Text Box: Wiser Trader Stocks and Options Newsletter
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Issue No. 61 – January 16, 2006                 Prescott, Arizona                    Systems@WiserTrader.com

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1.0   Trading

 

      Once the concept of the trading template is mastered, it becomes easier to develop a trading system of your own. 

 

1.1 Trading Templates

 

      A template is a procedure for applying technical indicators to trading stocks and options that have been selected by a filtering process.  Each template exists for a specific technical formation and, together with a filtering process, forms the major portion of a trading system.  Usually the simpler templates are, the easier they are to use.  Simple templates have three parts, (1) recognition of a technical chart formation, (2) a trigger indicator that signals the condition for a trade and (3) a confirmation indicator that signals the timing for a trade.  One type of trading system that makes the concept of templates easy to understand is that of a trend following system.  The technical chart formation used in a trend following system is, as you might guess, trend identification.  The acronym TTC is used to identify a trend-trigger-confirmation trading template.  The key to understanding the use of a template is that its three components are applied sequentially because not all three components are likely to occur at the same time.  This particularly applies to the trigger and confirmation.  One will notice how the filter and the components of a template fit together to form a unified logical whole. 

 

      For a trend following system, growth-momentum stocks are selected using objective criteria to maximize the likelihood they will increase in price.  To this end, the Cooper filtering criteria has been discussed frequently in this newsletter and is found on the website.  This filter uses the fact that stocks selected are (a) the fastest rising stocks in the NASDAQ and NYSE, (b) are near their 52 week highs, (c) have superior earnings growth and (d) are in a leading industry.  This filter sharply reduces the number of stocks under consideration.  Selection of stocks priced at a minimum of $50 further guarantees that only top quality stocks are being considered.

 

 

© 2005 WiserTrader.com, LLC.  Members of wisertrader.com are neither licensed brokers nor licensed advisors.   Trades discussed represent recommendations made by the editor for the wisertrader.com portfolio.  The newsletter and web site are for information only and should not be considered as personal advice.   While it is believed that the posted information is factual, mistakes can be made in transcription.  Investors should trade stocks only after verifying all information and consulting with a licensed broker or adviser.  WiserTrader.commarkets third party trading systems but has no other affiliation with trading system companies.

 

      Once a group of stocks has been identified, each stock is checked to see if it meets trend requirements.  A refinement of the Cooper trend screen is to require that the 30 or 40 day simple moving average (SMA) has a prescribed minimum slope of say, 5% over a 4 week period or 0.25% from day to day.  Alexander Elder defines an uptrend  based  on  two  successive  MACD histogram bars increasing in height.  When one’s trading time frame is a few days, a weekly MACD histogram is used.  When the trading time frame is weeks, a monthly MACD histogram is used.  Almost any trend identification system can be used as long as it matches the trading time frame and style of one’s trading.  If the trend screening criterion is not met, the stock is eliminated for current consideration.   

 

      For stocks that passed the trend test, now is a most import screen that protects the trader from a basic fallacy of human nature.  We are naturally attracted to rising prices and our first impulse is to buy a stock just because it is in an uptrend.  But even when stocks are trending they tend to oscillate, within a range, on either side of a mean tendency.  If we buy on the high side of a range, it makes us nervous when the stock moves toward the lower side of the range.  Although it is still trending in the same direction, it is painful to experience such movement and it may force us out of the stock, only to watch it move upward again.  For this situation we use an oscillating trigger to buy the stock when it is rising from the lower portion of the range.  The 5 period slow stochastic and the 10 period Williams %R indicators are good for triggering a buy.   Either oscillator indicates a buy trigger when it reaches an extreme oversold condition.  The slow stochastic triggers a buy condition when it reaches a value of 20 or less and then begins to rise.  The Williams %R triggers a buy condition when it reaches a value of -80.  These two are not the only oscillating triggers that can be used. Both can be easily applied to stock charts, along with simple moving averages of any composition at Bigcharts.com.

 

      But wait!  Just because we have a trend and a trigger, it does not mean that it its time to trade.  We need confirmation that it is time to trade by seeing the stock, and indeed the major averages, moving in the proper direction.  Unless there is an exceptional news release, the majority of a stock’s price movement can be attributed to recent and current movement of the major averages.  Remember that this is a trend following system and crowd psychology plays an important role.  We want to trade with the market trend as much as possible.  One Cooper confirmation waits for the stock price to rise above its 7 day SMA.  When used with the Williams %R it is called a TTC-A template.  Another Cooper confirmation waits for the fast MACD line to cross above the slow MACD line.  When used with the slow stochastic it is called a TTC-B template.  Alexander Elder’s confirmation waits for the price to move above the previous closing price on whatever time scale one is trading.  His method is named the Triple Screen template.  Remember that the confirmation comes sequentially after the trigger.  Once the confirmation occurs, the trigger oscillator is most likely no longer in an oversold condition.

 

      All of these templates rely on the concepts of trend, trigger and confirmation.  Notice how the three elements, along with the filter, logically reinforce one another.  Each template is simple and taken as a whole, quite elegant.  These are just a few of the many templates in existence.  Each of the 63 technical formations found in The Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns by Bulkowski has a trading template for buying, as well as, for selling.  The logistics of combining elements of a trading system can vary widely in terms of ease of use, cost and speed.  The 3 step sequential process of a using a template automatically reduces the number of stocks being considered for actual trades.  After trading a dozen or so times with a standard template, it becomes apparent how it should be adjusted to fit your trading personality.

 

2.0 Market Analysis

 

      The market again finds itself at the beginning of another earnings season.  It is typically choppy for the first three weeks of earnings season without much direction.  Expectations are for earnings to be up about 13% over the previous year but with lowered projections further earnings in 2006.  Precious metals and energy can expect a near term rise due to geopolitical concerns and colder weather.  This implies a flat to downward bias for the broader market.

 

      Key industry ETF’s in Table 2A are Biotech and Semiconductors which confirm the NASDAQ.   Transportation confirms the Dow Jones Industrial Average according to Dow Theory.   Banking and Financials are confirming indicators for the S&P 500.  Gold and Real Estate are respective indicators for the inverse health of the currency (inflation) and the capacity for consumer spending. 

 

 

Table 2A

Indices, Key Industry ETF’s and Sector SPDR’s

 

1 month

1 wk ago

2 wks ago

3 wks ago

4 wks ago

Dow Jones Industrials

0.8%

0.0%

2.3%

-1.5%

0.1%

NASDAQ

2.9%

0.5%

4.5%

-2.0%

-0.1%

S & P 500

1.6%

0.2%

3.0%

-1.6%

0.1%

Russell 2000

3.7%

1.3%

3.9%

-1.9%

0.5%

GLD, GOLD

10.7%

3.2%

4.1%

2.9%

0.1%

RKH, Banking

-0.8%

-0.7%

2.2%

-2.3%

0.0%

IYT, Transportation

-0.5%

-1.7%

0.2%

-1.7%

2.7%

SMH, Semiconductors

3.8%

-0.5%

8.2%

-3.1%

-0.6%

BBH, Biotechnology

-0.6%

-1.4%

0.5%

-2.0%

2.3%

IYR, Real Estate

1.7%

-0.1%

4.8%

-1.8%

-1.1%

OIH, Oil

9.2%

1.7%

8.7%

-2.5%

1.4%

XLE, Energy

6.6%

1.9%

6.3%

-1.8%

0.4%

XLU, Utilities

-0.3%

0.1%

2.5%

-1.4%

-1.5%

XLB, Materials

2.6%

-2.6%

3.7%

-0.8%

2.4%

XLI, Industrial

-0.2%

-0.5%

1.1%

-1.3%

0.5%

XLK, Technology

2.6%

0.6%

5.3%

-2.3%

-0.8%

XLV, Healthcare

2.4%

-0.3%

2.6%

-1.8%

1.9%

XLF, Financials

1.7%

0.2%

2.5%

-1.6%

0.7%

XLP, Consumer Staples

-1.3%

-0.1%

0.9%

-1.6%

-0.5%

XLY, Consumer Discretionary

0.4%

0.7%

2.1%

-1.3%

-1.0%


 

 

            Market sentiment is shown in Table 2B.

 

 

Table 2B

Market Sentiment

Sentiment Indicator

Current

Last Week

2 Weeks Ago

Complacent

Cautious

VIX **

11.2

11.0

12.1

< 20

> 50

VXN ***

15.3

15.0

14.3

< 30

> 70

Put/Call Ratio

0.586

0.583

0.503

< 0.6

> 0.7

%Bulls - %Bears

34.7%

32.0%

39.6%

> 29%

< 20%

**   Above 20 day SMA = Short term sell signal.

*** Above 20 day SMA = Short term sell signal.

 

 

 

 

      Figure 1 compares index tracking stocks for the major averages with key ETF’s and Sector SPDR’s.

 

 

 

 

FIGURE 1

 

 

 

 

Table 2C

Market Summary


 
 

 Major Indices 
 For the Past Week:
 Dow Jones     0.0%
 NASDAQ        0.5%
 S&P500 Index  0.2%
 Russell 2000  1.3%
 
 30 Year Bond 4.525%
 10 Year Note 4.350%
 
 Leading Industries
 For the Past Week:
 Industrial Suppliers 
 Computer Hardware 
 Home Construction 
 Recreational Services 
 Heavy Construction 
 Gold Mining 
 Home Improvement Retailers 
 General Mining 
 Gambling 
 Pipelines           
 
 Lagging Industries
 For the Past Week:
 Airlines 
 Commodity Chemicals 
 Aluminum 
 Transportation Services 
 Auto Parts 
 Nonferrous Metals 
 Chemicals 
 Internet 
 Brewers 
 Industrial Metals  
          
 Leading Industries
 For the Past Month:
 Gold Mining 
 General Mining 
 Mining 
 Platinum & Precious Metals 
 Industrial Suppliers 
 Mortgage Finance 
 Heavy Construction 
 Gambling 
 Telecommunications Equipt 
 Basic Resources 
 
 Lagging Industries
 For the Past Month:
 Mobile Telecommunications 
 Commodity Chemicals 
 Drug Retailers 
 Food & Drug Retailers 
 Food Retailers & Wholesalers 
 Footwear 
 Broadline Retailers 
 Marine Transportation 
 Home Improvement Retailers  
 Health Care Providers               
 
 Crude Oil $63.92
 
 Gold for the past 30 days:
 USD    + 9.94%
 CAD    +11.03%
 CHF    + 9.52%
 GBP    + 9.78%
 EUR    + 8.84%
 JPY    + 7.30%

 

3.0 Procedure

 

      The following watch lists contain stock candidates for consideration.  They are not necessarily trades.  Categories include check lists for insider buying and cash rich companies, as well as, filters that employ stock picking methods used by master traders. 

 

      Current stock rankings are based on the degree to which stocks are overbought or over sold based on the 10-period Williams %R for the past two trading days.  Two columns are labeled “%R1” and “%R2” with “%R2” indicating the Williams %R for the most recent trading day.  Of course, values more negative than -80 are oversold and those less negative than -20 are overbought.

 

      A column labeled “Weekly % Gain” was added to show the inverse relationship between price action over the past week and the Williams %R. 

 

      One should keep in mind that oversold stocks are not necessarily ready to move upward.  They could very well be in a condition of continuous decline.  The lists are meant to serve as a starting point for further due diligence. 

 

      The “Reference” is the date that a stock passed the indicated filter and was first added to or returned to the list.  The “% Change” is how the price has changed since the reference date.  Stocks that are down 10% or more after being listed are removed for a period of about two months.  The “% from Max” is the percentage the price has declined from the maximum price reached since the reference date.  Stocks that are down 8% from their highs after being listed are flagged in yellow.  Stocks that are down 15% from their highs after being listed are removed for two months.  More information on filters is available on the web site.

 

      A performance summary of filtering techniques for check lists and master trader selection methods is given in Table 3A.  

 

 

 

 

Table 3A

Stock Filter Summary

Filter

Avg. % Change Since Listed

Avg. % Change Friday

1 Month

1 Week Ago

2 weeks Ago

3 Weeks Ago

4 Weeks Ago

Net Insider Buying

6.6%

1.0%

10.8%

5.1%

2.8%

0.7%

2.2%

Cash Rich Companies

0.0%

-0.9%

12.3%

-3.9%

8.9%

0.1%

7.2%

Price to Free Cash Flow

15.5%

-0.1%

12.0%

3.6%

10.1%

-0.3%

-1.7%

Growth Momentum Stocks

12.9%

-0.1%

4.9%

1.1%

4.3%

-1.4%

1.0%

Lynch Stocks

28.5%

0.3%

4.3%

-0.4%

3.9%

-0.7%

1.4%

Buffett Stocks

19.7%

0.0%

3.2%

0.5%

3.0%

-1.0%

0.8%

Graham Stocks

12.2%

0.2%

0.6%

0.6%

2.8%

-1.5%

-1.3%

Templeton Stocks

4.0%

-0.2%

-1.6%

0.1%

0.4%

-0.9%

-1.2%

 Zweig Stocks

19.6%

0.4%

4.3%

2.8%

3.6%

-1.7%

-0.4%

Average Long Stocks

13.2%

0.1%

5.6%

1.1%

4.4%

-0.7%

0.9%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Key

Passed Recent Filter

Price declined by half of stop loss setting

Oversold  based on  Williams %R  (%R2 is most recent)

Overbought based on Williams %R  (%R2 is most recent)

 

 

 

 

      Companies that have experienced net insider buying within the past 6 months of 5% or more of issued stock are listed in Table 3B.  These stocks should also appear in one of the master trader screens or meet additional screening criteria before being given serious consideration.  This list is a mixture of stocks that are optionable and those that are not.

 

 

Table 3B

Net Insider Buying Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

SNSS

12/16/05

4.9%

Sunesis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Health Care

Major Drugs

-5.5%

-5.5%

-92

-92

XGEN

11/25/05

0.0%

Xenogen Corporation

Technology

Scientific & Technical Instruments

-9.4%

0.7%

-75

-66

MEMY

12/30/05

-3.5%

Memory Pharmaceuticals Corp.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-3.5%

-1.3%

-62

-63

NXTM

01/06/06

-3.8%

NxStage Medical, Inc.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-8.0%

-3.8%

-57

-57

MMLP

11/25/05

0.0%

Martin Midstream Partners L.P.

Transportation

Water Transportation

-7.6%

1.9%

-46

-46

LXU

12/23/05

-3.9%

LSB Industries, Inc.

Basic Materials

Chemical Manufacturing

-8.7%

-2.2%

-48

-39

VSTA

10/21/05

5.0%

VistaCare, Inc.

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

-4.2%

0.3%

-33

-35

CLRT

11/18/05

2.4%

Clarient, Inc.

Technology

Scientific & Technical Instruments

-10.6%

5.0%

-42

-35

OTL

01/13/06

0.0%

Octel Corp.

Basic Materials

Chemical Manufacturing

0.0%

-0.9%

-30

-30

CRYO

11/25/05

0.0%

CryoCor, Inc.

Health Care

Medical Equipment & Supplies

-5.6%

2.6%

-24

-24

EQS

01/13/06

0.0%

Equus II Incorporated

Financial

Investment Services

0.0%

0.2%

-15

-22

SOMX

01/13/06

0.0%

Somaxon Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

0.0%

26.9%

-21

-21

MEAD

12/23/05

9.5%

Meade Instruments Corp.

Technology

Scientific & Technical Instruments

0.0%

0.7%

-16

-16

AMIC

01/13/06

0.0%

American Independence Corp.

Financial

Insurance (Miscellaneous)

0.0%

5.2%

-13

-15

BDOG

12/16/05

12.8%

Big Dog Holdings, Inc.

Services

Retail (Apparel)

0.0%

1.7%

-13

-14

MBRX

10/14/05

54.3%

Metabasis Therapeutics, Inc.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

0.0%

10.9%

-9

-9

MNKD

12/30/05

28.9%

MannKind Corporation

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

0.0%

14.1%

-4

-4

CWEI

12/09/05

0.0%

Clayton Williams Energy, Inc.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

0.0%

11.7%

-2

-2

TRMA

01/06/06

17.5%

Trico Marine Services Inc

Energy

Oil Well Services & Equipment

0.0%

17.5%

-2

-2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

      Companies with net cash positions that comprise at least 40% of their share price are listed in Table 3C.   These stocks should also appear in one of the master trader screens or meet additional screening criteria before being given serious consideration.  Again this list is a mixture of stocks that are optionable and those that are not.

 

Table 3C

Capital Rich Companies Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

WSC

07/01/05

6.0%

Wesco Financial Corporation

Conglomerates

Conglomerates

-1.8%

-1.4%

-82

-82

CLCT

01/13/06

0.0%

Collectors Universe, Inc.

Services

Business Services

0.0%

-3.9%

-59

-59

 

 

      Table 3D was added to contain companies having a low price to free cash flow (P-FCF) less than 5.  Companies having P-FCF less than 10 are typically capable of financing the purchase of all their outstanding shares of stock.

 

Table 3D

Price to Free Cash Flow Companies Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

F

11/11/05

7.3%

FORD MOTOR

Consumer Cyclical

Auto & Truck Manufacturers

-4.3%

0.4%

-31

-32

PBR

11/25/05

23.7%

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. (ADR)

Energy

Oil & Gas - Integrated

-0.2%

6.9%

-11

-14

 

 

      For the Peter Lynch screen in Table 3E, the number of selections is reduced by selecting only optionable stocks having P/E’s less than 30. 

 

 

 

Table 3E

Peter Lynch Value Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

TM

12/13/04

39.0%

Toyota Motor Corporation (ADR)

Consumer Cyclical

Auto & Truck Manufacturers

-3.6%

-2.8%

-88

-90

TMX

06/03/05

35.2%

Telefonos de Mexico, S.A. (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

-4.0%

-2.6%

-66

-66

CHL

03/18/05

49.3%

China Mobile (Hong Kong) Limited (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

-1.6%

2.9%

-53

-58

BTI

08/12/05

11.1%

British American Tobacco (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Tobacco

-3.5%

-1.8%

-55

-55

KOF

04/29/05

27.7%

Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Beverages (Non-Alcoholic)

-1.2%

0.2%

-17

-20

SKM

02/07/05

8.8%

SK Telecom Co., Ltd. (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

-5.2%

2.0%

-2

-2

 

 

 

 

 

      For the screen in Table 3F, the number of selections is reduced by selecting only optionable stocks having P/E’s less than 30.  

 

 

 

Table 3F

Growth Momentum Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

ENDP

11/18/05

1.1%

Endo Pharmaceuticals

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-7.6%

-6.5%

-95

-95

UNH

04/15/05

30.7%

UnitedHealth Group Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Accident & Health)

-4.5%

-3.1%

-62

-62

CHE

05/06/05

32.9%

Chemed Corporation

Services

Business Services

-6.4%

-5.2%

-60

-60

BJS

11/04/05

13.5%

BJ Services Company

Energy

Oil Well Services & Equipment

-2.6%

-1.5%

-37

-53

GOL

12/16/05

-2.0%

GOL Linhas Aereas Inteligentes SA (ADR)

Transportation

Airline

-9.2%

-1.7%

-56

-51

SYT

04/08/05

19.9%

Syngenta AG (ADR)

Basic Materials

Chemical Manufacturing

-1.4%

-0.4%

-38

-49

PCU

12/02/05

5.8%

Southern Copper Corporation (USA)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-4.8%

1.5%

-44

-45

BEN

11/04/05

7.5%

Franklin Resources, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-1.6%

2.3%

-35

-35

MOT

12/09/05

2.6%

Motorola, Inc.

Technology

Communications Equipment

-2.0%

-1.3%

-29

-31

BHP

09/09/05

13.6%

BHP Billiton Limited (ADR)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-1.3%

0.3%

-19

-28

CTX

11/18/05

4.5%

Centex Corporation

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-2.3%

4.2%

-23

-23

VIP

12/09/05

9.8%

Vimpel-Communications (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

0.0%

4.5%

-23

-23

LM

08/12/05

17.5%

Legg Mason, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-1.7%

5.0%

-22

-22

ADTN

11/25/05

0.0%

ADTRAN, Inc.

Technology

Communications Equipment

-2.7%

3.7%

-20

-20

ET

10/21/05

25.0%

E*TRADE FINANCIAL Corporation

Financial

Investment Services

-0.1%

0.2%

-13

-13

AMTD

10/28/05

26.5%

Ameritrade Holding Corp.

Financial

Investment Services

-0.4%

3.7%

-12

-13

OSK

03/12/05

21.3%

Oshkosh Truck Corporation

Consumer Cyclical

Auto & Truck Manufacturers

-0.2%

3.1%

-12

-12

ZIGO

12/09/05

2.8%

Zygo Corporation

Technology

Semiconductors

-0.3%

6.5%

-9

-11

HCC

10/21/05

16.8%

HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Property & Casualty)

-3.4%

2.8%

-11

-11

WSO

11/25/05

7.7%

Watsco, Incorporated

Capital Goods

Misc. Capital Goods

-1.8%

3.0%

-8

-9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

      The filter for Warren Buffet style stock picking in Table 3G is for the intermediate to long term.  Two requirements were added.  One was to include only optionable stocks in order to find LEAPS opportunities.  The other requirement was to include only those stocks having a PE of 17 or less.

 

 

Table 3G

Warren Buffett Value Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

NKE

09/23/05

6.1%

NIKE, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Footwear

-5.7%

0.5%

-70

-70

PSUN

12/09/05

-5.3%

Pacific Sunwear of CA

Services

Retail (Apparel)

-6.7%

-1.9%

-68

-68

ACS

04/29/05

26.5%

Affiliated Computer Services, Inc.

Technology

Computer Services

-2.7%

-2.7%

-56

-68

FOSL

12/02/05

9.2%

Fossil, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Jewelry & Silverware

-4.5%

-3.0%

-66

-66

NUE

04/15/05

42.4%

Nucor Corporation

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

-4.1%

-3.4%

-54

-63

PGR

12/27/04

38.6%

The Progressive Corp.

Financial

Insurance (Property & Casualty)

-5.8%

0.4%

-60

-60

RS

04/15/05

68.8%

Reliance Steel & Aluminum

Basic Materials

Misc. Fabricated Products

-3.4%

2.7%

-52

-56

RI

09/02/05

22.4%

Ruby Tuesday, Inc.

Services

Restaurants

-2.0%

-2.0%

-55

-55

BTI

12/30/05

-0.6%

British American Tobacco (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Tobacco

-2.5%

-1.8%

-55

-55

LNCR

12/27/04

1.9%

Lincare Holdings Inc.

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

-6.6%

-1.3%

-48

-48

MIK

10/14/05

8.1%

Michaels Stores, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-12.8%

2.1%

-55

-47

HDI

10/14/05

7.4%

Harley-Davidson, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Recreational Products

-5.2%

1.4%

-44

-44

STLD

12/16/05

6.2%

Steel Dynamics, Inc.

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

-1.3%

-0.5%

-39

-39

EASI

09/09/05

24.8%

Engineered Support System

Capital Goods

Misc. Capital Goods

-0.6%

0.6%

-38

-38

TOL

12/16/05

1.0%

Toll Brothers, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-5.4%

1.4%

-36

-36

THO

04/15/05

57.2%

Thor Industries, Inc.

Capital Goods

Mobile Homes & RVs

-2.2%

1.0%

-30

-32

FNF

10/21/05

3.1%

Fidelity National Financial

Financial

Insurance (Property & Casualty)

-4.7%

0.7%

-26

-26

DHI

10/21/05

29.9%

D.R. Horton Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-2.7%

8.1%

-21

-21

CCRT

12/30/05

6.1%

CompuCredit Corporation

Financial

Consumer Financial Services

-1.0%

-0.1%

-18

-18

ABFS

04/29/05

43.8%

Arkansas Best Corporation

Transportation

Trucking

-0.4%

1.6%

-14

-14

ASH

10/28/05

20.9%

Ashland Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-0.3%

0.9%

-8

-8

DSPG

02/07/05

7.8%

DSP Group, Inc.

Technology

Communications Equipment

-0.8%

0.6%

-7

-7

RCII

10/21/05

25.5%

Rent-A-Center, Inc

Services

Rental & Leasing

0.0%

7.0%

-1

-1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

      Stocks from Benjamin Graham’s style of utility investing are listed in Table 3H.  A requirement was added to include only those stocks having a PE of 17 or less.  

 

 

 

 

 

Table 3H

Benjamin Graham Utility Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

PGN

01/10/05

-2.6%

Progress Energy, Inc.

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-6.2%

-1.2%

-85

-85

PNW

01/10/05

-3.2%

Pinnacle West Capital

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-10.1%

-2.6%

-64

-76

ATO

04/01/05

-1.2%

Atmos Energy Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-10.6%

-0.7%

-38

-49

UU

06/10/05

-1.9%

United Utilities PLC (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-4.1%

1.1%

-40

-46

ATG

10/21/05

7.8%

AGL Resources Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-1.9%

0.0%

-35

-41

WPS

02/07/05

10.0%

WPS Resources Corp

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-4.8%

-0.3%

-32

-36

WGL

12/23/05

0.3%

WGL Holdings, Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-0.5%

-0.5%

-28

-28

KEP

01/10/05

70.3%

Korea Electric Power Corporation (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-2.1%

1.6%

-27

-28

UGI

12/30/05

8.1%

UGI Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-0.6%

4.3%

-22

-26

SRE

01/10/05

30.6%

Sempra Energy

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-0.6%

0.5%

-13

-15

OKE

11/11/05

5.9%

ONEOK, Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

0.0%

2.3%

-6

-7

CPK

05/06/05

21.9%

Chesapeake Utilities

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-9.9%

2.8%

-7

-7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

      Optionable stocks from John Templeton’s style of investing are listed in Table 3I.  

 

Table 3I

John Templeton Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

WSM

09/02/05

10.3%

Williams-Sonoma, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-7.2%

-1.5%

-99

-99

EDMC

12/16/05

-3.1%

Education Management Corp

Services

Schools

-4.0%

-1.3%

-87

-85

DGX

08/19/05

1.6%

Quest Diagnostics Incorporated

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

-3.3%

-2.4%

-83

-83

KSWS

12/30/05

-6.1%

K-Swiss Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Footwear

-6.1%

0.2%

-82

-82

CAKE

10/21/05

6.2%

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated

Services

Restaurants

-4.9%

-1.8%

-80

-77

AMSG

10/14/05

-2.4%

AmSurg Corp.

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

-7.8%

-2.1%

-77

-77

SNV

05/27/05

-8.4%

Synovus Financial Corp.

Financial

Regional Banks

-10.5%

-2.2%

-76

-76

SFG

05/27/05

33.1%

StanCorp Financial Group, Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Life)

-5.7%

-0.5%

-68

-68

HHS

10/28/05

3.8%

Harte-Hanks, Inc.

Services

Printing & Publishing

-1.7%

-1.6%

-67

-67

CHD

11/18/05

-0.7%

Church & Dwight Co., Inc.

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Personal & Household Products

-2.1%

-0.3%

-60

-65

UNH

12/30/05

-1.9%

UnitedHealth Group Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Accident & Health)

-3.1%

-3.1%

-62

-62

MIK

12/30/05

-4.8%

Michaels Stores, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-4.8%

2.1%

-55

-47

EWBC

12/30/05

2.0%

East West Bancorp, Inc.

Financial

Regional Banks

-0.5%

1.1%

-34

-40

EASI

06/03/05

19.6%

Engineered Support System

Capital Goods

Misc. Capital Goods

-0.6%

0.6%

-38

-38

LOW

11/18/05

0.4%

Lowe's Companies, Inc.

Services

Retail (Home Improvement)

-4.6%

2.4%

-40

-38

TOL

12/09/05

7.2%

Toll Brothers, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-5.4%

1.4%

-36

-36

MDC

12/30/05

5.2%

M.D.C. Holdings, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-2.5%

1.1%

-35

-35

SPF

01/13/06

0.0%

Standard Pacific Corp.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

0.0%

5.9%

-28

-28

GISX

12/30/05

5.2%

Global Imaging Systems, Inc.

Technology

Office Equipment

0.0%

2.4%

-12

-12

CPS

05/27/05

13.3%

ChoicePoint Inc.

Services

Business Services

-0.4%

1.1%

-10

-10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

      Optionable stocks from Martin Zweig’s style of investing are listed in Table 3J.  

 

 

 

 

Table 3J

Martin Zweig Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

STRA

01/13/06

0.0%

Strayer Education, Inc.

Services

Schools

0.0%

-4.3%

-97

-97

ESI

11/04/05

-3.2%

ITT Educational Services

Services

Schools

-8.3%

-2.6%

-95

-95

EXP

10/28/05

18.5%

Eagle Materials, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction - Raw Materials

-3.7%

-1.9%

-86

-86

POOL

06/10/05

7.4%

SCP Pool Corporation

Consumer Cyclical

Recreational Products

-7.6%

0.4%

-49

-49

MCO

07/29/05

35.7%

Moody's Corporation

Services

Business Services

-2.2%

1.2%

-33

-36

BEN

10/28/05

13.2%

Franklin Resources, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-1.6%

2.3%

-35

-35

BR

12/02/05

18.9%

Burlington Resources Inc.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-0.1%

0.3%

-28

-33

APA

12/23/05

1.5%

Apache Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

0.0%

1.8%

-19

-27