |
-57 |
-57 |
|
SNSS |
12/16/05 |
11.0% |
Sunesis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. |
Health Care |
Major Drugs |
0.0% |
5.4% |
-26 |
-26 |
|
VSTA |
10/21/05 |
4.7% |
VistaCare, Inc. |
Health Care |
Healthcare Facilities |
-4.5% |
8.1% |
-12 |
-25 |
|
LXU |
12/23/05 |
-1.7% |
LSB Industries, Inc. |
Basic Materials |
Chemical Manufacturing |
-6.6% |
1.5% |
-25 |
-25 |
|
MEAD |
12/23/05 |
8.8% |
Meade Instruments Corp. |
Technology |
Scientific & Technical Instruments |
-0.3% |
4.4% |
-35 |
-23 |
|
BDOG |
12/16/05 |
10.9% |
Big Dog Holdings, Inc. |
Services |
Retail (Apparel) |
0.0% |
10.4% |
-20 |
-20 |
|
TRMA |
01/06/06 |
0.0% |
Trico Marine Services Inc |
Energy |
Oil Well Services & Equipment |
0.0% |
3.8% |
-14 |
-20 |
|
CWEI |
12/09/05 |
0.0% |
Clayton Williams Energy, Inc. |
Energy |
Oil & Gas Operations |
-0.8% |
2.5% |
-19 |
-19 |
|
MBRX |
10/14/05 |
39.1% |
Metabasis Therapeutics, Inc. |
Health Care |
Biotechnology & Drugs |
0.0% |
3.1% |
-32 |
-12 |
|
MNKD |
12/30/05 |
13.0% |
MannKind Corporation |
Health Care |
Biotechnology & Drugs |
-0.2% |
13.0% |
-5 |
-5 |
|
NXTM |
01/06/06 |
0.0% |
NxStage Medical, Inc. |
Health Care |
Biotechnology & Drugs |
0.0% |
8.7% |
-6 |
0 |
Companies with net cash positions that comprise at least 40% of their share price are listed in Table 3C. These stocks should also appear in one of the master trader screens or meet additional screening criteria before being given serious consideration. Again this list is a mixture of stocks that are optionable and those that are not.
Table 3C
Capital Rich Companies Check List
|
Stock |
Reference |
% Chg |
Company |
Sector |
Industry |
% from Max |
Weekly % Gain |
%R1 |
%R2 |
|
WSC |
07/01/05 |
7.5% |
Wesco Financial Corporation |
Conglomerates |
Conglomerates |
-0.5% |
-0.2% |
-48 |
-54 |
Table 3D was added to contain companies having a low price to free cash flow (P-FCF) less than 5. Companies having P-FCF less than 10 are typically capable of financing the purchase of all their outstanding shares of stock.
Table 3D
Price to Free Cash Flow Companies Check List
|
Stock |
Reference |
% Chg |
Company |
Sector |
Industry |
% from Max |
Weekly % Gain |
%R1 |
%R2 |
|
F |
11/11/05 |
6.9% |
FORD MOTOR |
Consumer Cyclical |
Auto & Truck Manufacturers |
-0.1% |
10.4% |
-7 |
-14 |
|
PBR |
11/25/05 |
15.7% |
Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. (ADR) |
Energy |
Oil & Gas - Integrated |
0.0% |
9.9% |
-8 |
-8 |
For the Peter Lynch screen in Table 3E, the number of selections is reduced by selecting only optionable stocks having P/E’s less than 30.
Table 3E
Peter Lynch Value Watch List
|
Stock |
Reference |
% Chg |
Company |
Sector |
Industry |
% from Max |
Weekly % Gain |
%R1 |
%R2 |
|
CHL |
03/18/05 |
45.1% |
China Mobile (Hong Kong) Limited (ADR) |
Services |
Communications Services |
-4.4% |
2.1% |
-34 |
-58 |
|
BTI |
08/12/05 |
13.2% |
British American Tobacco (ADR) |
Consumer Non-Cyclical |
Tobacco |
-1.7% |
1.2% |
-62 |
-29 |
|
TMX |
06/03/05 |
38.8% |
Telefonos de Mexico, S.A. (ADR) |
Services |
Communications Services |
-1.4% |
4.0% |
-16 |
-16 |
|
KOF |
04/29/05 |
27.4% |
Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. (ADR) |
Consumer Non-Cyclical |
Beverages (Non-Alcoholic) |
0.0% |
7.7% |
0 |
-1 |
|
TM |
12/13/04 |
43.0% |
Toyota Motor Corporation (ADR) |
Consumer Cyclical |
Auto & Truck Manufacturers |
0.0% |
2.5% |
-12 |
-1 |
|
SKM |
02/07/05 |
6.7% |
SK Telecom Co., Ltd. (ADR) |
Services |
Communications Services |
-7.0% |
6.0% |
-7 |
0 |
For the screen in Table 3F, the number of selections is reduced by selecting only optionable stocks having P/E’s less than 30.
Table 3F
Growth Momentum Watch List
|
Stock |
Reference |
% Chg |
Company |
Sector |
Industry |
% from Max |
Weekly % Gain |
%R1 |
%R2 |
|
GOL |
12/16/05 |
-0.3% |
GOL Linhas Aereas Inteligentes SA (ADR) |
Transportation |
Airline |
-7.6% |
-5.9% |
-66 |
-83 |
|
PCU |
12/02/05 |
4.2% |
Southern Copper Corporation (USA) |
Basic Materials |
Metal Mining |
-6.2% |
4.4% |
-58 |
-56 |
|
ADTN |
11/25/05 |
0.0% |
ADTRAN, Inc. |
Technology |
Communications Equipment |
-6.2% |
1.0% |
-80 |
-52 |
|
UNH |
04/15/05 |
34.9% |
UnitedHealth Group Inc. |
Financial |
Insurance (Accident & Health) |
-1.4% |
1.2% |
-73 |
-43 |
|
BEN |
11/04/05 |
5.1% |
Franklin Resources, Inc. |
Financial |
Investment Services |
-2.2% |
1.9% |
-59 |
-35 |
|
ENDP |
11/18/05 |
8.1% |
Endo Pharmaceuticals |
Health Care |
Biotechnology & Drugs |
-1.2% |
5.8% |
-2 |
-35 |
|
WSO |
11/25/05 |
4.6% |
Watsco, Incorporated |
Capital Goods |
Misc. Capital Goods |
-4.7% |
6.6% |
-4 |
-22 |
|
AMTD |
10/28/05 |
22.0% |
Ameritrade Holding Corp. |
Financial |
Investment Services |
-0.4% |
4.2% |
-16 |
-20 |
|
BJS |
11/04/05 |
15.2% |
BJ Services Company |
Energy |
Oil Well Services & Equipment |
-1.2% |
7.3% |
-36 |
-16 |
|
CTX |
11/18/05 |
0.3% |
Centex Corporation |
Capital Goods |
Construction Services |
-2.7% |
3.5% |
-17 |
-15 |
|
HCC |
10/21/05 |
13.6% |
HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc. |
Financial |
Insurance (Property & Casualty) |
-6.0% |
4.0% |
-13 |
-14 |
|
LM |
08/12/05 |
11.9% |
Legg Mason, Inc. |
Financial |
Investment Services |
-3.1% |
2.0% |
-88 |
-14 |
|
CHE |
05/06/05 |
40.1% |
Chemed Corporation |
Services |
Business Services |
0.0% |
9.5% |
-13 |
-9 |
|
BHP |
09/09/05 |
13.3% |
BHP Billiton Limited (ADR) |
Basic Materials |
Metal Mining |
-0.1% |
7.0% |
-25 |
-8 |
|
ZIGO |
12/09/05 |
-3.5% |
Zygo Corporation |
Technology |
Semiconductors |
-3.5% |
3.9% |
-13 |
-7 |
|
ET |
10/21/05 |
24.7% |
E*TRADE FINANCIAL Corporation |
Financial |
Investment Services |
0.0% |
6.9% |
-11 |
-7 |
|
OSK |
03/12/05 |
17.6% |
Oshkosh Truck Corporation |
Consumer Cyclical |
Auto & Truck Manufacturers |
0.0% |
4.0% |
-5 |
-7 |
|
MOT |
12/09/05 |
4.0% |
Motorola, Inc. |
Technology |
Communications Equipment |
0.0% |
7.7% |
-10 |
-6 |
|
VIP |
12/09/05 |
5.0% |
Vimpel-Communications (ADR) |
Services |
Communications Services |
0.0% |
6.9% |
-8 |
-6 |
|
SYT |
04/08/05 |
20.4% |
Syngenta AG (ADR) |
Basic Materials |
Chemical Manufacturing |
0.0% |
3.3% |
-13 |
-3 |
The filter for Warren Buffet style stock picking in Table 3G is for the intermediate to long term. Two requirements were added. One was to include only optionable stocks in order to find LEAPS opportunities. The other requirement was to include only those stocks having a PE of 17 or less.
Table 3G
Warren Buffett Value Watch List
|
Stock |
Reference |
% Chg |
Company |
Sector |
Industry |
% from Max |
Weekly % Gain |
%R1 |
%R2 |
|
MIK |
10/14/05 |
5.9% |
Michaels Stores, Inc. |
Services |
Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel) |
-14.5% |
-6.8% |
-93 |
-87 |
|
NKE |
09/23/05 |
5.6% |
NIKE, Inc. |
Consumer Cyclical |
Footwear |
-6.2% |
-1.1% |
-48 |
-84 |
|
PGR |
12/27/04 |
38.1% |
The Progressive Corp. |
Financial |
Insurance (Property & Casualty) |
-6.2% |
-0.4% |
-59 |
-67 |
|
PSUN |
12/09/05 |
-3.5% |
Pacific Sunwear of CA |
Services |
Retail (Apparel) |
-4.9% |
-3.6% |
-87 |
-55 |
|
FNF |
10/21/05 |
2.3% |
Fidelity National Financial |
Financial |
Insurance (Property & Casualty) |
-5.4% |
1.8% |
-10 |
-42 |
|
RCII |
10/21/05 |
17.3% |
Rent-A-Center, Inc |
Services |
Rental & Leasing |
-5.5% |
0.5% |
-41 |
-37 |
|
RI |
09/02/05 |
24.9% |
Ruby Tuesday, Inc. |
Services |
Restaurants |
0.0% |
4.2% |
-67 |
-32 |
|
ABFS |
04/29/05 |
41.5% |
Arkansas Best Corporation |
Transportation |
Trucking |
-2.0% |
2.1% |
-32 |
-29 |
|
BTI |
12/30/05 |
1.2% |
British American Tobacco (ADR) |
Consumer Non-Cyclical |
Tobacco |
-0.7% |
1.2% |
-62 |
-29 |
|
HDI |
10/14/05 |
6.0% |
Harley-Davidson, Inc. |
Consumer Cyclical |
Recreational Products |
-6.5% |
1.3% |
-48 |
-27 |
|
DHI |
10/21/05 |
20.1% |
D.R. Horton Inc. |
Capital Goods |
Construction Services |
-1.8% |
4.3% |
-22 |
-26 |
|
LNCR |
12/27/04 |
3.3% |
Lincare Holdings Inc. |
Health Care |
Healthcare Facilities |
-5.4% |
3.7% |
-25 |
-25 |
|
RS |
04/15/05 |
64.5% |
Reliance Steel & Aluminum |
Basic Materials |
Misc. Fabricated Products |
-5.3% |
3.3% |
-22 |
-21 |
|
EASI |
09/09/05 |
24.1% |
Engineered Support System |
Capital Goods |
Misc. Capital Goods |
0.0% |
0.4% |
-32 |
-19 |
|
STLD |
12/16/05 |
6.8% |
Steel Dynamics, Inc. |
Basic Materials |
Iron & Steel |
0.0% |
3.3% |
-19 |
-19 |
|
CCRT |
12/30/05 |
6.3% |
CompuCredit Corporation |
Financial |
Consumer Financial Services |
0.0% |
6.3% |
-10 |
-16 |
|
FOSL |
12/02/05 |
12.6% |
Fossil, Inc. |
Consumer Cyclical |
Jewelry & Silverware |
-0.8% |
6.1% |
-2 |
-14 |
|
NUE |
04/15/05 |
47.5% |
Nucor Corporation |
Basic Materials |
Iron & Steel |
0.0% |
7.8% |
-22 |
-12 |
|
ASH |
10/28/05 |
19.8% |
Ashland Inc. |
Capital Goods |
Construction Services |
0.0% |
10.7% |
-29 |
-9 |
|
THO |
04/15/05 |
55.7% |
Thor Industries, Inc. |
Capital Goods |
Mobile Homes & RVs |
0.0% |
4.7% |
-9 |
-7 |
|
TOL |
12/16/05 |
-0.3% |
Toll Brothers, Inc. |
Capital Goods |
Construction Services |
-0.3% |
7.5% |
-17 |
-5 |
|
DSPG |
02/07/05 |
7.2% |
DSP Group, Inc. |
Technology |
Communications Equipment |
-1.4% |
7.3% |
-11 |
-4 |
|
ACS |
04/29/05 |
30.0% |
Affiliated Computer Services, Inc. |
Technology |
Computer Services |
0.0% |
4.7% |
-8 |
-2 |
Stocks from Benjamin Graham’s style of utility investing are listed in Table 3H. A requirement was added to include only those stocks having a PE of 17 or less.
Table 3H
Benjamin Graham Utility Watch List
|
Stock |
Reference |
% Chg |
Company |
Sector |
Industry |
% from Max |
Weekly % Gain |
%R1 |
%R2 |
|
PGN |
01/10/05 |
-1.4% |
Progress Energy, Inc. |
Utilities |
Electric Utilities |
-5.0% |
-1.1% |
-76 |
-72 |
|
UU |
06/10/05 |
-3.0% |
United Utilities PLC (ADR) |
Utilities |
Electric Utilities |
-5.1% |
0.6% |
-76 |
-64 |
|
SRE |
01/10/05 |
30.0% |
Sempra Energy |
Utilities |
Natural Gas Utilities |
-1.1% |
4.8% |
-26 |
-20 |
|
WPS |
02/07/05 |
10.3% |
WPS Resources Corp |
Utilities |
Electric Utilities |
-4.6% |
2.5% |
-36 |
-20 |
|
ATG |
10/21/05 |
7.8% |
AGL Resources Inc. |
Utilities |
Natural Gas Utilities |
-1.9% |
2.5% |
-12 |
-19 |
|
OKE |
11/11/05 |
3.6% |
ONEOK, Inc. |
Utilities |
Natural Gas Utilities |
-1.0% |
4.6% |
-1 |
-10 |
|
UGI |
12/30/05 |
3.6% |
UGI Corporation |
Utilities |
Natural Gas Utilities |
0.0% |
3.6% |
-34 |
-9 |
|
ATO |
04/01/05 |
-0.5% |
Atmos Energy Corporation |
Utilities |
Natural Gas Utilities |
-9.9% |
2.4% |
-22 |
-8 |
|
WGL |
12/23/05 |
0.8% |
WGL Holdings, Inc. |
Utilities |
Natural Gas Utilities |
0.0% |
2.1% |
-42 |
-4 |
|
KEP |
01/10/05 |
67.7% |
Korea Electric Power Corporation (ADR) |
Utilities |
Electric Utilities |
0.0% |
7.0% |
-7 |
-2 |
|
CPK |
05/06/05 |
18.5% |
Chesapeake Utilities |
Utilities |
Natural Gas Utilities |
-12.4% |
0.6% |
-56 |
0 |
|
PNW |
01/10/05 |
-0.6% |
Pinnacle West Capital |
Utilities |
Electric Utilities |
-7.7% |
3.6% |
-36 |
0 |
Optionable stocks from John Templeton’s style of investing are listed in Table 3I.
Table 3I
John Templeton Watch List
|
Stock |
Reference |
% Chg |
Company |
Sector |
Industry |
% from Max |
Weekly % Gain |
%R1 |
%R2 |
|
KSWS |
12/30/05 |
-6.3% |
K-Swiss Inc. |
Consumer Cyclical |
Footwear |
-6.3% |
-6.3% |
-78 |
-96 |
|
LOW |
11/18/05 |
-1.9% |
Lowe's Companies, Inc. |
Services |
Retail (Home Improvement) |
-6.8% |
-2.9% |
-96 |
-92 |
|
EDMC |
12/16/05 |
-1.8% |
Education Management Corp |
Services |
Schools |
-2.7% |
-2.4% |
-90 |
-90 |
|
MIK |
12/30/05 |
-6.8% |
Michaels Stores, Inc. |
Services |
Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel) |
-6.8% |
-6.8% |
-93 |
-87 |
|
WSM |
09/02/05 |
11.9% |
Williams-Sonoma, Inc. |
Services |
Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel) |
-4.4% |
-1.6% |
-95 |
-79 |
|
CAKE |
10/21/05 |
8.1% |
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated |
Services |
Restaurants |
-3.2% |
-0.9% |
-75 |
-60 |
|
EWBC |
12/30/05 |
0.9% |
East West Bancorp, Inc. |
Financial |
Regional Banks |
-0.7% |
0.9% |
-57 |
-53 |
|
CHD |
11/18/05 |
-0.4% |
Church & Dwight Co., Inc. |
Consumer Non-Cyclical |
Personal & Household Products |
-1.9% |
0.7% |
-45 |
-51 |
|
MDC |
12/30/05 |
4.1% |
M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. |
Capital Goods |
Construction Services |
-2.4% |
4.1% |
-22 |
-45 |
|
UNH |
12/30/05 |
1.2% |
UnitedHealth Group Inc. |
Financial |
Insurance (Accident & Health) |
0.0% |
1.2% |
-73 |
-43 |
|
DGX |
08/19/05 |
4.1% |
Quest Diagnostics Incorporated |
Health Care |
Healthcare Facilities |
-1.0% |
1.0% |
-58 |
-41 |
|
AMSG |
10/14/05 |
-0.4% |
AmSurg Corp. |
Health Care |
Healthcare Facilities |
-5.9% |
0.3% |
-25 |
-39 |
|
SFG |
05/27/05 |
33.7% |
StanCorp Financial Group, Inc. |
Financial |
Insurance (Life) |
-5.3% |
0.4% |
-46 |
-34 |
|
SNV |
05/27/05 |
-6.3% |
Synovus Financial Corp. |
Financial |
Regional Banks |
-8.5% |
1.5% |
-33 |
-32 |
|
HHS |
10/28/05 |
5.5% |
Harte-Hanks, Inc. |
Services |
Printing & Publishing |
0.0% |
1.8% |
-17 |
-29 |
|
GISX |
12/30/05 |
2.8% |
Global Imaging Systems, Inc. |
Technology |
Office Equipment |
0.0% |
2.8% |
-31 |
-24 |
|
EASI |
06/03/05 |
19.0% |
Engineered Support System |
Capital Goods |
Misc. Capital Goods |
0.0% |
0.4% |
-32 |
-19 |
|
CPS |
05/27/05 |
12.0% |
ChoicePoint Inc. |
Services |
Business Services |
0.0% |
0.8% |
-2 |
-9 |
|
TOL |
12/09/05 |
5.8% |
Toll Brothers, Inc. |
Capital Goods |
Construction Services |
-1.9% |
7.5% |
-17 |
-5 |
Optionable stocks from Martin Zweig’s style of investing are listed in Table 3J.
Table 3J
Martin Zweig Watch List
|
Stock |
Reference |
% Chg |
Company |
Sector |
Industry |
% from Max |
Weekly % Gain |
%R1 |
%R2 |
|
ESI |
11/04/05 |
-0.6% |
ITT Educational Services |
Services |
Schools |
-5.8% |
-0.5% |
-75 |
-62 |
|
POOL |
06/10/05 |
7.0% |
SCP Pool Corporation |
Consumer Cyclical |
Recreational Products |
-7.9% |
-1.6% |
-100 |
-60 |
|
CERS |
11/18/05 |
42.0% |
Cerus Corporation |
Health Care |
Biotechnology & Drugs |
-8.9% |
1.7% |
-55 |
-49 |
|
CAE |
06/10/05 |
18.8% |
Cascade Corporation |
Capital Goods |
Misc. Capital Goods |
-7.0% |
4.8% |
-6 |
-36 |
|
BEN |
10/28/05 |
10.6% |
Franklin Resources, Inc. |
Financial |
Investment Services |
-2.2% |
1.9% |
-59 |
-35 |
|
APA |
12/23/05 |
-0.3% |
Apache Corporation |
Energy |
Oil & Gas Operations |
-1.1% |
2.3% |
-30 |
-30 |
|
JOSB |
01/06/06 |
0.0% |
Jos. A. Bank Clothiers, Inc. |
Services |
Retail (Apparel) |
0.0% |
10.2% |
-6 |
-28 |
|
DHI |
11/18/05 |
7.0% |
D.R. Horton Inc. |
Capital Goods |
Construction Services |
-1.8% |
4.3% |
-22 |
-26 |
|
EXP |
10/28/05 |
20.7% |
Eagle Materials, Inc. |
Capital Goods |
Construction - Raw Materials |
-0.5% |
1.6% |
-18 |
-25 |
|
SM |
10/21/05 |
25.9% |
St. Mary Land & Exploration Co. |
Energy |
Oil & Gas Operations |
-1.1% |
8.3% |
-18 |
-16 |
|
CTX |
10/28/05 |
16.6% |
Centex Corporation |
Capital Goods |
Construction Services |
-2.7% |
3.5% |
-17 |
-15 |
|
SFY |
10/14/05 |