Text Box: Wiser Trader Stocks and Options Newsletter
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Issue No. 63 – January 23, 2006                 Prescott, Arizona                    Systems@WiserTrader.com

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(Delayed issue containing some additional watchlist entries)

1.0   Trading

 

      The first month of earnings season has been down for six out of the last eight quarters. 

 

1.1 Retracement

 

      The breakout of the S&P 500 from the rising wedge formation was premature, as seen in Figure 1.  If the rising wedge pattern continues, we will face another critical point in April when the S&P 500 reaches support at around 1,225.  The S&P has declined the first month of the new quarter for six out of the last eight quarters, as illustrated by the rectangles. 

 

FIGURE 1

 

© 2005 WiserTrader.com, LLC.  Members of wisertrader.com are neither licensed brokers nor licensed advisors.   Trades discussed represent recommendations made by the editor for the wisertrader.com portfolio.  The newsletter and web site are for information only and should not be considered as personal advice.   While it is believed that the posted information is factual, mistakes can be made in transcription.  Investors should trade stocks only after verifying all information and consulting with a licensed broker or adviser.  WiserTrader.commarkets third party trading systems but has no other affiliation with trading system companies.

 

1.2 Options

 

            Options are highly volatile, making it possible to gain or lose money very quickly.  While they are not for everyone, they have distinct advantages when continuously monitored.  As most of you know, an options contract grants the right to buy (call option) or sell (put option) 100 shares of an underlying stock at a specified strike price by a specified expiration date.  Option contracts are traded just like stocks for a price known as the premium.  An option’s fair value is based on the underlying stock price, the stock’s volatility, the time to expiration, the risk free interest rate and the difference between the stock price and the strike price.  The value of an options contract falls to zero after expiration.  This brief discussion is not meant as a tutorial.  Key words are italicized for later lookup. 

 

      Many comparisons between trading stocks versus options can be made.  A trader needs to consider how much profit will make a trade worth the investment.  If the target profit is, say 25%, he has to ask how long it will likely take.  On average, it took about 9 months for the S&P 500 to increase 25% during the bull market run up from 1996 to 2000.  A trade involving 100 shares of a $60 growth stock would tie up $6,000 in capital. 

 

      Compared to trading stocks, options have a lower entry cost with a shorter holding time. For an underlying stock priced around $60, the average at the money option premium is $6.00.  This makes the average 100-share contract cost $600, a factor of 10 lower than the cost of buying 100 shares of the actual stock. 

 

      For a given percentage price move in the underlying stock, the percentage change in an option’s price is 5 to 10 times greater.  This means the stock needs to move only 2½ to 5% to provide a 25% profit on the contract. 

 

      The 9-month trading period for the S&P 500 would have been shortened proportionately.  One can be in and out of several profitable options trades in the time it takes an underlying stock to move 25%.  

 

      Moreover, it is much easier to predict a 2½ to 5% price move over a short period than it is to predict a 25% price move over a longer period.  It is true that some penny stocks offer similar returns as options.  Like penny stocks, options need to be carefully watched.  However, given the choice between trading a penny stock versus an option on a proven $60 stock, with prospects for the same percentage return, it is not too difficult a decision to make.  A small price move in a high quality stock is easier to predict than a large price move in a penny stock.

 

      It is strongly recommended that when doing any kind of trading, options or otherwise, that an established trading system be used with a working knowledge of chart analysis.  As long as this is followed, the trading of simple put and call options requires little more effort than trading stocks.  After one has established a 70% or so success rate in predicting the direction of price movement, it would pay to consider trading options.

 

 

 

2.0 Market Analysis

 

      Choppiness for the first three weeks of earnings season is an understatement.  Expectations are for earnings to be up about 14% over the previous year but with lowered projected earnings for 2006.  With 20% of companies reporting so far, only half met or exceeded expectations, compared to the normal 75%.  It is still early.  Precious metals and energy are still expected to be near term leaders due to geopolitical concerns and colder weather.  Conditions imply a continued flat to downward bias for the broader market, as seen for the past week.

 

      Key industry ETF’s in Table 2A are Biotech and Semiconductors, which confirm the NASDAQ.  Transportation confirms the Dow Jones Industrial Average according to Dow Theory.  Banking and Financials are confirming indicators for the S&P 500.  Gold and Real Estate are respective indicators for the inverse health of the currency (inflation) and the capacity for consumer spending. 

 

Table 2A

Indices, Key Industry ETF’s and Sector SPDR’s

 

1 month

1 wk ago

2 wks ago

3 wks ago

4 wks ago

Dow Jones Industrial Index

-2.0%

-2.7%

0.0%

2.3%

-1.5%

NASDAQ Composite Index

-0.1%

-3.0%

0.5%

4.5%

-2.0%

NYSE Composite Index

-0.6%

-2.0%

0.2%

3.0%

-1.6%

S & P 500 Index

0.8%

-1.5%

-0.1%

3.6%

-1.1%

Russell 2000 Index

2.6%

-0.5%

1.3%

3.9%

-1.9%

GLD, GOLD

10.1%

-0.4%

3.2%

4.1%

2.9%

RKH, Banking

-4.3%

-3.5%

-0.7%

2.2%

-2.3%

IYT, Transportation

-3.2%

0.0%

-1.7%

0.2%

-1.7%

SMH, Semiconductors

-1.1%

-5.2%

-0.5%

8.2%

-3.1%

BBH, Biotechnology

-4.4%

-1.6%

-1.4%

0.5%

-2.0%

IYR, Real Estate

2.5%

-0.3%

-0.1%

4.8%

-1.8%

OIH, Oil

14.8%

6.6%

1.7%

8.7%

-2.5%

XLE, Energy

10.1%

3.6%

1.9%

6.3%

-1.8%

XLU, Utilities

2.7%

1.6%

0.1%

2.5%

-1.4%

XLB, Materials

-1.3%

-1.5%

-2.6%

3.7%

-0.8%

XLI, Industrial

-2.8%

-2.1%

-0.5%

1.1%

-1.3%

XLK, Technology

-0.6%

-3.9%

0.6%

5.3%

-2.3%

XLV, Healthcare

-1.0%

-1.5%

-0.3%

2.6%

-1.8%

XLF, Financials

-2.7%

-3.7%

0.2%

2.5%

-1.6%

XLP, Consumer Staples

-2.1%

-1.3%

-0.1%

0.9%

-1.6%

XLY, Consumer Discretionary

-0.4%

-1.8%

0.7%

2.1%

-1.3%


 

            Market sentiment is shown in Table 2B.

 

Table 2B

Market Sentiment

Sentiment Indicator

Current

Last Week

2 Weeks Ago

Complacent

Cautious

VIX **

14.6

11.2

11.0

< 20

> 50

VXN ***

19.5

15.3

15.0

< 30

> 70

Put/Call Ratio

0.692

0.586

0.583

< 0.6

> 0.7

%Bulls - %Bears

34.4%

34.7%

32.0%

> 29%

< 20%

**   Above 20 day SMA = Short-term sell signal.

*** Above 20 day SMA = Short-term sell signal.

 

 

 

 

      Figure 1 compares index-tracking stocks for the major averages with key ETF’s and Sector SPDR’s.

 

FIGURE 1

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 2C

Market Summary


 
 

 Major Indices 
 For the Past Week:
 Dow Jones     -2.7%
 NASDAQ        -3.0%
 S&P500 Index  -2.0%
 Russell 2000  -0.5%
 
 30 Year Bond 4.531%
 10 Year Note 4.361%
 
 Leading Industries
 For the Past Week:
 Oil Equipment & Services 
 Oil Equipment, Services & Dis 
 Platinum & Precious Metals 
 Railroads 
 Pipelines 
 Exploration & Production 
 Oil & Gas 
 Aerospace & Defense 
 Gambling 
 Industrial Transportation            
 
 Lagging Industries
 For the Past Week:
 Internet 
 Auto Parts 
 Semiconductors 
 General Mining 
 Gold Mining 
 Automobiles & Parts 
 Full Line Insurance 
 Insurance Brokers 
 Technology Hardware & Equipt 
 Technology   
          
 Leading Industries
 For the Past Month:
 Oil Equipment & Services 
 Oil Equipment, Services & Dis 
 Platinum & Precious Metals 
 Gold Mining 
 Mining 
 Oil & Gas 
 Industrial Suppliers 
 Exploration & Production 
 Gambling 
 Heavy Construction  
 
 Lagging Industries
 For the Past Month:
 Internet 
 Auto Parts 
 Airlines 
 Brewers 
 Home Improvement Retailers 
 Diversified Industrials 
 Marine Transportation 
 General Industrials 
 Banks 
 Paper                
 
 Crude Oil $68.48
 
 Gold for the past 30 days:
 USD    +12.41%
 CAD    +11.05%
 CHF    + 9.46%
 GBP    +10.88%
 EUR    + 9.81%
 JPY    +10.68%

 

3.0 Procedure

 

      The following watch lists contain stock candidates for consideration.  They are not necessarily trades.  Categories include checklists for insider buying and cash rich companies, as well as, filters that employ stock picking methods used by master traders. 

 

      Current stock rankings are based on the degree to which stocks are overbought or over sold based on the 10-period Williams %R for the past two trading days.  Two columns are labeled “%R1” and “%R2” with “%R2” indicating the Williams %R for the most recent trading day.  Of course, values more negative than -80 are oversold and those less negative than -20 are overbought.

 

      A column labeled “Weekly % Gain” was added to show the inverse relationship between price action over the past week and the Williams %R. 

 

      One should keep in mind that oversold stocks are not necessarily ready to move upward.  They could very well be in a condition of continuous decline.  The lists are meant to serve as a starting point for further due diligence. 

 

      The “Reference” is the date that a stock passed the indicated filter and was first added to or returned to the list.  The “% Change” is how the price has changed since the reference date.  Stocks that are down 10% or more after being listed are removed for a period of about two months.  The “% from Max” is the percentage the price has declined from the maximum price reached since the reference date.  Stocks that are down 8% from their highs after being listed are flagged in yellow.  Stocks that are down 15% from their highs after being listed are removed for two months.  More information on filters is available on the web site.

 

      A performance summary of filtering techniques for checklists and master trader selection methods is given in Table 3A.  

 

 

 

 

Table 3A

Stock Filter Summary

Filter

Avg. % Change Since Listed

Avg. % Change Friday

1 Month

1 Week Ago

2 weeks Ago

3 Weeks Ago

4 Weeks Ago

Net Insider Buying

8.8%

-0.4%

14.4%

3.7%

5.4%

3.6%

0.8%

Cash Rich Companies

4.4%

1.3%

0.1%

-0.3%

-0.3%

0.2%

0.6%

Price to Free Cash Flow

6.1%

1.6%

6.0%

-1.1%

1.5%

4.4%

0.9%

Growth Momentum Stocks

12.4%

0.7%

3.6%

-0.4%

0.4%

5.0%

-1.4%

Lynch Stocks

25.0%

-0.5%

0.2%

-2.6%

-1.1%

4.7%

-0.7%

Buffett Stocks

18.1%

0.4%

1.6%

-0.9%

-0.5%

4.2%

-1.1%

Graham Stocks

12.7%

0.0%

2.3%

0.4%

0.3%

3.1%

-1.5%

Templeton Stocks

1.7%

-0.4%

-2.6%

-2.2%

-0.7%

1.1%

-0.9%

 Zweig Stocks

19.8%

0.0%

5.0%

0.3%

0.4%

6.1%

-1.8%

Average Long Stocks

12.1%

0.3%

3.4%

-0.3%

0.6%

3.6%

-0.6%

 

 

 

Key

Passed Recent Filter

Price declined by half of stop loss setting

Oversold  based on  Williams %R  (%R2 is most recent)

Overbought based on Williams %R  (%R2 is most recent)

 

 

      Companies that have experienced net insider buying within the past 6 months of 5% or more of issued stock are listed in Table 3B.  These stocks should also appear in one of the master trader screens or meet additional screening criteria before being given serious consideration.  This list is a mixture of stocks that are optionable and those that are not.

 

 

Table 3B

Net Insider Buying Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

VSTA

10/21/05

2.7%

VistaCare, Inc.

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

-6.4%

-2.2%

-70

-83

SNSS

12/16/05

-0.6%

Sunesis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Health Care

Major Drugs

-10.5%

-5.2%

-80

-75

NXTM

01/06/06

-6.8%

NxStage Medical, Inc.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-10.8%

-3.0%

-62

-72

XGEN

11/25/05

0.0%

Xenogen Corporation

Technology

Scientific & Technical Instruments

-12.2%

-3.1%

-63

-72

NTOP

01/20/06

0.5%

Net2Phone, Inc.

Services

Communications Services

0.5%

0.5%

-100

-67

MEMY

12/30/05

6.6%

Memory Pharmaceuticals Corp.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-13.8%

10.5%

-44

-62

CLRT

11/18/05

-1.6%

Clarient, Inc.

Technology

Scientific & Technical Instruments

-14.2%

-4.0%

-50

-57

EQS

01/13/06

0.0%

Equus II Incorporated

Financial

Investment Services

-0.9%

-0.2%

-67

-48

ISO

01/20/06

0.0%

ISCO International, Inc.

Technology

Semiconductors

2.9%

-7.7%

-50

-40

BDOG

12/16/05

10.7%

Big Dog Holdings, Inc.

Services

Retail (Apparel)

-1.8%

-1.8%

-64

-37

MEAD

12/23/05

24.0%

Meade Instruments Corp.

Technology

Scientific & Technical Instruments

-3.8%

13.2%

-12

-29

AMIC

01/13/06

-0.9%

American Independence Corp.

Financial

Insurance (Miscellaneous)

-1.8%

-0.9%

-1

-28

TRMA

01/06/06

13.6%

Trico Marine Services Inc

Energy

Oil Well Services & Equipment

-4.1%

-3.3%

-25

-27

MBRX

10/14/05

51.8%

Metabasis Therapeutics, Inc.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-1.6%

-1.6%

-23

-24

OTL

01/13/06

7.4%

Octel Corp.

Basic Materials

Chemical Manufacturing

0.3%

7.4%

-40

-19

MNKD

12/30/05

58.1%

MannKind Corporation

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-3.3%

22.7%

-5

-15

LXU

12/23/05

-1.6%

LSB Industries, Inc.

Basic Materials

Chemical Manufacturing

-6.4%

2.5%

0

-14

IDMI

01/20/06

-2.6%

IDM Pharma Inc.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-2.6%

19.7%

-6

-12

MMLP

11/25/05

0.0%

Martin Midstream Partners L.P.

Transportation

Water Transportation

-6.5%

1.2%

-6

-12

SOMX

01/13/06

24.1%

Somaxon Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

1.5%

24.1%

-11

-5

CWEI

12/09/05

0.0%

Clayton Williams Energy, Inc.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

1.5%

10.1%

-11

-4

 

 

 

      Companies with net cash positions that comprise at least 40% of their share price are listed in Table 3C.   These stocks should also appear in one of the master trader screens or meet additional screening criteria before being given serious consideration.  Again this list is a mixture of stocks that are optionable and those that are not.

 

Table 3C

Capital Rich Companies Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

HIH

01/20/06

2.0%

Highland Hospitality Corporation

Services

Hotels & Motels

2.0%

-1.3%

-82

-46

WSC

07/01/05

6.9%

Wesco Financial Corporation

Conglomerates

Conglomerates

-1.0%

0.8%

-58

-29

 

      Table 3D was added to contain companies having a low price to free cash flow (P-FCF) less than 5.  Companies having P-FCF less than 10 are typically capable of financing the purchase of all their outstanding shares of stock.

 

Table 3D

Price to Free Cash Flow Companies Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

TEO

01/20/06

0.2%

Telecom Argentina S.A. (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

0.2%

-6.8%

-100

-98

MOVI

01/20/06

-1.1%

Movie Gallery, Inc.

Services

Recreational Activities

-1.1%

-3.4%

-75

-84

UL

01/20/06

0.9%

Unilever plc (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Food Processing

0.9%

-1.2%

-92

-61

F

11/11/05

4.4%

FORD MOTOR

Consumer Cyclical

Auto & Truck Manufacturers

-6.8%

-2.7%

-95

-58

BBI

01/20/06

1.3%

Blockbuster Inc.

Services

Recreational Activities

1.3%

1.6%

-49

-51

PBR

11/25/05

31.0%

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. (ADR)

Energy

Oil & Gas - Integrated

3.1%

5.9%

-7

26

 

      For the Peter Lynch screen in Table 3E, the number of selections is reduced by selecting only optionable stocks having P/E’s less than 30. 

 

Table 3E

Peter Lynch Value Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

TMX

06/03/05

27.1%

Telefonos de Mexico, S.A. (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

-9.8%

-6.0%

-99

-112

KOF

04/29/05

23.9%

Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Beverages (Non-Alcoholic)

-4.2%

-3.0%

-52

-109

CHL

03/18/05

42.3%

China Mobile (Hong Kong) Limited (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

-6.2%

-4.7%

-81

-84

SKM

02/07/05

6.6%

SK Telecom Co., Ltd. (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

-7.1%

-2.0%

-40

-61

TM

12/13/04

37.9%

Toyota Motor Corporation (ADR)

Consumer Cyclical

Auto & Truck Manufacturers

-4.4%

-0.8%

-68

-58

BTI

08/12/05

12.1%

British American Tobacco (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Tobacco

-2.6%

0.9%

-31

-16

 

      For the screen in Table 3F, the number of selections is reduced by selecting only optionable stocks having P/E’s less than 30.  

 

 

 

Table 3F

Growth Momentum Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

UNH

04/15/05

24.3%

UnitedHealth Group Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Accident & Health)

-9.1%

-4.8%

-95

-136

MOT

12/09/05

-5.3%

Motorola, Inc.

Technology

Communications Equipment

-9.6%

-7.7%

-99

-113

ENDP

11/18/05

-5.8%

Endo Pharmaceuticals

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-13.9%

-6.9%

-95

-98

CHE

05/06/05

27.5%

Chemed Corporation

Services

Business Services

-10.1%

-4.0%

-92

-95

CTX

11/18/05

-0.5%

Centex Corporation

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-7.0%

-4.8%

-86

-93

OSK

03/12/05

19.3%

Oshkosh Truck Corporation

Consumer Cyclical

Auto & Truck Manufacturers

-2.2%

-1.7%

-35

-72

BEN

11/04/05

6.7%

Franklin Resources, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-2.3%

-0.8%

-71

-69

VIP

12/09/05

8.2%

Vimpel-Communications (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

-1.5%

-1.5%

-56

-51

ET

10/21/05

23.7%

E*TRADE FINANCIAL Corporation

Financial

Investment Services

-1.2%

-1.0%

-93

-43

HCC

10/21/05

16.2%

HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Property & Casualty)

-3.9%

-0.5%

-47

-37

ADTN

11/25/05

0.0%

ADTRAN, Inc.

Technology

Communications Equipment

-1.8%

1.0%

-55

-37

GOL

12/16/05

-0.3%

GOL Linhas Aereas Inteligentes SA (ADR)

Transportation

Airline

-7.6%

1.7%

-44

-29

PCU

12/02/05

6.1%

Southern Copper Corporation (USA)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-4.5%

0.3%

-43

-25

ZIGO

12/09/05

6.1%

Zygo Corporation

Technology

Semiconductors

-0.7%

3.3%

-18

-23

AMTD

10/28/05

26.7%

Ameritrade Holding Corp.

Financial

Investment Services

-0.3%

0.2%

-57

-23

LM

08/12/05

19.7%

Legg Mason, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-0.4%

1.8%

-18

-22

WSO

11/25/05

9.4%

Watsco, Incorporated

Capital Goods

Misc. Capital Goods

-0.6%

1.6%

-9

-21

BHP

09/09/05

17.9%

BHP Billiton Limited (ADR)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-0.1%

3.8%

-36

-12

SYT

04/08/05

22.4%

Syngenta AG (ADR)

Basic Materials

Chemical Manufacturing

0.6%

2.0%

-38

-3

BJS

11/04/05

25.2%

BJ Services Company

Energy

Oil Well Services & Equipment

3.6%

10.3%

-22

14

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

      The filter for Warren Buffet style stock picking in Table 3G is for the intermediate to long term.  Two requirements were added.  One was to include only optionable stocks in order to find LEAPS opportunities.  The other requirement was to include only those stocks having a PE of 17 or less.

 

 

Table 3G

Warren Buffett Value Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly  % Gain

%R1

%R2

LNCR

12/27/04

-1.4%

Lincare Holdings Inc.

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

-9.7%

-3.3%

-94

-139

CCRT

12/30/05

3.0%

CompuCredit Corporation

Financial

Consumer Financial Services

-3.9%

-3.0%

-86

-119

ABFS

04/29/05

37.2%

Arkansas Best Corporation

Transportation

Trucking

-4.9%

-4.6%

-54

-109

NKE

09/23/05

2.7%

NIKE, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Footwear

-8.7%

-3.2%

-91

-109

TOL

12/16/05

-6.8%

Toll Brothers, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-12.7%

-7.7%

-97

-104

PGR

12/27/04

28.9%

The Progressive Corp.

Financial

Insurance (Property & Casualty)

-12.4%

-7.0%

-96

-93

ACS

04/29/05

17.5%

Affiliated Computer Services, Inc.

Technology

Computer Services

-9.6%

-7.1%

-91

-90

DHI

10/21/05

22.4%

D.R. Horton Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-8.3%

-5.7%

-66

-84

PSUN

12/09/05

-7.4%

Pacific Sunwear of CA

Services

Retail (Apparel)

-8.8%

-2.2%

-93

-80

MDC

01/20/06

-0.8%

M.D.C. Holdings, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-0.8%

-1.0%

-35

-79

THO

04/15/05

53.5%

Thor Industries, Inc.

Capital Goods

Mobile Homes & RVs

-4.5%

-2.3%

-77

-65

DSPG

02/07/05

5.9%

DSP Group, Inc.

Technology

Communications Equipment

-3.4%

-1.8%

-62

-59

FOSL

12/02/05

11.3%

Fossil, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Jewelry & Silverware

-2.7%

1.9%

-60

-58

MIK

10/14/05

6.0%

Michaels Stores, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-14.5%

-1.9%

-55

-53

ASH

10/28/05

20.1%

Ashland Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-1.2%

-0.6%

-33

-49

FNF

10/21/05

3.0%

Fidelity National Financial

Financial

Insurance (Property & Casualty)

-4.7%

-0.1%

-33

-30

HDI

10/14/05

9.5%

Harley-Davidson, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Recreational Products

-3.4%

1.9%

-47

-27

NUE

04/15/05

48.4%

Nucor Corporation

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

-0.1%

4.2%

-66

-16

BTI

12/30/05

0.3%

British American Tobacco (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Tobacco

-1.6%

0.9%

-31

-16

RI

09/02/05

24.6%

Ruby Tuesday, Inc.

Services

Restaurants

-0.3%

1.7%

-56

-7

RS

04/15/05

92.4%

Reliance Steel & Aluminum

Basic Materials

Misc. Fabricated Products

1.6%

13.9%

-17

-7

RCII

10/21/05

26.5%

Rent-A-Center, Inc

Services

Rental & Leasing

0.6%

0.8%

-12

-5

EASI

09/09/05

26.8%

Engineered Support System

Capital Goods

Misc. Capital Goods

0.2%

1.6%

-16

-2

STLD

12/16/05

10.0%

Steel Dynamics, Inc.

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

2.2%

3.6%

-93

27

 

 

 

 

 

      Stocks from Benjamin Graham’s style of utility investing are listed in Table 3H.  A requirement was added to include only those stocks having a PE of 17 or less.  

 

 

 

 

 

Table 3H

Benjamin Graham Utility Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

ATO

04/01/05

-2.7%

Atmos Energy Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-12.0%

-1.5%

-91

-128

UGI

12/30/05

3.8%

UGI Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-4.6%

-4.0%

-53

-97

ATG

10/21/05

7.6%

AGL Resources Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-2.1%

-0.3%

-70

-73

WPS

02/07/05

10.1%

WPS Resources Corp

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-4.7%

0.1%

-63

-67

WGL

12/23/05

-0.3%

WGL Holdings, Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-1.1%

-0.6%

-95

-58

CPK

05/06/05

21.3%

Chesapeake Utilities

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-10.3%

-0.5%

-28

-50

OKE

11/11/05

7.4%

ONEOK, Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-1.6%

1.4%

-47

-44

SRE

01/10/05

31.5%

Sempra Energy

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-0.4%

0.7%

-26

-36

KEP

01/10/05

74.8%

Korea Electric Power Corporation (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-0.7%

2.6%

-46

-30

PGN

01/10/05

-1.3%

Progress Energy, Inc.

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-4.9%

1.3%

-40

-29

PNW

01/10/05

0.8%

Pinnacle West Capital

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-6.4%

4.1%

-38

-21

UU

06/10/05

-0.2%

United Utilities PLC (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-2.5%

1.7%

-19

-5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

      Optionable stocks from John Templeton’s style of investing are listed in Table 3I.  

 

Table 3I

John Templeton Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

DGX

08/19/05

-2.0%

Quest Diagnostics Incorporated

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

-6.7%

-3.5%

-89

-159

UNH

12/30/05

-6.7%

UnitedHealth Group Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Accident & Health)

-7.8%

-4.8%

-95

-136

EDMC

12/16/05

-9.7%

Education Management Corp

Services

Schools

-10.5%

-6.8%

-95

-112

CAKE

10/21/05

3.4%

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated

Services

Restaurants

-7.4%

-2.6%

-89

-112

SPF

01/13/06

-7.0%

Standard Pacific Corp.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-7.0%

-7.0%

-74

-108

WSM

09/02/05

6.7%

Williams-Sonoma, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-10.2%

-3.2%

-97

-108

EWBC

12/30/05

-1.9%

East West Bancorp, Inc.

Financial

Regional Banks

-4.3%

-3.8%

-99

-108

TOL

12/09/05

-1.1%

Toll Brothers, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-12.7%

-7.7%

-97

-104

LOW

11/18/05

-4.1%

Lowe's Companies, Inc.

Services

Retail (Home Improvement)

-8.9%

-4.5%

-99

-96

SFG

05/27/05

28.2%

StanCorp Financial Group, Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Life)

-9.3%

-3.7%

-100

-88

MDC

12/30/05

4.1%

M.D.C. Holdings, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-3.5%

-1.0%

-35

-79

HHS

10/28/05

2.6%

Harte-Hanks, Inc.

Services

Printing & Publishing

-2.9%

-1.1%

-99

-79

AMSG

10/14/05

-2.9%

AmSurg Corp.

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

-8.3%

-0.4%

-72

-71

ORLY

01/20/06

0.9%

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

0.9%

-0.9%

-81

-62

KSWS

12/30/05

-5.8%

K-Swiss Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Footwear

-5.8%

0.3%

-66

-55

MIK

12/30/05

-6.7%

Michaels Stores, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-6.7%

-1.9%

-55

-53

SNV

05/27/05

-7.2%

Synovus Financial Corp.

Financial

Regional Banks

-9.4%

1.3%

-49

-31

CPS

05/27/05

15.1%

ChoicePoint Inc.

Services

Business Services

-0.2%

1.6%

-45

-29

CHD

11/18/05

1.3%

Church & Dwight Co., Inc.

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Personal & Household Products

-0.7%

2.0%

-39

-19

GISX

12/30/05

6.2%

Global Imaging Systems, Inc.

Technology

Office Equipment

0.6%

0.9%

-14

-2

EASI

06/03/05

21.5%

Engineered Support System

Capital Goods

Misc. Capital Goods

0.2%

1.6%

-16

-2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

      Optionable stocks from Martin Zweig’s style of investing are listed in Table 3J.  

 

 

 

 

Table 3J

Martin Zweig Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Weekly % Gain

%R1

%R2

MOT

01/20/06

-1.3%

Motorola, Inc.

Technology

Communications Equipment

-1.3%

-7.7%

-99

-113

STRA

01/13/06

-3.1%

Strayer Education, Inc.

Services

Schools