Wiser Trader Stocks and Options Newsletter

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Issue No. 70   March 20, 2006                       Prescott, Arizona                       Systems@WiserTrader.com

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1.0   Trading

 

      How far can this rally go without the NASDAQ?

 

1.1 NASDAQ

 

        The DOW and the NYSE Composite have broken upward out of their two-year rising wedge patterns.  The S&P 500 and the Russell 2000 are both at the top of their two-year patterns as if ready to break out.  However, the NASDAQ continues to move sideways, as shown in Figure 1. 

 

FIGURE 1

 

 

© 2005 WiserTrader.com, LLC.  Members of wisertrader.com are neither licensed brokers nor licensed advisors.  Trades discussed represent recommendations made by the editor for the wisertrader.com portfolio.  The newsletter and web site are for information only and should not be considered as personal advice.  While it is believed that the posted information is factual, mistakes can be made in transcription.  Investors should trade stocks only after verifying all information and consulting with a licensed broker or adviser.  WiserTrader.commarkets third party trading systems but has no other affiliation with trading system companies.

 

      Technology stocks represent the main providers of innovation and increased productivity.  The NASDAQ is not usually a follower.  Typically, it leads the direction of the major indices.  It remains to be seen whether it will make a dramatic move upward in the near future or serve as a moderating factor for the market as a whole.

    

2.0 Market Analysis

 

      Overall, it was a positive week with broad based gains.  Market sentiment is upbeat in the belief that the Fed will not raise rates too far, and endanger economic and earnings growth. 

 

      Key industry ETF’s in Table 2A are Biotech and Semiconductors, which confirm the NASDAQ.  Transportation confirms the Dow Jones Industrial Average according to Dow Theory.  Banking and Financials are confirming indicators for the S&P 500.  Gold and Housing are respective indicators for the inverse health of the currency (inflation) and the capacity for consumer spending. 

 

 

Table 2A

Indices, Key Industry ETF’s and Sector SPDR’s

 

1 month

1 wk ago

2 wks ago

3 wks ago

4 wks ago

Dow Jones Industrial Index

1.5%

1.8%

0.5%

-0.4%

-0.5%

NASDAQ Composite Index

1.1%

2.0%

-1.8%

0.7%

0.2%

NYSE Composite Index

1.6%

2.0%

-0.5%

-0.2%

0.2%

S & P 500 Index

2.2%

2.4%

-0.5%

-0.1%

0.4%

Russell 2000 Index

2.1%

2.7%

-1.6%

0.2%

0.8%

HGX, Phil. Housing Index

4.1%

7.4%

-2.2%

-3.1%

2.4%

IYR, Real Estate

7.2%

4.4%

2.7%

-0.6%

0.6%

GLD, GOLD

0.3%

2.4%

-4.4%

1.2%

1.2%

RKH, Banking

2.3%

2.0%

0.2%

-1.9%

2.0%

IYT, Transportation

3.7%

2.4%

-1.1%

1.5%

0.9%

SMH, Semiconductors

-6.2%

-1.1%

-5.3%

2.7%

-2.5%

BBH, Biotechnology

1.6%

3.8%

-1.5%

-1.4%

0.9%

OIH, Oil

3.4%

5.1%

-6.1%

2.2%

2.5%

XLE, Energy

1.2%

4.4%

-5.1%

0.9%

1.2%

XLU, Utilities

-0.5%

1.4%

-1.8%

-0.7%

0.7%

XLB, Materials

1.7%

2.8%

-1.4%

0.1%

0.2%

XLI, Industrial

3.8%

2.9%

0.3%

0.2%

0.4%

XLK, Technology

0.8%

1.8%

-1.3%

1.4%

-1.0%

XLV, Healthcare

0.1%

0.9%

0.2%

-1.0%

0.0%

XLF, Financials

2.1%

1.4%

0.4%

-1.1%

1.4%

XLP, Consumer Staples

1.4%

-0.8%

2.5%

-0.5%

0.2%

XLY, Consumer Discretionary

1.2%

2.0%

-0.4%

0.1%

-0.5%

 

 

Table 2B

Volatility

Indicator

Current

Last Week

2 Weeks Ago

Complacent

Cautious

VIX **

12.1

11.9

12.0

< 20

> 50

VXN ***

15.4

17.6

16.3

< 30

> 70

**   Above 20 day SMA = Short-term sell signal.

*** Below 20 day SMA = Short-term buy signal.

 
 

 

 

 

 

      Figure 2 compares the major averages with key ETF’s and Sector SPDR’s.

 

 

FIGURE 2

 

 


 

 

Table 2C

Market Summary


 
 

 Major Indices 
 For the Past Week:
 Dow Jones     +1.8%
 NASDAQ        +2.0%
 S&P500 Index  +2.0%
 Russell 2000  +2.7%
 NYSE          +2.4%
 
 30 Year Bond 4.717%
 10 Year Note 4.674%
 
 Leading Industries
 For the Past Week:
 Platinum & Precious Metals 
 Nonferrous Metals 
 Home Construction 
 Real Estate Holding & Develop 
 General Mining 
 Railroads 
 Business Training & Employment 
 Commercial Vehicles & Trucks 
 Exploration & Production 
 Industrial Engineering                   
 
 Lagging Industries
 For the Past Week:
 Nondurable Household Products 
 Automobiles 
 Household Goods 
 Consumer Finance 
 Marine Transportation 
 Trucking 
 Distillers & Vintners 
 Semiconductors 
 Publishing 
 Personal & Household Goods          
          
 Leading Industries
 For the Past Month:
 Platinum & Precious Metals 
 Steel 
 Consumer Electronics 
 Real Estate Investment Trusts 
 Real Estate Holding & Develop 
 Industrial Machinery 
 Coal 
 Defense 
 Industrial Metals 
 Industrial Engineering       
 
 Lagging Industries
 For the Past Month:
 Tires 
 Semiconductors 
 Gold Mining 
 Automobiles 
 Recreational Services 
 Specialized Consumer Services 
 Internet 
 Reinsurance 
 Medical Equipment 
 Aluminum                       
 
 Crude Oil $64.27
 
 Gold for the past 30 days:
 USD    +1.91%
 CAD    +0.67%
 CHF    +2.45%
 GBP    +2.15%
 EUR    +1.06%
 JPY    +2.34%

 
 
 
 

3.0 Procedure

 

      The following watch lists contain stock candidates for consideration.  They are not necessarily trades.  Categories include checklists for insider buying and cash rich companies, as well as, filters that employ stock picking methods used by master traders. 

 

      Current stock rankings are based on the degree to which stocks are overbought or over sold based on the 28-period Williams %R for the past two trading days.  Two columns are labeled “%R1” and “%R2” with “%R2” indicating the Williams %R for the most recent trading day.  Of course, values more negative than -80 are oversold and those less negative than -20 are overbought.

 

      One should keep in mind that oversold stocks are not necessarily ready to move upward.  They could very well be in a condition of continuous decline.  The lists are meant to serve as a starting point for further due diligence. 

 

      A column labeled “Monthly % Gain” was added to show the inverse relationship between price action over the past month and the Williams %R.  The change from a 10-period Williams %R with a weekly percent change to a 28-period Williams %R with a monthly percent change was done to reflect a longer term view.

 

      The “Reference” is the date that a stock passed the indicated filter and was first added to or returned to the list.  The “% Change” is how the price has changed since the reference date.  Stocks that are down 10% or more after being listed are removed for a period of about two months.  The “% from Max” is the percentage the price has declined from the maximum price reached since the reference date.  Stocks that are down 8% from their highs after being listed are flagged in yellow.  Stocks that are down 15% from their highs after being listed are removed for two months.  More information on filters is available on the web site.

 

      A performance summary of filtering techniques for checklists and master trader selection methods is given in Table 3A. 

 

 

Table 3A

Stock Filter Summary

Filter

Avg. % Change Since Listed

Avg. % Change Friday

1 Month

1 Week Ago

2 weeks Ago

3 Weeks Ago

4 Weeks Ago

Net Insider Buying

11.1%

1.7%

9.2%

8.0%

-1.4%

1.8%

0.7%

Cash Rich Companies

1.0%

0.5%

-1.5%

1.0%

-2.4%

1.1%

-1.3%

Price to Free Cash Flow

6.2%

-0.4%

11.8%

1.6%

4.6%

4.8%

0.5%

Growth Momentum Stocks

14.0%

0.6%

4.7%

5.2%

-3.5%

0.9%

2.3%

Lynch Stocks

24.1%

0.0%

6.6%

1.6%

1.0%

1.1%

2.7%

Buffett Stocks

22.6%

0.5%

4.8%

2.1%

-0.5%

0.9%

2.2%

Graham Stocks

11.0%

0.1%

-0.3%

2.0%

-1.2%

-1.6%

0.6%

Templeton Stocks

5.8%

0.7%

2.5%

2.1%

-0.2%

-0.9%

1.6%

 Zweig Stocks

13.2%

-0.3%

3.4%

2.4%

-1.4%

0.3%

2.3%

Average Long Stocks

12.1%

0.4%

4.6%

2.9%

-0.6%

0.9%

1.3%

 

 

Key

Passed Recent Filter

Price declined by half of stop loss setting

Oversold  based on  Williams %R  (%R2 is most recent)

Overbought based on Williams %R  (%R2 is most recent)

 

 

      Companies that have experienced net insider buying within the past 6 months of 5% or more of issued stock are listed in Table 3B.  These stocks should also appear in one of the master trader screens or meet additional screening criteria before being given serious consideration.  This list is a mixture of stocks that are optionable and those that are not.

 

 

Table 3B

Net Insider Buying Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

NXTM

03/17/06

0.0%

NxStage Medical, Inc.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

0.0%

-4.3%

-85

-89

RGN

03/17/06

0.0%

RegeneRx Biopharmaceut.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

0.0%

-4.4%

-71

-71

FVRL

03/17/06

0.0%

Favrille, Inc.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

0.0%

15.5%

-45

-45

MBRX

03/10/06

0.0%

Metabasis Therapeutics, Inc.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-0.8%

-0.4%

-41

-45

MMLP

11/25/05

0.0%

Martin Midstream Partners L.P.

Transportation

Water Transportation

-1.7%

6.9%

-33

-33

TXCC

03/10/06

24.6%

TranSwitch Corporation

Technology

Semiconductors

0.0%

17.0%

-6

-8

VSTA

10/21/05

16.8%

VistaCare, Inc.

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

0.0%

10.3%

-4

-4

SNSS

12/16/05

46.5%

Sunesis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Health Care

Major Drugs

0.0%

35.4%

-2

-2

LXU

12/23/05

11.7%

LSB Industries, Inc.

Basic Materials

Chemical Manufacturing

0.0%

6.6%

-1

-1

 

 

      Companies with net cash positions that comprise at least 40% of their share price are listed in Table 3C.  These stocks should also appear in one of the master trader screens or meet additional screening criteria before being given serious consideration.  Again, this list is a mixture of stocks that are optionable and those that are not.

 

 

Table 3C

Capital Rich Companies Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

CLCT

03/10/06

0.1%

Collectors Universe, Inc.

Services

Business Services

0.0%

-10.5%

-82

-82

WSC

03/11/06

-0.1%

Wesco Financial Corporation

Conglomerates

Conglomerates

-0.1%

1.9%

-45

-45

EDGW

03/10/06

2.9%

Edgewater Technology Inc.

Technology

Computer Services

0.0%

3.9%

-28

-28

 

 

 

      Table 3D was added to contain companies having a low price to free cash flow (P-FCF) less than 5.  Companies having P-FCF less than 10 are typically capable of financing the purchase of all their outstanding shares of stock.

 

 

 

 

Table 3D

Price to Free Cash Flow Companies Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

KWD

03/04/06

6.2%

Kellwood Company

Consumer Cyclical

Apparel/Accessories

-0.8%

11.8%

-6

-9

 

 

 

 

 

      For the Peter Lynch screen in Table 3E, the number of selections is reduced by selecting only optionable stocks having P/E’s less than 30. 

 

 

 

 

Table 3E

Peter Lynch Value Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

SKM

02/07/05

16.1%

SK Telecom Co., Ltd. (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

-4.7%

-1.3%

-69

-69

KOF

04/29/05

35.1%

Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Beverages (Non-Alcoholic)

-1.0%

3.7%

-26

-26

TM

12/13/04

44.3%

Toyota Motor Corporation (ADR)

Consumer Cyclical

Auto & Truck Manufacturers

-0.5%

-0.3%

-9

-9

AZN

02/03/06

8.7%

AstraZeneca PLC (ADR)

Health Care

Major Drugs

-0.5%

12.9%

-9

-9

PKX

02/17/06

12.8%

POSCO (ADR)

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

-0.4%

1.1%

-8

-8

BTI

08/12/05

27.4%

British American Tobacco (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Tobacco

-0.2%

12.0%

-3

-3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

      For the screen in Table 3F, the number of selections is reduced by selecting only optionable stocks having P/E’s less than 30. 

 

 

 

Table 3F

Growth Momentum Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

LM

08/12/05

16.4%

Legg Mason, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-6.9%

-5.0%

-81

-81

UNH

04/15/05

21.6%

UnitedHealth Group Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Accident & Health)

-11.1%

-2.3%

-53

-53

APC

02/10/06

0.0%

Anadarko Petroleum Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-2.8%

-1.1%

-42

-42

PCU

12/02/05

25.0%

Southern Copper Corporation (USA)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-8.0%

4.2%

-44

-40

SYT

04/08/05

31.1%

Syngenta AG (ADR)

Basic Materials

Chemical Manufacturing

-4.1%

-2.1%

-32

-32

OVTI

03/17/06

0.0%

OmniVision Technologies

Technology

Semiconductors

0.0%

4.5%

-31

-31

WSO

11/25/05

16.0%

Watsco, Incorporated

Capital Goods

Misc. Capital Goods

-2.1%

3.1%

-30

-30

BHP

09/09/05

15.3%

BHP Billiton Limited (ADR)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-8.2%

0.2%

-37

-27

BR

02/24/06

-1.0%

Burlington Resources Inc.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-1.0%

1.0%

-25

-25

BEN

11/04/05

11.3%

Franklin Resources, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-2.0%

2.9%

-25

-25

AHC

02/03/06

0.0%

Amerada Hess Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas - Integrated

-3.5%

2.7%

-22

-22

ENDP

02/17/06

9.9%

Endo Pharmaceuticals

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-1.5%

4.8%

-15

-18

DNR

03/03/06

-0.1%

Denbury Resources Inc.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-0.1%

8.0%

-14

-14

CHB

02/17/06

3.3%

Champion Enterprises, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-1.3%

3.3%

-12

-12

WCC

02/10/06

17.8%

WESCO International, Inc.

Technology

Electronic Instruments & Controls

-0.2%

12.0%

-8

-8

SM

03/17/06

0.0%

St. Mary Land & Exploration Co.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

0.0%

8.4%

-20

-6

CHE

05/06/05

51.6%

Chemed Corporation

Services

Business Services

0.0%

8.1%

-5

-5

GRMN

03/03/06

4.2%

Garmin Ltd.

Technology

Communications Equipment

0.0%

18.0%

-5

-5

UIC

03/17/06

0.0%

United Industrial Corp.

Capital Goods

Aerospace and Defense

0.0%

11.6%

-4

-4

ET

10/21/05

47.3%

E*TRADE FINANCIAL Corporation

Financial

Investment Services

0.0%

8.7%

-2

-2

HCC

10/21/05

23.4%

HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Property & Casualty)

0.0%

2.4%

-2

-2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

      The filter for Warren Buffet style stock picking in Table 3G is for the intermediate to long term.  Two requirements were added.  One was to include only optionable stocks in order to find LEAPS opportunities.  The other requirement was to include only those stocks having a PE of 17 or less.

 

Table 3G

Warren Buffett Value Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

ANF

03/03/06

-3.9%

Abercrombie & Fitch Co.

Services

Retail (Apparel)

-3.9%

-12.0%

-91

-91

CCRT

12/30/05

-2.9%

CompuCredit Corporation

Financial

Consumer Financial Services

-10.8%

-6.6%

-90

-90

HDI

10/14/05

-0.6%

Harley-Davidson, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Recreational Products

-12.3%

-6.0%

-82

-82

ABFS

04/29/05

31.7%

Arkansas Best Corporation

Transportation

Trucking

-8.7%

-2.3%

-71

-71

TBL

02/17/06

-1.5%

The Timberland Company

Consumer Cyclical

Footwear

-1.8%

-1.5%

-65

-65

KSWS

10/14/05

2.3%

K-Swiss Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Footwear

-13.7%

1.0%

-62

-62

FNF

10/21/05

-0.4%

Fidelity National Financial

Financial

Insurance (Property & Casualty)

-7.9%

-3.7%

-62

-62

RCII

10/21/05

48.5%

Rent-A-Center, Inc

Services

Rental & Leasing

-7.8%

3.7%

-45

-60

NKE

09/23/05

5.1%

NIKE, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Footwear

-6.6%

0.6%

-53

-53

PCU

02/10/06

1.0%

Southern Copper Corporation (USA)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-1.8%

4.2%

-44

-40

DSPG

02/07/05

9.0%

DSP Group, Inc.

Technology

Communications Equipment

-9.4%

3.0%

-36

-36

ACS

04/29/05

32.3%

Affiliated Computer Services, Inc.

Technology

Computer Services

-0.6%

1.4%

-33

-33

AH

02/03/06

14.8%

Armor Holdings, Inc.

Capital Goods

Aerospace and Defense

-1.9%

9.7%

-28

-28

UNT

03/03/06

-2.5%

Unit Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-2.5%

4.1%

-42

-25

THO

04/15/05

91.2%

Thor Industries, Inc.

Capital Goods

Mobile Homes & RVs

-3.5%

18.7%

-24

-24

AEOS

03/10/06

-1.9%

American Eagle Outfitters

Services

Retail (Apparel)

-2.7%

11.9%

-21

-21

ASH

10/28/05

25.5%

Ashland Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-0.8%

1.9%

-17

-17

RS

04/15/05

125.0%

Reliance Steel & Aluminum

Basic Materials

Misc. Fabricated Products

-1.4%

4.1%

-14

-14

OXY

03/03/06

0.1%

Occidental Petroleum Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

0.0%

5.6%

-9

-9

TOL

02/17/06

17.6%

Toll Brothers, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

0.0%

11.5%

-8

-8

MDC

01/20/06

1.4%

M.D.C. Holdings, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

0.0%

5.6%

-8

-8

NUE

04/15/05

102.2%

Nucor Corporation

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

0.0%

19.6%

-6

-6

STLD

12/16/05

44.2%

Steel Dynamics, Inc.

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

0.0%

10.3%

-4

-4

RI

09/02/05

38.4%

Ruby Tuesday, Inc.

Services

Restaurants

0.0%

6.6%

-4

-4

BTI

12/30/05

14.0%

British American Tobacco (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Tobacco

-0.2%

12.0%

-3

-3

SCHN

02/10/06

12.8%

Schnitzer Steel Industries, Inc.

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

0.0%

11.2%

-2

-2

CECO

02/17/06

5.4%

Career Education Corp.

Services

Schools

0.0%

3.5%

-2

-2

 

 

 

 

 

 

      Stocks from Benjamin Graham’s style of utility investing are listed in Table 3H.  A requirement was added to include only those stocks having a PE of 17 or less. 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 3H

Benjamin Graham Utility Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

CPK

05/06/05

16.2%

Chesapeake Utilities

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-14.1%

-2.4%

-72

-72

VVC

03/03/06

0.4%

Vectren Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

0.0%

-1.3%

-73

-69

WPS

02/07/05

0.6%

WPS Resources Corp

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-13.0%

-2.4%

-63

-63

WGL

12/23/05

-0.5%

WGL Holdings, Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-3.6%

-0.8%

-63

-63

PNW

01/10/05

-6.9%

Pinnacle West Capital

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-13.6%

-3.9%

-59

-59

SRE

01/10/05

30.7%

Sempra Energy

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-3.1%

-1.3%

-55

-55

UGI

12/30/05

6.6%

UGI Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-2.8%

-2.4%

-44

-49

KEP

01/10/05

76.6%

Korea Electric Power Corporation (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-4.1%

-2.6%

-33

-33

ATG

10/21/05

7.9%

AGL Resources Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-1.8%

2.1%

-37

-32

OKE

11/11/05

13.2%

ONEOK, Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-3.6%

0.3%

-27

-27

EON

03/10/06

3.8%

E.ON AG (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-0.9%

2.6%

-15

-15

ATO

04/01/05

-0.3%

Atmos Energy Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-9.7%

1.8%

-15

-15

UU

06/10/05

2.9%

United Utilities PLC (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-0.2%

3.7%

-6

-6

PGN

01/10/05

2.6%

Progress Energy, Inc.

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-1.1%

1.6%

-3

-3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

      Optionable stocks from John Templeton’s style of investing are listed in Table 3I. 

 

Table 3I

John Templeton Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

JBHT

02/03/06

-2.7%

J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.

Transportation

Trucking

-12.1%

-9.0%

-87

-87

HHS

10/28/05

6.7%

Harte-Hanks, Inc.

Services

Printing & Publishing

-9.4%

-5.6%

-86

-86

HDI

02/24/06

-6.9%

Harley-Davidson, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Recreational Products

-8.3%

-3.7%

-82

-82

DGX

08/19/05

3.8%

Quest Diagnostics Incorporated

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

-3.6%

-1.8%

-56

-74

GTRC

03/03/06

-1.1%

Guitar Center, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-1.1%

-3.7%

-72

-72

AMSG

10/14/05

-3.6%

AmSurg Corp.

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

-8.9%

5.3%

-55

-55

UNH

12/30/05

-8.8%

UnitedHealth Group Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Accident & Health)

-9.9%

-2.3%

-53

-53

GISX

12/30/05

3.9%

Global Imaging Systems, Inc.

Technology

Office Equipment

-2.3%

-0.1%

-43

-43

SNV

05/27/05

-4.6%

Synovus Financial Corp.

Financial

Regional Banks

-6.8%

-0.1%

-41

-41

DHI

03/03/06

5.7%

D.R. Horton Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

0.0%

0.2%

-40

-40

PCU

02/10/06

1.0%

Southern Copper Corporation (USA)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-1.8%

4.2%

-44

-40

ORLY

01/20/06

15.5%

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-3.4%

6.8%

-38

-39

CPS

05/27/05

11.7%

ChoicePoint Inc.

Services

Business Services

-3.3%

-0.9%

-35

-35

MIK

12/30/05

-4.0%

Michaels Stores, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-4.0%

6.3%

-23

-23

CAKE

10/21/05

6.9%

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated

Services

Restaurants

-4.8%

2.0%

-53

-19

SFG

05/27/05

44.8%

StanCorp Financial Group, Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Life)

-0.5%

1.7%

-13

-14

LOW

11/18/05

4.1%

Lowe's Companies, Inc.

Services

Retail (Home Improvement)

-1.1%

3.6%

-12

-12

TOL

03/03/06

6.0%

Toll Brothers, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

0.0%

11.5%

-8

-8

EDMC

12/16/05

23.6%

Education Management Corp

Services

Schools

-1.2%

13.7%

-8

-8

MDC

12/30/05

6.5%

M.D.C. Holdings, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-1.2%

5.6%

-8

-8

CHD

11/18/05

10.9%

Church & Dwight Co., Inc.

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Personal & Household Products

0.0%

6.7%

-3

-3

JNJ

02/17/06

2.1%

Johnson & Johnson

Health Care

Major Drugs

0.0%

2.2%

-2

-2

WSM

09/02/05

11.9%

Williams-Sonoma, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-5.8%

6.7%

-2

-2

EWBC

12/30/05

4.8%

East West Bancorp, Inc.

Financial

Regional Banks

0.0%

7.7%

0

0

 

 

 

      Optionable stocks from Martin Zweig’s style of investing are listed in Table 3J. 

 

 

 

 

Table 3J

Martin Zweig Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

CRDN

08/19/05

74.0%

Ceradyne, Inc.

Capital Goods

Aerospace and Defense

-15.0%

-5.0%

-78

-78

HTLD

01/27/06

4.3%

Heartland Express, Inc.

Transportation

Trucking

-7.5%

-6.5%

-73

-73

MINI

03/03/06

-1.4%

Mobile Mini, Inc.

Services

Business Services

-5.1%

-2.7%

-66

-68

MDU

01/27/06

-1.2%

MDU Resources Group, Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-5.2%

-2.6%

-56

-56

ORLY

03/10/06

0.7%

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

0.0%

6.8%

-38

-39

RDC

03/03/06

-0.9%

Rowan Companies, Inc.

Energy

Oil Well Services & Equipment

-1.8%

3.3%

-38

-38

STRA

01/13/06

9.1%

Strayer Education, Inc.

Services

Schools

-4.1%

-1.0%

-35

-36

ESI

11/04/05

6.3%

ITT Educational Services

Services

Schools

-2.5%

-1.0%

-31

-31

BR

12/02/05

21.7%

Burlington Resources Inc.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations