Wiser Trader Stocks and Options Newsletter

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Issue No. 73   April 17, 2006                         Prescott, Arizona                       Systems@WiserTrader.com

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1.0   Trading

 

      As earnings season moves into high gear, we take a snapshot of market performance.

 

1.1 Market Caution

 

        The chart in Figure 1 illustrates how the market has recently become more cautious.  The S&P is about 3.7% above its 200-day SMA. 

 

FIGURE 1

 

© 2006 WiserTrader.com, LLC.  Members of wisertrader.com are neither licensed brokers nor licensed advisors.  Trades discussed represent recommendations made by the editor for the wisertrader.com portfolio.  The newsletter and web site are for information only and should not be considered as personal advice.  While it is believed that the posted information is factual, mistakes can be made in transcription.  Investors should trade stocks only after verifying all information and consulting with a licensed broker or adviser.  WiserTrader.commarkets third party trading systems but has no other affiliation with trading system companies. 

     

1.2 Industry Tracking

 

     Tracking industry performance can be tricky if one is trying to monitor the complete market.  Standard and Poor provides reports on 51 industries at its website.  The Dow Jones industry listing at BigCharts.com divides the market into 10 sectors and 95 distinct industries.  Investors Business Daily tracks 192 industries.  The American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) classifies companies into 12 sectors and 102 industries.  Yahoo.com tracks 9 sectors containing 212 industries.  Other systems coming into wide use have chosen to change the meaning of the terms sectors and industries.  Companies belong to an industry in one system may not belong to an industry having a similar name in another system.  When the press and media report industry performance, it is not usually stated which system is being used. 

 

      With all the different systems of industry classification, one needs a cross reference from one to another.  Without such a cross reference, it can be difficult to feel confident that one has a clear picture.  Unfortunately, no such cross reference has been found. 

 

     This newsletter uses two systems.  The leading and lagging industry lists in Section 2 use the Dow Jones system of 10 sectors and 95 industries.  The Dow Jones industry performance list is updated daily at BigCharts.com.  The watchlists in Section 3 use the AAII system of 12 sectors and 102 industries.  AAII does not provide relative industry performance. 

 

     A third system described today is the Yahoo system of 9 sectors and 212 industries.  Yahoo updates industry performance on an ongoing basis, hence its unique value.  Industry performance can be automatically retrieved into Microsoft Excel with a 20-minute delay using XLQ.  This allows one to sort the best and worst performing industries at any time of the day according to short and long-term criteria. 

 

     Table 1 is an example of a small portion of an Excel spreadsheet where the top 10 industries are sorted according to the number of up days out of the last 17 days.  Interestingly, the waste management industry has been the must consistent performer but the copper industry has had a much higher percentage gain over the past 15 trading days. 

 

     Table 2 shows a small portion of the bottom portion of the same Excel spreadsheet where the top 10 industries are sorted according to the number of up days out of the last 17 days.  Confectioners have been the least consistent performer with the highest percentage loss over the past 15 trading days.  This is no doubt due to the rising price of sugar needed to make ethanol that is in short supply. 

 

      The use of 17 for the number of days is incidental to the number of trading days the spreadsheet has been in use.  Macros were added to update the performance history at the end of each trading day and sort the entire list according to any of the columns shown with a single control key entry.  Once a history of about 20 days (4 weeks) has been built up, the spreadsheet will become available to any Excel user who has downloaded XLQ-Plus, which is required to make it work. The spreadsheet does not require the AAII Stock Investor Pro software.  Let me know if you want a free copy.  XLQ-Plus can be evaluated free for 45 days.  If you are already an Excel user, I strongly recommend evaluating its many automated data retrieval features.

 

 

 

 

Table 1 – Ten Leading Industries Sorted by Number of Up days out of 17

 

Sector

212 Yahoo Industries

4/13/06

W%R

5 Days

10 Days

15 Days

Up Days

 

Average gain of all Industries       4

0.2%

 

Prior

Prior

Prior

Out of

 

Percentage of industries Gaining    4

61%

 

Gain

Gain

Gain

17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Industrial Goods

Waste Management

0.5%

0

1.1%

3.9%

6.0%

94%

Services

Basic Materials Wholesale

0.1%

-48

-0.9%

0.7%

5.0%

82%

Services

Consumer Services

0.4%

-72

-4.3%

-1.8%

0.6%

76%

Industrial Goods

General Building Materials

0.6%

-45

-0.7%

1.7%

3.5%

76%

Basic Materials

Industrial Metals & Minerals

-0.5%

-38

-1.3%

3.6%

11.3%

76%

Basic Materials

Copper

0.7%

-28

-0.3%

2.6%

12.8%

76%

Basic Materials

Oil & Gas Drilling & Exploration

0.6%

-9

-0.9%

-0.3%

4.8%

76%

Basic Materials

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

0.1%

0

0.9%

2.6%

5.6%

76%

Consumer Goods

Toys & Games

0.0%

-97

-1.4%

-1.6%

-0.9%

71%

Basic Materials

Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

0.7%

-97

-16.4%

-15.5%

-10.9%

71%

 

 

 

 

Table 2 – Ten Lagging Industries Sorted by Number of Up days out of 17

 

Sector

212 Yahoo Industries

4/13/06

W%R

5 Days

10 Days

15 Days

Up Days

 

Average gain of all Industries     4

0.2%

 

Prior

Prior

Prior

Out of

 

Percentage of industries Gaining  4

61%

 

Gain

Gain

Gain

17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Healthcare

Drug Delivery

0.7%

0

0.7%

-0.5%

-1.2%

41%

Utilities

Diversified Utilities

-0.3%

-100

-3.6%

-2.1%

-3.8%

35%

Basic Materials

Nonmetallic Mineral Mining

-1.1%

-100

-5.4%

-3.8%

0.5%

35%

Consumer Goods

Packaging & Containers

-0.2%

-95

-2.7%

-1.3%

-1.8%

35%

Consumer Goods

Textile - Apparel Footwear & Accessories

0.4%

-79

-2.1%

-2.9%

-3.3%

35%

Financial

REIT - Office

-1.0%

-100

-4.7%

-5.9%

-4.8%

29%

Services

Restaurants

-0.2%

-94

-1.0%

-0.5%

-0.6%

29%

Services

Discount, Variety Stores

-0.2%

-87

-2.3%

-3.3%

-4.8%

29%

Technology

Personal Computers

-0.7%

-100

-4.4%

-4.7%

-3.3%

24%

Consumer Goods

Confectioners

-1.1%

-100

-13.4%

-14.0%

-15.3%

24%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2.0 Market Analysis

 

      This week bond yields continued to rise sharply and interest rate sensitive stocks continued to consolidate.  As earnings season picks up, the market is cautious.  Ten-year treasury yields are at 5% and oil is above $70 a barrel.

 

      Key industry ETF’s in Table 2A are Biotech and Semiconductors, which confirm the NASDAQ.  Transportation confirms the Dow Jones Industrial Average according to Dow Theory.  Banking and Financials are confirming indicators for the S&P 500.  Gold and Housing are respective indicators for the inverse health of the currency (inflation) and the capacity for consumer spending. 

 

 

Table 2A

Indices, Key Industry ETF’s and Sector SPDR’s

 

1 month

1 wk ago

2 wks ago

3 wks ago

4 wks ago

Dow Jones Industrial Index

-1.3%

0.2%

0.1%

-1.5%

0.0%

NASDAQ Composite Index

0.9%

-0.6%

0.0%

1.2%

0.3%

NYSE Composite Index

-1.4%

-0.5%

0.0%

-0.6%

-0.3%

S & P 500 Index

-0.5%

-0.5%

0.5%

-0.2%

-0.2%

Russell 2000 Index

0.7%

-0.7%

-1.2%

1.5%

1.0%

HGX, Phil. Housing Index

-3.4%

-3.6%

2.3%

-1.7%

-0.3%

IYR, Real Estate

-8.0%

-2.7%

-3.6%

1.1%

-3.0%

GLD, GOLD

7.9%

1.6%

0.8%

4.3%

1.1%

RKH, Banking

-1.8%

0.0%

0.1%

-1.4%

-0.5%

IYT, Transportation

1.9%

-0.9%

2.4%

1.0%

-0.7%

SMH, Semiconductors

3.5%

-0.2%

1.6%

0.3%

1.8%

BBH, Biotechnology

-5.5%

1.1%

-4.0%

-0.3%

-2.4%

OIH, Oil

7.3%

0.4%

2.7%

2.9%

1.0%

XLE, Energy

4.0%

0.8%

1.7%

1.0%

0.4%

XLU, Utilities

-5.9%

-1.4%

-0.5%

-2.1%

-2.1%

XLB, Materials

2.4%

0.4%

1.4%

0.9%

-0.4%

XLI, Industrial

0.2%

-0.3%

0.4%

0.4%

-0.3%

XLK, Technology

0.0%

-0.7%

0.5%

0.2%

-0.1%

XLV, Healthcare

-5.2%

-0.8%

-2.2%

-2.1%

-0.1%

XLF, Financials

-1.9%

-0.3%

0.1%

-1.0%

-0.7%

XLP, Consumer Staples

-2.9%

-0.6%

-0.8%

-1.6%

0.1%

XLY, Consumer Discretionary

-1.2%

-0.8%

0.6%

-0.4%

-0.7%

 

 

      The VIX and VXN volatility indexes are listed in Table 2B.

 

 

Table 2B

Volatility

Indicator

Current

Last Week

2 Weeks Ago

Complacent

Cautious

VIX **

12.4

12.3

11.4

< 20

> 50

VXN ***

16.3

15.9

16.3

< 30

> 70

**   Above 20 day SMA = Short-term sell signal.

*** Above 20 day SMA = Short-term sell signal.

 

 

 

 

      Figure 4 compares the major averages with key ETF’s and Sector SPDR’s.

 

 

 

FIGURE 4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 2C

Market Summary

 
Industries are listed according to the Dow Jones Classification System 

 
 

 Major Indices 
 For the Past Week:
 Dow Jones     +0.2%
 NASDAQ        -0.6%
 S&P500 Index  -0.5%
 Russell 2000  -0.7%
 NYSE          -0.5%
 
 30 Year Bond 5.107%
 10 Year Note 5.036%
 
 Leading Industries
 For the Past Week:
 Aluminum 
 Aerospace & Defense 
 Consumer Electronics 
 Commercial Vehicles & Trucks 
 Industrial Engineering 
 Waste & Disposal Services 
 Media Agencies 
 Broadcasting & Entertainment 
 Regional Airlines
 Gaming Activities                     
 
 Lagging Industries
 For the Past Week:
 Water 
 Distillers & Vintners 
 Home Construction 
 Heavy Construction 
 Tires 
 Recreational Products 
 Real Estate Investment Trusts 
 Platinum & Precious Metals 
 Industrial Suppliers 
 Computer Hardware              
          
 Leading Industries
 For the Past Month:
 Platinum & Precious Metals 
 General Mining 
 Nonferrous Metals 
 Industrial Metals 
 Aluminum 
 Steel 
 Mining 
 Basic Resources 
 Internet 
 Coal           
 
 Lagging Industries
 For the Past Month:
 Distillers & Vintners 
 Full Line Insurance 
 Tobacco 
 Water 
 Nondurable Household Products 
 Electricity 
 Recreational Services 
 Biotechnology 
 Nonlife Insurance 
 Real Estate Investment Trusts                          
 
 Crude Oil $71.00
 
 Gold for the past 30 days:
 USD    +8.39%
 CAD    +7.93%
 CHF    +8.34%
 GBP    +8.07%
 EUR    +7.84%
 JPY    +9.58%

 
 
 
 

3.0 Procedure

 

      The following watch lists contain stock candidates for consideration.  They are not necessarily trades.  Categories include checklists for insider buying and cash rich companies, as well as, filters that employ stock picking methods used by master traders.  The information is not meant to imply any endorsement or sponsorship by these master traders.

 

      Current stock rankings are based on the degree to which stocks are overbought or over sold based on the 28-period Williams %R for the past two trading days.  Two columns are labeled “%R1” and “%R2” with “%R2” indicating the Williams %R for the most recent trading day.  Of course, values more negative than -80 are oversold and those less negative than -20 are overbought.

 

      One should keep in mind that oversold stocks are not necessarily ready to move upward.  They could very well be in a condition of continuous decline.  The lists are meant to serve as a starting point for further due diligence. 

 

      A column labeled “Monthly % Gain” was added to show the inverse relationship between price action over the past month and the Williams %R.  The change from a 10-period Williams %R with a weekly percent change to a 28-period Williams %R with a monthly percent change was done to reflect a longer term view.

 

      The “Reference” is the date that a stock passed the indicated filter and was first added to or returned to the list.  The “% Change” is how the price has changed since the reference date.  Stocks that are down 10% or more after being listed are removed for a period of about two months.  The “% from Max” is the percentage the price has declined from the maximum price reached since the reference date.  Stocks that are down 8% from their highs after being listed are flagged in yellow.  Stocks that are down 15% from their highs after being listed are removed for two months.  More information on filters is available on the web site.

 

      A performance summary of filtering techniques for checklists and master trader selection methods is given in Table 3A. 

 

 

Table 3A

Stock Filter Summary

Filter

Avg. % Change Since Listed

Avg. % Change Friday

1 Month

1 Week Ago

2 weeks Ago

3 Weeks Ago

4 Weeks Ago

Net Insider Buying

10.6%

2.4%

2.4%

0.7%

-1.8%

0.9%

2.6%

Cash Rich Companies

-0.2%

-0.6%

-0.7%

1.0%

-1.2%

-0.4%

0.0%

Price to Free Cash Flow

7.8%

0.4%

1.2%

-1.8%

-4.5%

10.5%

-1.5%

Growth Momentum Stocks

16.5%

0.3%

3.4%

-0.1%

0.5%

2.1%

0.8%

Lynch Stocks

26.5%

0.5%

2.0%

0.6%

0.7%

1.5%

-0.8%

Buffett Stocks

23.9%

0.3%

2.0%

-1.3%

1.1%

1.7%

0.5%

Graham Stocks

11.4%

-0.2%

-1.8%

-1.4%

0.5%

-0.4%

-0.6%

Templeton Stocks

5.1%

0.2%

-0.9%

-1.6%

0.4%

-0.2%

0.6%

 Zweig Stocks

7.2%

-0.1%

2.1%

-0.5%

0.4%

1.1%

1.1%

Average Long Stocks

12.1%

0.4%

1.1%

-0.5%

-0.4%

1.9%

0.3%

 

 

Key

Passed Recent Filter

Price declined by half of stop loss setting

Oversold  based on  Williams %R  (%R2 is most recent)

Overbought based on Williams %R  (%R2 is most recent)

 

 

      Companies that have experienced net insider buying within the past 6 months of 5% or more of issued stock are listed in Table 3B.  These stocks should also appear in one of the master trader screens or meet additional screening criteria before being given serious consideration.  This list is a mixture of stocks that are optionable and those that are not.

 

Table 3B

Net Insider Buying Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

NXTM

03/17/06

0.0%

NxStage Medical, Inc.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-11.0%

-7.9%

-71

-71

RGN

03/17/06

0.0%

RegeneRx Biopharmaceut.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-8.0%

-4.7%

-69

-69

MMLP

11/25/05

0.0%

Martin Midstream Partners L.P.

Transportation

Water Transportation

-4.9%

-3.2%

-56

-56

CLRT

03/24/06

1.8%

Clarient, Inc.

Technology

Scientific & Technical Instruments

0.0%

0.9%

-44

-33

TXCC

03/10/06

50.3%

TranSwitch Corporation

Technology

Semiconductors

-9.5%

20.7%

-24

-24

EQS

04/13/06

0.0%

Equus II Incorporated

Financial

Investment Services

0.0%

2.6%

-14

-15

LXU

12/23/05

22.2%

LSB Industries, Inc.

Basic Materials

Chemical Manufacturing

0.0%

9.4%

-2

-2

 

 

      Companies with net cash positions that comprise at least 40% of their share price are listed in Table 3C.  These stocks should also appear in one of the master trader screens or meet additional screening criteria before being given serious consideration.  Again, this list is a mixture of stocks that are optionable and those that are not.

 

 

Table 3C

Capital Rich Companies Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

WSC

03/11/06

-2.6%

Wesco Financial Corporation

Conglomerates

Conglomerates

-3.0%

-2.5%

-89

-98

SCIX

04/07/06

0.0%

Scailex Corp., Ltd. (USA)

Technology

Computer Networks

0.0%

-1.5%

-48

-49

CLCT

03/10/06

2.0%

Collectors Universe, Inc.

Services

Business Services

-2.3%

1.9%

-39

-32

 

 

 

      Table 3D was added to contain companies having a low price to free cash flow (P-FCF) less than 5.  Companies having P-FCF less than 10 are typically capable of financing the purchase of all their outstanding shares of stock.

 

Table 3D

Price to Free Cash Flow Companies Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

LNX

03/31/06

-4.0%

Lenox Group Inc.

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Personal & Household Products

-4.0%

3.9%

-75

-67

MOVI

03/24/06

12.7%

Movie Gallery, Inc.

Services

Recreational Activities

-11.9%

-6.7%

-48

-46

KWD

03/04/06

14.7%

Kellwood Company

Consumer Cyclical

Apparel/Accessories

-4.1%

7.9%

-20

-24

 

 

      For the Peter Lynch style screen in Table 3E, the number of selections is reduced by selecting only optionable stocks having P/E’s less than 30. 

 

 

 

Table 3E

Peter Lynch Value Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

BTI

08/12/05

20.2%

British American Tobacco (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Tobacco

-5.8%

-5.6%

-80

-80

SKM

02/07/05

15.9%

SK Telecom Co., Ltd. (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

-4.9%

-0.2%

-58

-58

KOF

04/29/05

41.5%

Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Beverages (Non-Alcoholic)

-4.0%

4.7%

-44

-44

TM

12/13/04

50.8%

Toyota Motor Corporation (ADR)

Consumer Cyclical

Auto & Truck Manufacturers

-1.6%

4.5%

-23

-23

PKX

02/17/06

20.8%

POSCO (ADR)

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

0.0%

6.5%

-10

-10

AZN

02/03/06

9.9%

AstraZeneca PLC (ADR)

Health Care

Major Drugs

-0.4%

1.1%

-5

-6

 

 

 

      For the Growth Momentum screen in Table 3F, the number of selections is reduced by selecting only optionable stocks having P/E’s less than 30. 

 

 

 

Table 3F

Growth Momentum Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

WSO

11/25/05

2.8%

Watsco, Incorporated

Capital Goods

Misc. Capital Goods

-13.2%

-11.4%

-89

-89

BEN

11/04/05

3.8%

Franklin Resources, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-8.6%

-6.7%

-83

-83

SYT

04/08/05

30.8%

Syngenta AG (ADR)

Basic Materials

Chemical Manufacturing

-5.0%

-0.2%

-71

-71

LM

08/12/05

12.1%

Legg Mason, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-10.4%

-3.7%

-70

-65

ENDP

02/17/06

5.6%

Endo Pharmaceuticals

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-5.8%

1.8%

-65

-65

HCC

10/21/05

22.1%

HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Property & Casualty)

-4.6%

-1.0%

-51

-51

AHC

02/03/06

0.0%

Amerada Hess Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas - Integrated

-4.6%

-0.8%

-45

-45

CHB

02/17/06

-3.8%

Champion Enterprises, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-8.1%

-6.9%

-44

-44

OVTI

03/17/06

7.9%

OmniVision Technologies

Technology

Semiconductors

-7.0%

7.9%

-36

-36

UIC

03/17/06

10.8%

United Industrial Corp.

Capital Goods

Aerospace and Defense

-8.3%

10.8%

-36

-36

CHE

05/06/05

49.4%

Chemed Corporation

Services

Business Services

-2.8%

-1.5%

-29

-30

RIO

03/31/06

-1.3%

Companhia Vale do Rio Doce (ADR)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-3.8%

6.7%

-28

-28

ET

10/21/05

47.2%

E*TRADE FINANCIAL Corporation

Financial

Investment Services

-3.4%

0.0%

-27

-27

APC

02/10/06

0.0%

Anadarko Petroleum Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-1.0%

5.2%

-19

-19

SM

03/17/06

4.4%

St. Mary Land & Exploration Co.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-0.6%

4.4%

-12

-12

BHP

09/09/05

36.8%

BHP Billiton Limited (ADR)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-1.1%

18.6%

-11

-11

DNR

03/03/06

16.8%

Denbury Resources Inc.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-1.2%

17.0%

-10

-10

PCU

12/02/05

37.5%

Southern Copper Corporation (USA)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-0.1%

10.0%

-8

-8

WCC

02/10/06

30.3%

WESCO International, Inc.

Technology

Electronic Instruments & Controls

0.0%

10.6%

-7

-7

GRMN

03/03/06

17.6%

Garmin Ltd.

Technology

Communications Equipment

0.0%

12.9%

-3

-3

 

 

      The filter for Warren Buffet style stock picking in Table 3G is for the intermediate to long term.  Two requirements were added.  One was to include only optionable stocks in order to find LEAPS opportunities.  The other requirement was to include only those stocks having a PE of 17 or less.

 

 

Table 3G

Warren Buffett Value Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

JBHT

03/31/06

-0.2%

J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.

Transportation

Trucking

-5.9%

-5.0%

-94

-94

ACS

04/29/05

24.3%

Affiliated Computer Services, Inc.

Technology

Computer Services

-6.7%

-6.1%

-92

-92

ABFS

04/29/05

24.6%

Arkansas Best Corporation

Transportation

Trucking

-13.7%

-5.4%

-81

-81

BTI

12/30/05

7.6%

British American Tobacco (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Tobacco

-5.8%

-5.6%

-80

-80

TBL

02/17/06

-5.1%

The Timberland Company

Consumer Cyclical

Footwear

-5.3%

-3.7%

-78

-78

NKE

09/23/05

2.5%

NIKE, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Footwear

-8.9%

-2.5%

-75

-75

HDI

10/14/05

0.8%

Harley-Davidson, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Recreational Products

-11.0%

1.5%

-69

-69

FNF

10/21/05

-2.7%

Fidelity National Financial

Financial

Insurance (Property & Casualty)

-10.0%

-2.2%

-69

-69

MDC

01/20/06

-4.8%

M.D.C. Holdings, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-9.1%

-6.2%

-65

-65

TOL

02/17/06

10.1%

Toll Brothers, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-8.6%

-7.5%

-60

-60

CCRT

12/30/05

-4.3%

CompuCredit Corporation

Financial

Consumer Financial Services

-12.1%

-1.5%

-54

-54

DSPG

02/07/05

9.7%

DSP Group, Inc.

Technology

Communications Equipment

-8.8%

0.7%

-53

-53

DHI

04/13/06

0.0%

D.R. Horton Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

0.0%

-4.5%

-49

-50

KSWS

10/14/05

3.1%

K-Swiss Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Footwear

-13.1%

0.7%

-47

-47

CECO

02/17/06

13.8%

Career Education Corp.

Services

Schools

-7.6%

-3.6%

-45

-46

AEOS

03/10/06

1.4%

American Eagle Outfitters

Services

Retail (Apparel)

-2.8%

3.3%

-42

-42

SCHN

02/10/06

23.1%

Schnitzer Steel Industries, Inc.

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

-11.9%

9.1%

-42

-42

THO

04/15/05

101.7%

Thor Industries, Inc.

Capital Goods

Mobile Homes & RVs

-2.9%

5.5%

-35

-39

RI

09/02/05

43.7%

Ruby Tuesday, Inc.

Services

Restaurants

-3.3%

3.8%

-38

-39

EOG

04/13/06

0.0%

EOG Resources, Inc.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

0.0%

-0.8%

-29

-30

ANF

03/03/06

-2.9%

Abercrombie & Fitch Co.

Services

Retail (Apparel)

-2.9%

0.9%

-28

-28

RS

04/15/05

142.2%

Reliance Steel & Aluminum

Basic Materials

Misc. Fabricated Products

-3.1%

7.7%

-27

-27

OXY

03/03/06

1.4%

Occidental Petroleum Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-1.2%

1.3%

-21

-21

UNT

03/03/06

2.2%

Unit Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-1.0%

2.4%

-17

-17

AH

02/03/06

21.7%

Armor Holdings, Inc.

Capital Goods

Aerospace and Defense

-0.8%

6.0%

-12

-12

NUE

04/15/05

124.5%

Nucor Corporation

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

-1.2%

11.1%

-9

-9

STLD

12/16/05

69.0%

Steel Dynamics, Inc.

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

-1.0%

17.2%

-9

-9

PCU

02/10/06

11.1%

Southern Copper Corporation (USA)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-0.1%

10.0%

-8

-8

ASH

10/28/05

33.3%

Ashland Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

0.0%

6.2%

-7

-7

RCII

10/21/05

65.9%

Rent-A-Center, Inc

Services

Rental & Leasing

0.0%

11.7%

-6

-6

 

 

 

      Stocks from Benjamin Graham’s style of utility investing are listed in Table 3H.  A requirement was added to include only those stocks having a PE of 17 or less. 

 

 

Table 3H

Benjamin Graham Utility Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

PGN

01/10/05

-5.1%

Progress Energy, Inc.

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-8.6%

-7.6%

-98

-98

SRE

01/10/05

23.5%

Sempra Energy

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-8.3%

-5.4%

-93

-93

ATO

04/01/05

-3.0%

Atmos Energy Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-12.2%

-2.8%

-86

-86

ATG

10/21/05

5.5%

AGL Resources Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-4.0%

-2.2%

-84

-84

WGL

12/23/05

-4.0%

WGL Holdings, Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-7.0%

-3.5%

-78

-78

UGI

12/30/05

3.0%

UGI Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-6.1%

-3.4%

-75

-75

UU

06/10/05

-0.6%

United Utilities PLC (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-3.6%

-3.4%

-65

-65

EON

03/10/06

0.4%

E.ON AG (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-4.1%

-3.3%

-61

-61

VVC

03/03/06

2.2%

Vectren Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-3.5%

1.8%

-51

-51

OKE

11/11/05

19.9%

ONEOK, Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-4.3%

5.9%

-31

-31

KEP

01/10/05

84.2%

Korea Electric Power Corporation (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-1.9%

4.3%

-29

-29

 

 

 

      Optionable stocks from John Templeton’s style of investing are listed in Table 3I. 

 

Table 3I

John Templeton Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

COH

04/13/06

0.0%

Coach, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Apparel/Accessories

0.0%

-5.8%

-99

-99

DGX

08/19/05

-0.5%

Quest Diagnostics Incorporated

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

-7.5%

-4.1%

-94

-93

LOW

11/18/05

-2.5%

Lowe's Companies, Inc.

Services

Retail (Home Improvement)

-7.4%

-6.3%

-89

-89

JNJ

02/17/06

-2.0%

Johnson & Johnson

Health Care

Major Drugs

-5.1%

0.1%

-84

-84

SNV

05/27/05

-7.4%

Synovus Financial Corp.

Financial

Regional Banks

-9.5%

-2.9%

-81

-81

CAKE

10/21/05

-0.3%

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated

Services

Restaurants

-11.2%

-6.7%

-76

-76

GISX

12/30/05

5.0%

Global Imaging Systems, Inc.

Technology

Office Equipment

-4.6%

1.1%

-62

-69

HDI

02/24/06

-5.5%

Harley-Davidson, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Recreational Products

-6.9%

-5.4%

-69

-69

CPS

05/27/05

9.8%

ChoicePoint Inc.

Services

Business Services

-5.0%

-1.7%

-67