Wiser Trader Stocks and Options Newsletter

______________________________________________________________________________

 

Issue No. 69   March 13, 2006                       Prescott, Arizona                       Systems@WiserTrader.com

______________________________________________________________________________

 

1.0   Trading

 

      The market is beginning to show weakness as measured by relative gains in major indices.

 

1.1 Outlook

 

      Market outlook can be judged by comparing the difference between percentage gains of major averages, as illustrated in Figure 1.  The NASDAQ (N) is a proxy for entrepreneurship and speculation.  The DOW (D) represents blue chips favored by institutional investors, the S&P 500 (S) represents large caps favored by conservative investors and the Russell 2000 (R) represents small caps favored by the retail investor.  The balance between speculator and conservative investor strength, measured by the ratio of NASDAQ gains to S&P 500 gains, has been declining.  This includes last Friday’s up tick on weak volume.  This gauge tells us that investors see tough times ahead.  Another gauge of market outlook is that institutional investors continue to run up blue chips in the DOW 30 causing the ratio of S&P 500 gains to DOW gains to decline.  Finally, the Russell 2000 has been weaker relative to the DOW over the past five or six trading days. 

 

FIGURE 1

 

© 2005 WiserTrader.com, LLC.  Members of wisertrader.com are neither licensed brokers nor licensed advisors.  Trades discussed represent recommendations made by the editor for the wisertrader.com portfolio.  The newsletter and web site are for information only and should not be considered as personal advice.  While it is believed that the posted information is factual, mistakes can be made in transcription.  Investors should trade stocks only after verifying all information and consulting with a licensed broker or adviser.  WiserTrader.commarkets third party trading systems but has no other affiliation with trading system companies.

 

      The NASDAQ has remained directionless since mid January, as shown in Figure 2.  The trend lines are based on a two-year chart.  We have gotten used to seeing it move up one day and down the next or up two days and down the next two or something like that.  Until very recently, we have not seen sustained movement in either direction.  Over the past 10 trading days, the NASDAQ moved in the same direction four or five days out of six.  Unfortunately, the direction was down on strong volume.  Although it remains within its short term trading range, its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) is approaching from below.

 

 

FIGURE 2

 

 

 

 

2.0 Market Analysis

 

      Although a strong focus remains on bond yields, the stock market is choosing to ignore it; I believe only to react eventually as if rising yields were new information.  As we enter warnings season with high oil prices, the markets can be expected to remain choppy and mixed.

 

      Key industry ETF’s in Table 2A are Biotech and Semiconductors, which confirm the NASDAQ.  Transportation confirms the Dow Jones Industrial Average according to Dow Theory.  Banking and Financials are confirming indicators for the S&P 500.  Gold and Housing are respective indicators for the inverse health of the currency (inflation) and the capacity for consumer spending. 

 

 

 

 

Table 2A

Indices, Key Industry ETF’s and Sector SPDR’s

 

1 month

1 wk ago

2 wks ago

3 wks ago

4 wks ago

Dow Jones Industrial Index

1.4%

0.5%

-0.4%

-0.5%

1.8%

NASDAQ Composite Index

-0.02%

-1.8%

0.7%

0.2%

0.9%

NYSE Composite Index

1.2%

-0.4%

-0.2%

0.2%

1.6%

S & P 500 Index

1.2%

-0.5%

-0.1%

0.4%

1.4%

Russell 2000 Index

1.3%

-1.6%

0.2%

0.8%

1.9%

HGX, Phil. Housing Index

-1.5%

-2.2%

-3.1%

2.4%

1.6%

IYR, Real Estate

6.0%

2.7%

-0.6%

0.6%

3.3%

GLD, GOLD

-1.8%

-4.4%

1.2%

1.2%

0.3%

RKH, Banking

2.6%

0.2%

-1.9%

2.0%

2.3%

IYT, Transportation

3.4%

-1.1%

1.5%

0.9%

2.1%

SMH, Semiconductors

-5.7%

-5.3%

2.7%

-2.5%

-0.6%

BBH, Biotechnology

0.6%

0.5%

-1.4%

0.9%

2.7%

OIH, Oil

-5.9%

-6.1%

2.2%

2.5%

-4.4%

XLE, Energy

-2.2%

-5.1%

0.9%

1.2%

0.9%

XLU, Utilities

-0.2%

-1.8%

-0.7%

0.7%

1.6%

XLB, Materials

1.3%

-1.4%

0.1%

0.2%

2.4%

XLI, Industrial

3.1%

0.3%

0.2%

0.4%

2.1%

XLK, Technology

0.4%

-1.3%

1.4%

-1.0%

1.3%

XLV, Healthcare

1.2%

0.2%

-1.0%

0.0%

2.0%

XLF, Financials

2.3%

0.4%

-1.1%

1.4%

1.6%

XLP, Consumer Staples

4.0%

2.5%

-0.5%

0.2%

1.8%

XLY, Consumer Discretionary

0.3%

-0.4%

0.1%

-0.5%

1.1%

 

 

 

 

 

Volatility

Indicator

Current

Last Week

2 Weeks Ago

Complacent

Cautious

VIX *

11.9

12.0

11.5

< 20

> 50

VXN **

17.6

16.3

15.2

< 30

> 70

*   Below 20 day SMA = Short-term buy signal.

** Above 20 day SMA = Short-term sell signal.

 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

      Figure 3 compares the major averages with key ETF’s and Sector SPDR’s.

 

 

FIGURE 3

 

 


 

 

Table 2C

Market Summary


 
 

 Major Indices 
 For the Past Week:
 Dow Jones     +0.5%
 NASDAQ        -1.8%
 S&P500 Index  -0.4%
 Russell 2000  -1.6%
 NYSE          -0.5%
 
 30 Year Bond 4.742%
 10 Year Note 4.755%
 
 Leading Industries
 For the Past Week:
 Forestry 
 Forestry & Paper 
 Paper 
 Brewers 
 Nondurable Household Products 
 Automobiles 
 Mobile Telecommunications 
 Automobiles & Parts 
 Real Estate Investment Trusts 
 Full Line Insurance                  
 
 Lagging Industries
 For the Past Week:
 Platinum & Precious Metals 
 Gold Mining 
 Mining 
 Coal 
 Internet 
 General Mining 
 Water 
 Exploration & Production 
 Oil Equipment & Services 
 Oil Equipment, Services & Dis         
          
 Leading Industries
 For the Past Month:
 Consumer Electronics 
 Recreational Products 
 Mobile Telecommunications 
 Distillers & Vintners 
 Steel 
 Delivery Services 
 Defense 
 Telecommunications 
 Real Estate Investment Trusts 
 Industrial Machinery      
 
 Lagging Industries
 For the Past Month:
 General Mining 
 Gold Mining 
 Nonferrous Metals 
 Tires 
 Mining 
 Internet 
 Oil Equipment & Services 
 Oil Equipment, Services & Dis 
 Exploration & Production 
 Aluminum                      
 
 Crude Oil $59.95
 
 Gold for the past 30 days:
 USD    -1.87%
 CAD    -1.36%
 CHF    -0.80%
 GBP    -0.62%
 EUR    -1.67%
 JPY    -0.70%

 
 
 
 

3.0 Procedure

 

      The following watch lists contain stock candidates for consideration.  They are not necessarily trades.  Categories include checklists for insider buying and cash rich companies, as well as, filters that employ stock picking methods used by master traders. 

 

      Current stock rankings are based on the degree to which stocks are overbought or over sold based on the 28-period Williams %R for the past two trading days.  Two columns are labeled “%R1” and “%R2” with “%R2” indicating the Williams %R for the most recent trading day.  Of course, values more negative than -80 are oversold and those less negative than -20 are overbought.

 

      One should keep in mind that oversold stocks are not necessarily ready to move upward.  They could very well be in a condition of continuous decline.  The lists are meant to serve as a starting point for further due diligence. 

 

      A column labeled “Monthly % Gain” was added to show the inverse relationship between price action over the past month and the Williams %R.  The change from a 10-period Williams %R with a weekly percent change to a 28-period Williams %R with a monthly percent change was done to reflect a longer term view.

 

      The “Reference” is the date that a stock passed the indicated filter and was first added to or returned to the list.  The “% Change” is how the price has changed since the reference date.  Stocks that are down 10% or more after being listed are removed for a period of about two months.  The “% from Max” is the percentage the price has declined from the maximum price reached since the reference date.  Stocks that are down 8% from their highs after being listed are flagged in yellow.  Stocks that are down 15% from their highs after being listed are removed for two months.  More information on filters is available on the web site.

 

      A performance summary of filtering techniques for checklists and master trader selection methods is given in Table 3A. 

 

 

Table 3A

Stock Filter Summary

Filter

Avg. % Change Since Listed

Avg. % Change Friday

1 Month

1 Week Ago

2 weeks Ago

3 Weeks Ago

4 Weeks Ago

Net Insider Buying

5.7%

1.5%

2.5%

-1.6%

2.0%

0.2%

1.6%

Cash Rich Companies

0.1%

1.0%

-7.3%

-2.0%

-2.0%

-0.5%

-2.9%

Price to Free Cash Flow

-5.7%

0.8%

-8.8%

-5.4%

2.9%

-1.3%

-5.0%

Growth Momentum Stocks

11.5%

0.8%

0.7%

-3.8%

0.8%

2.5%

1.4%

Lynch Stocks

22.1%

1.0%

5.5%

1.0%

1.1%

2.7%

0.6%

Buffett Stocks

19.3%

1.7%

2.9%

-0.5%

0.8%

2.1%

0.5%

Graham Stocks

8.8%

0.8%

-0.3%

-1.2%

-1.6%

0.6%

2.1%

Templeton Stocks

3.7%

1.0%

1.4%

-0.2%

-0.9%

1.6%

1.0%

 Zweig Stocks

11.0%

0.6%

3.7%

-1.4%

0.3%

2.3%

2.6%

Average Long Stocks

8.5%

1.0%

0.0%

-1.7%

0.4%

1.1%

0.2%

 

 

 

Key

Passed Recent Filter

Price declined by half of stop loss setting

Oversold  based on  Williams %R  (%R2 is most recent)

Overbought based on Williams %R  (%R2 is most recent)

 

 

 

 

 

      Companies that have experienced net insider buying within the past 6 months of 5% or more of issued stock are listed in Table 3B.  These stocks should also appear in one of the master trader screens or meet additional screening criteria before being given serious consideration.  This list is a mixture of stocks that are optionable and those that are not.

 

 

 

Table 3B

Net Insider Buying Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

LXU

12/23/05

-1.3%

LSB Industries, Inc.

Basic Materials

Chemical Manufacturing

-6.8%

-6.0%

-63

-87

MMLP

11/25/05

0.0%

Martin Midstream Partners L.P.

Transportation

Water Transportation

-8.5%

0.3%

-70

-66

MBRX

03/10/06

0.0%

Metabasis Therapeutics, Inc.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

0.0%

-1.6%

-57

-61

TXCC

03/10/06

0.0%

TranSwitch Corporation

Technology

Semiconductors

0.0%

-6.6%

-59

-59

SNSS

12/16/05

24.7%

Sunesis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Health Care

Major Drugs

-2.5%

25.5%

-50

-39

VSTA

10/21/05

10.5%

VistaCare, Inc.

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

-2.1%

3.5%

-63

-28

 

 

 

      Companies with net cash positions that comprise at least 40% of their share price are listed in Table 3C.  These stocks should also appear in one of the master trader screens or meet additional screening criteria before being given serious consideration.  Again, this list is a mixture of stocks that are optionable and those that are not.

 

 

Table 3C

Capital Rich Companies Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

CLCT

03/10/06

0.0%

Collectors Universe, Inc.

Services

Business Services

0.0%

-11.8%

-83

-84

HRAY

03/03/06

0.3%

Hurray! Holding Co., Ltd. (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

-0.3%

-3.7%

-81

-75

EDGW

03/10/06

0.0%

Edgewater Technology Inc.

Technology

Computer Services

0.0%

-6.5%

-58

-44

 

 

 

      Table 3D was added to contain companies having a low price to free cash flow (P-FCF) less than 5.  Companies having P-FCF less than 10 are typically capable of financing the purchase of all their outstanding shares of stock.

 

 

 

 

Table 3D

Price to Free Cash Flow Companies Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

BBI

01/20/06

-5.7%

Blockbuster Inc.

Services

Recreational Activities

-13.5%

-8.8%

-84

-79

 

 

 

 

 

      For the Peter Lynch screen in Table 3E, the number of selections is reduced by selecting only optionable stocks having P/E’s less than 30. 

 

 

 

 

Table 3E

Peter Lynch Value Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

SKM

02/07/05

15.5%

SK Telecom Co., Ltd. (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

-5.2%

-2.9%

-67

-77

KOF

04/29/05

33.2%

Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Beverages (Non-Alcoholic)

-2.4%

2.4%

-51

-44

TM

12/13/04

42.2%

Toyota Motor Corporation (ADR)

Consumer Cyclical

Auto & Truck Manufacturers

-1.9%

3.3%

-39

-30

BTI

08/12/05

23.8%

British American Tobacco (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Tobacco

-1.3%

8.7%

-10

-13

AZN

02/03/06

6.3%

AstraZeneca PLC (ADR)

Health Care

Major Drugs

0.0%

7.6%

-16

-2

PKX

02/17/06

11.5%

POSCO (ADR)

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

0.0%

3.4%

-29

-1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

      For the  screen in Table 3F, the number of selections is reduced by selecting only optionable stocks having P/E’s less than 30. 

 

 

 

Table 3F

 Growth Momentum Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

LM

08/12/05

14.7%

Legg Mason, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-8.3%

-4.7%

-92

-96

APC

02/10/06

0.0%

Anadarko Petroleum Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-7.6%

-3.7%

-92

-87

UNH

04/15/05

20.4%

UnitedHealth Group Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Accident & Health)

-11.9%

-4.1%

-77

-80

AHC

02/03/06

0.0%

Amerada Hess Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas - Integrated

-6.9%

0.3%

-90

-80

BHP

09/09/05

10.4%

BHP Billiton Limited (ADR)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-12.1%

-2.8%

-86

-78

PCU

12/02/05

19.0%

Southern Copper Corporation (USA)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-12.4%

-3.9%

-85

-73

DNR

03/03/06

-7.4%

Denbury Resources Inc.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-7.4%

-0.5%

-73

-71

WSO

11/25/05

11.9%

Watsco, Incorporated

Capital Goods

Misc. Capital Goods

-5.6%

-3.5%

-85

-63

BEN

11/04/05

6.7%

Franklin Resources, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-6.1%

2.8%

-62

-63

BR

02/24/06

-2.9%

Burlington Resources Inc.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-2.9%

1.2%

-62

-62

CHB

02/17/06

-5.7%

Champion Enterprises, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-9.9%

-4.2%

-59

-55

ET

10/21/05

36.1%

E*TRADE FINANCIAL Corporation

Financial

Investment Services

-5.3%

4.0%

-58

-49

CHE

05/06/05

41.3%

Chemed Corporation

Services

Business Services

-3.7%

6.0%

-40

-34

SYT

04/08/05

30.6%

Syngenta AG (ADR)

Basic Materials

Chemical Manufacturing

-4.4%

-0.3%

-41

-33

WCC

02/10/06

4.9%

WESCO International, Inc.

Technology

Electronic Instruments & Controls

-6.8%

4.9%

-33

-31

HCC

10/21/05

20.2%

HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Property & Casualty)

-1.4%

-0.6%

-43

-28

ENDP

02/17/06

4.9%

Endo Pharmaceuticals

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-5.3%

-3.5%

-19

-16

GRMN

03/03/06

1.0%

Garmin Ltd.

Technology

Communications Equipment

-0.8%

12.4%

-8

-12

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

      The filter for Warren Buffet style stock picking in Table 3G is for the intermediate to long term.  Two requirements were added.  One was to include only optionable stocks in order to find LEAPS opportunities.  The other requirement was to include only those stocks having a PE of 17 or less.

 

Table 3G

Warren Buffett Value Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

ANF

03/03/06

-4.3%

Abercrombie & Fitch Co.

Services

Retail (Apparel)

-4.3%

-16.9%

-94

-93

FNF

10/21/05

-2.4%

Fidelity National Financial

Financial

Insurance (Property & Casualty)

-9.7%

-3.8%

-93

-88

MDC

01/20/06

-8.5%

M.D.C. Holdings, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-8.5%

-1.6%

-93

-81

KSWS

10/14/05

1.0%

K-Swiss Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Footwear

-14.9%

-0.4%

-81

-77

HDI

10/14/05

3.2%

Harley-Davidson, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Recreational Products

-9.0%

-1.9%

-92

-76

LNCR

12/27/04

-4.5%

Lincare Holdings Inc.

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

-12.6%

-3.4%

-81

-74

PCU

02/10/06

-3.9%

Southern Copper Corporation (USA)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-6.6%

-3.9%

-85

-73

CCRT

12/30/05

0.0%

CompuCredit Corporation

Financial

Consumer Financial Services

-8.2%

-5.3%

-91

-70

UNT

03/03/06

-6.4%

Unit Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-6.4%

-6.4%

-71

-69

TBL

02/17/06

-2.0%

The Timberland Company

Consumer Cyclical

Footwear

-2.2%

-2.7%

-71

-69

ABFS

04/29/05

33.0%

Arkansas Best Corporation

Transportation

Trucking

-7.8%

-3.1%

-90

-63

OXY

03/03/06

-5.1%

Occidental Petroleum Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-5.1%

3.6%

-63

-62

TOL

02/17/06

5.5%

Toll Brothers, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-6.4%

-4.9%

-68

-56

ASH

10/28/05

21.1%

Ashland Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-2.4%

0.5%

-73

-52

DSPG

02/07/05

10.6%

DSP Group, Inc.

Technology

Communications Equipment

-8.0%

3.0%

-54

-49

NKE

09/23/05

4.6%

NIKE, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Footwear

-7.1%

0.6%

-36

-43

AH

02/03/06

12.7%

Armor Holdings, Inc.

Capital Goods

Aerospace and Defense

-3.7%

15.1%

-33

-32

RS

04/15/05

118.9%

Reliance Steel & Aluminum

Basic Materials

Misc. Fabricated Products

-4.1%

8.1%

-48

-31

SCHN

02/10/06

5.2%

Schnitzer Steel Industries, Inc.

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

-1.2%

5.2%

-87

-31

CECO

02/17/06

1.8%

Career Education Corp.

Services

Schools

0.0%

2.8%

-35

-28

RI

09/02/05

32.8%

Ruby Tuesday, Inc.

Services

Restaurants

-1.1%

3.3%

-18

-25

ACS

04/29/05

33.0%

Affiliated Computer Services, Inc.

Technology

Computer Services

-0.1%

1.4%

-23

-15

STLD

12/16/05

41.7%

Steel Dynamics, Inc.

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

0.0%

12.1%

-45

-14

BTI

12/30/05

10.7%

British American Tobacco (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Tobacco

-1.3%

8.7%

-10

-13

THO

04/15/05

95.5%

Thor Industries, Inc.

Capital Goods

Mobile Homes & RVs

0.0%

21.8%

-16

-2

AEOS

03/10/06

0.0%

American Eagle Outfitters

Services

Retail (Apparel)

0.0%

12.4%

-14

-1

RCII

10/21/05

51.8%

Rent-A-Center, Inc

Services

Rental & Leasing

0.0%

6.5%

-17

-1

NUE

04/15/05

94.9%

Nucor Corporation

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

0.0%

18.2%

-29

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

      Stocks from Benjamin Graham’s style of utility investing are listed in Table 3H.  A requirement was added to include only those stocks having a PE of 17 or less. 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 3H

Benjamin Graham Utility Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

WPS

02/07/05

-0.8%

WPS Resources Corp

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-14.2%

-2.9%

-97

-92

VVC

03/03/06

-0.8%

Vectren Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-0.8%

-2.6%

-98

-92

CPK

05/06/05

16.3%

Chesapeake Utilities

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-14.1%

-2.0%

-70

-80

WGL

12/23/05

-1.6%

WGL Holdings, Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-4.6%

-0.7%

-90

-80

PNW

01/10/05

-8.0%

Pinnacle West Capital

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-14.6%

-5.1%

-84

-77

SRE

01/10/05

28.7%

Sempra Energy

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-4.5%

-0.8%

-89

-72

EON

03/10/06

0.0%

E.ON AG (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

0.0%

-0.5%

-96

-66

ATO

04/01/05

-2.1%

Atmos Energy Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-11.4%

0.3%

-79

-63

ATG

10/21/05

6.6%

AGL Resources Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-3.0%

-0.5%

-66

-57

UU

06/10/05

-0.6%

United Utilities PLC (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-2.8%

-1.6%

-93

-57

UGI

12/30/05

4.7%

UGI Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-4.5%

-0.9%

-54

-56

PGN

01/10/05

-0.8%

Progress Energy, Inc.

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-4.5%

1.8%

-59

-54

OKE

11/11/05

8.7%

ONEOK, Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-7.4%

10.0%

-53

-48

KEP

01/10/05

73.4%

Korea Electric Power Corporation (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-5.8%

1.1%

-58

-45

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

      Optionable stocks from John Templeton’s style of investing are listed in Table 3I. 

 

Table 3I

John Templeton Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

GTRC

03/03/06

-2.8%

Guitar Center, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-2.8%

-12.0%

-95

-89

DHI

03/03/06

-3.1%

D.R. Horton Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-3.1%

-3.7%

-97

-87

CAKE

10/21/05

4.4%

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated

Services

Restaurants

-7.0%

-1.6%

-85

-83

MDC

12/30/05

-4.0%

M.D.C. Holdings, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-10.9%

-1.6%

-93

-81

UNH

12/30/05

-9.6%

UnitedHealth Group Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Accident & Health)

-10.7%

-4.1%

-77

-80

HDI

02/24/06

-3.3%

Harley-Davidson, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Recreational Products

-4.8%

-1.0%

-92

-76

SNV

05/27/05

-6.9%

Synovus Financial Corp.

Financial

Regional Banks

-9.0%

-2.4%

-76

-74

PCU

02/10/06

-3.9%

Southern Copper Corporation (USA)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-6.6%

-3.9%

-85

-73

HHS

10/28/05

11.2%

Harte-Hanks, Inc.

Services

Printing & Publishing

-5.6%

-2.1%

-57

-59

TOL

03/03/06

-4.9%

Toll Brothers, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-4.9%

-4.9%

-68

-56

JBHT

02/03/06

2.7%

J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.

Transportation

Trucking

-7.3%

-2.9%

-68

-55

AMSG

10/14/05

-3.7%

AmSurg Corp.

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

-9.1%

3.7%

-59

-54

LOW

11/18/05

-0.8%

Lowe's Companies, Inc.

Services

Retail (Home Improvement)

-5.8%

4.4%

-50

-50

WSM

09/02/05

4.5%

Williams-Sonoma, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-12.0%

3.3%

-52

-44

ORLY

01/20/06

14.7%

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-4.0%

8.0%

-46

-42

GISX

12/30/05

4.0%

Global Imaging Systems, Inc.

Technology

Office Equipment

-2.1%

2.4%

-66

-41

MIK

12/30/05

-6.2%

Michaels Stores, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-6.2%

2.8%

-57

-38

EWBC

12/30/05

1.5%

East West Bancorp, Inc.

Financial

Regional Banks

-2.2%

3.8%

-62

-36

DGX

08/19/05

5.6%

Quest Diagnostics Incorporated

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

-1.8%

2.0%

-28

-30

JNJ

02/17/06

-0.1%

Johnson & Johnson

Health Care

Major Drugs

-0.2%

2.7%

-47

-22

CHD

11/18/05

8.8%

Church & Dwight Co., Inc.

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Personal & Household Products

-1.3%

9.0%

-27

-20

CPS

05/27/05

11.8%

ChoicePoint Inc.

Services

Business Services

-3.2%

1.1%

-22

-19

SFG

05/27/05

44.7%

StanCorp Financial Group, Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Life)

-0.6%

4.2%

-22

-8

EDMC

12/16/05

24.1%

Education Management Corp

Services

Schools

-0.7%

18.5%

-4

-5

 

 

 

      Optionable stocks from Martin Zweig’s style of investing are listed in Table 3J. 

 

 

 

 

Table 3J

Martin Zweig Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

MDU

01/27/06

-4.2%

MDU Resources Group, Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-8.0%

-5.0%

-92

-93

RDC

03/03/06

-9.8%

Rowan Companies, Inc.

Energy

Oil Well Services & Equipment

-9.8%

-10.4%

-88

-90

MOT

01/20/06

-7.1%

Motorola, Inc.

Technology

Communications Equipment

-9.0%

-3.3%

-66

-82

DNR

03/03/06

-7.4%

Denbury Resources Inc.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-7.4%

-0.5%

-73

-71

BEN

10/28/05

12.3%

Franklin Resources, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-6.1%

2.8%

-62

-63

BR

12/02/05

19.4%

Burlington Resources Inc.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-3.2%

1.2%

-62

-62

CRDN

08/19/05

81.4%

Ceradyne, Inc.

Capital Goods

Aerospace and Defense

-11.4%

6.7%

-70

-62

ESI

11/04/05

3.5%

ITT Educational Services

Services

Schools

-5.0%

-2.1%

-68

-47

HTLD

01/27/06

7.8%

Heartland Express, Inc.

Transportation

Trucking

-4.4%

-0.6%

-70

-46

STRA

01/13/06

7.5%

Strayer Education, Inc.

Services

Schools

-5.5%

5.5%

-43

-42

ORLY

03/10/06

0.0%

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

0.0%

8.0%

-46

-42

MINI

03/03/06

2.6%

Mobile Mini, Inc.

Services

Business Services

-1.3%

7.0%

-32

-34

JOSB

01/06/06

15.2%

Jos. A. Bank Clothiers, Inc.

Services

Retail (Apparel)

-2.6%

4.4%

-56

-34

LSTR

02/10/06

5.6%