Wiser Trader Stocks and Options Newsletter

______________________________________________________________________________

 

Issue No. 76  May 8, 2006                 Prescott, Arizona                       Systems@WiserTrader.com

______________________________________________________________________________

 

1.0   Trading

     

      Market momentum is strongly positive.

 

1.1 Advance

 

      This week, all the major indices advanced, as shown in Figure 1. 

 

FIGURE 1

 

 

© 2006 WiserTrader.com, LLC.  Members of wisertrader.com are neither licensed brokers nor licensed advisors.  Trades discussed represent recommendations made by the editor for the wisertrader.com portfolio.  The newsletter and web site are for information only and should not be considered as personal advice.  While it is believed that the posted information is factual, mistakes can be made in transcription.  Investors should trade stocks only after verifying all information and consulting with a licensed broker or adviser.  WiserTrader.commarkets third party trading systems but has no other affiliation with trading system companies. 

 

 

 

1.2 Filter Studies

 

      Continuing with filter performance studies, the latest 1 year period is shown at the bottom of Table 1.  Details of the filters can be found on the web site.  Currently we are tracking filter performance with the S&P 500 Index 30-day SMA (simple moving average) relative to its 200-day SMA 1 month prior to the dates listed. 

 

 

Table 1

1 Year Filter Performance Using No Trailing Stop

Year Ending

1 Year S&P500 Gain

Month Ago S&P 500

SMA 30 vs SMA 200

Growth $15-$40 Filter Gain

Growth >$40 Filter Gain

Absolute Value Filter Gain

Relative Value Filter Gain

9/02/05

9.4%

+2.8%

60.1%

40.7%

19.3%

50%

9/30/05

8.6%

+1.8%

25.4%

61.4%

12.3%

24.1

11/04/05

8.0%

-0.1%

8.2%

14.8%

4.4%

-0.6%

12/02/05

6.2%

+1.9%

24.6%

9.6%

17.0%

34.7%

01/06/06

8.2%

+4.1%

39.8%

50.3%

27.8%

28.3%

02/03/06

6.1%

+4.2%

34.8%

60.7%

11.5%

34.3%

03/03/06

5.7%

+3.5%

32.7%

26.4%

11.0%

29.7%

04/07/06

9.5%

+3.3%

25.2%

61.2%

16.1%

18.4%

04/28/06

13.2%

+4.0%

95.0% *

19.9%

12.2%

32.0%

* Only 2 stocks were filtered for this group

 

 

      The data continues to confirm that stocks selected by either filter do best when the S&P 500 remains several percent above its 200-day SMA for the most recent month.  The performance shown is for cases where no trailing stops were used.

 

 

1.3 Trailing Stop Settings

 

     Table 2 shows how typical profits change as the trailing stop is widened from -10% to -100%, essentially no stop setting at all.  One factor in such performance is that the S&P 500 has been in a bull market over the past year, all be it with a saw tooth rising wedge pattern.  Another factor is the quality of the filters themselves. 

 

      Stocks were filtered 1 year ago just after the S&P 500 bottomed out.  In some cases, a fixed nominal trailing stop setting X% can be improved upon by applying a trailing stop to each individual stock based on its highest percentage gain.  The variable value applied to stocks individually is,

 

        Variable trailing stop percentage = Highest_%Gain / 3 - X%         

 

       This effectively tightens the trailing stop as the stock price rises in order to preserve gains.  The variable trailing stop percentage is not allowed to expand wider than -X% or any narrower than -10%.  A variable trailing stop was, in some cases, superior to a fixed trailing stop over the past year.  The improvement is more likely when the trailing stop setting is narrower than -35% in an up trending market.  Results depend on market behavior.

 

 

Table 2

1-Year %Gains with Variable and Fixed Trailing Stop Settings

 

Absolute Value

Relative Value

Growth $15 to $40

Growth > $40

X“ Nominal Stop Setting (%)

Variable Trailing Stop

Fixed Trailing Stop

Variable Trailing Stop

Fixed Trailing Stop

Variable Trailing Stop

Fixed Trailing Stop

Variable Trailing Stop

Fixed Trailing Stop

-10

18.6%

18.6%

12.8%

12.8%

90.9%

90.9%

5.9%

5.9%

-15

14.4%

15.1%

15.7%

15.7%

90.9%

90.9%

15.0%

15.0%

-20

16.6%

16.0%

23.6%

15.0%

89.2%

89.2%

14.6%

13.1%

-25

16.0%

16.0%

32.0%

28.1%

89.2%

89.2%

16.9%

14.0%

-30

16.0%

16.0%

32.0%

32.0%

89.2%

89.2%

16.1%

12.3%

-35

12.2%

16.0%

32.0%

32.0%

89.2%

89.2%

19.8%

17.4%

-40

12.2%

16.0%

32.0%

32.0%

89.2%

89.2%

18.6%

16.2%

-50

12.2%

16.0%

32.0%

32.0%

95.0%

95.0%

19.9%

19.9%

-60

12.2%

12.2%

32.0%

32.0%

95.0%

95.0%

19.9%

19.9%

-70

12.2%

12.2%

32.0%

32.0%

95.0%

95.0%

19.9%

19.9%

-80

12.2%

12.2%

32.0%

32.0%

95.0%

95.0%

19.9%

19.9%

-90

12.2%

12.2%

32.0%

32.0%

95.0%

95.0%

19.9%

19.9%

-100

12.2%

12.2%

32.0%

32.0%

95.0%

95.0%

19.9%

19.9%

 

 

      Applying trailing stops to individual stocks is most easily done by putting the data and formulas in an Excel spreadsheet and download XLQPlus to retrieve stock prices automatically from Yahoo and MSN.  The spreadsheet dynamically calculates stop loss settings and when its time to buy, hold or sell.  Efforts are underway to make such an automatic spreadsheet available as a free download at http://www.wisertrader.com/excel.php .  The effort involved has to do with providing a clear description of what the spreadsheet is doing and how to use it.  Expect the spreadsheet to become available by next week.

 

      Discussions of the 5-index momentum indicator will continue next week. 

 

 

2.0 Market Analysis

 

      All ten major sectors advanced this week accompanied by a slight lowering of treasury yields.  Advances were led by blue chips.  Employment data indicated a continued strong economy without inflation fostering wage increases.  This gave more hope that the Fed would reach the end of rate tightening sooner rather than later.

 

      Key industry ETF’s in Table 2A are Biotech and Semiconductors, which confirm the NASDAQ.  Transportation confirms the Dow Jones Industrial Average according to Dow Theory.  Banking and Financials are confirming indicators for the S&P 500.  Gold and Housing are respective indicators for the inverse health of the currency (inflation) and the capacity for consumer spending. 

 

 

Table 2A

Indices, Key Industry ETF’s and Sector SPDR’s

 

1 month

1 wk ago

2 wks ago

3 wks ago

4 wks ago

Dow Jones Industrial Index

1.3%

-0.9%

0.2%

1.9%

0.2%

NASDAQ Composite Index

0.7%

1.4%

-0.9%

0.7%

-0.6%

S & P 500 Index

0.9%

-0.2%

-0.1%

1.7%

-0.5%

NYSE Composite Index

1.4%

-1.0%

0.1%

2.8%

-0.5%

Russell 2000 Index

1.8%

0.7%

-1.0%

2.8%

-0.7%

HGX, Phil. Housing Index

-5.9%

0.7%

-4.6%

1.7%

-3.6%

IYR, Real Estate

1.0%

-1.1%

-0.4%

3.5%

-2.7%

GLD, GOLD

16.0%

4.5%

3.0%

6.2%

1.6%

RKH, Banking

2.0%

-4.1%

4.2%

2.0%

0.0%

IYT, Transportation

5.7%

0.8%

-1.0%

1.2%

-0.9%

SMH, Semiconductors

3.2%

-0.7%

0.6%

1.7%

-0.2%

BBH, Biotechnology

-5.3%

7.9%

-4.6%

-2.7%

1.1%

OIH, Oil Infrastructure

9.5%

4.8%

-3.1%

7.3%

0.4%

XLE, Energy

6.3%

1.9%

-4.4%

7.0%

0.8%

XLU, Utilities

4.9%

-1.7%

0.2%

3.3%

-1.4%

XLB, Materials

5.6%

1.9%

-2.6%

4.4%

0.4%

XLI, Industrial

5.1%

-0.1%

-1.0%

3.0%

-0.3%

XLK, Technology

-1.5%

2.1%

-1.0%

-0.2%

-0.7%

XLV, Healthcare

-1.6%

0.5%

-0.5%

0.5%

-0.8%

XLF, Financials

4.8%

-2.7%

2.5%

2.0%

-0.3%

XLP, Consumer Staples

2.8%

-2.0%

1.8%

0.7%

-0.6%

XLY, Consumer Discretionary

2.2%

-0.5%

1.2%

0.2%

-0.8%

 

 

 

      The VIX and VXN volatility indexes are listed in Table 2B.

 

 

Table 2B

Volatility

Indicator

Current

Last Week

2 Weeks Ago

Complacent

Cautious

VIX **

11.6

11.6

11.6

< 20

> 50

VXN ***

14.4

15.5

15.9

< 30

> 70

**   Below 20 day SMA = Short-term buy signal.

*** Below 20 day SMA = Short-term buy signal.

 

 

      Figure 2 compares the major averages with key ETF’s and Sector SPDR’s.

 

 

FIGURE 2

 

 

 

Table 2C

Market Summary

 
Industries are listed according to the Dow Jones Classification System 

 
 

 Major Indices 
 For the Past Week:
 Dow Jones    +1.9%
 NASDAQ       +0.9%
 S&P500 Index +1.2%
 Russell 2000 +2.3%
 NYSE         +1.9%
 
 30 Year Bond 5.195%
 10 Year Note 5.108%
 
 Leading Industries
 For the Past Week:
 Coal 
 Steel 
 Trucking 
 Nonferrous Metals 
 Industrial Metals 
 Tires 
 Airlines 
 Pipelines 
 Delivery Services 
 Oil Equipment, Services & Dis                      
 
 Lagging Industries
 For the Past Week:
 Toys 
 Insurance Brokers 
 Nondurable Household Products 
 Internet 
 Leisure Goods 
 Water 
 Health Care Providers 
 Specialized Consumer Services 
 Gold Mining 
 Household Goods               
          
 Leading Industries
 For the Past Month:
 Coal 
 Mining 
 Aluminum 
 Basic Resources 
 Transportation Services 
 Steel 
 Industrial Metals 
 Oil Equipment & Services Indep 
 Oil Equipment, Services & Dis 
 Business Training & Employ            
 
 Lagging Industries
 For the Past Month:
 Water 
 Home Construction 
 Health Care Providers 
 Toys 
 Specialized Consumer Services 
 Software 
 Leisure Goods 
 Biotechnology 
 Consumer Electronics 
 Health Care Equipment & Serv                           
 
 Crude Oil $69.97
 
 Gold for the past 30 days:
 USD  +14.77%
 CAD  +10.00%
 CHF  + 9.85%
 GBP  + 8.40%
 EUR  +11.29%
 JPY  + 9.49%

 
 
 
 

3.0 Procedure

 

      A temporary disruption in one of our information channels prevents us from adding new picks this week.  The existing picks are sorted according to their most recent performance.

 

      The following watch lists contain stock candidates for consideration.  They are not necessarily trades.  Categories include checklists for insider buying and cash rich companies, as well as, filters that employ stock picking methods used by master traders.  The information is not meant to imply any endorsement or sponsorship by these master traders.

 

      Current stock rankings are based on the degree to which stocks are overbought or over sold based on the 28-period Williams %R for the past two trading days.  Two columns are labeled “%R1” and “%R2” with “%R2” indicating the Williams %R for the most recent trading day.  Of course, values more negative than -80 are oversold and those less negative than -20 are overbought.

 

      One should keep in mind that oversold stocks are not necessarily ready to move upward.  They could very well be in a condition of continuous decline.  The lists are meant to serve as a starting point for further due diligence. 

 

      A column labeled “Monthly % Gain” was added to show the inverse relationship between price action over the past month and the Williams %R.  The change from a 10-period Williams %R with a weekly percent change to a 28-period Williams %R with a monthly percent change was done to reflect a longer term view.

 

      The “Reference” is the date that a stock passed the indicated filter and was first added to or returned to the list.  The “% Change” is how the price has changed since the reference date.  Stocks that are down 10% or more after being listed are removed for a period of about two months.  The “% from Max” is the percentage the price has declined from the maximum price reached since the reference date.  Stocks that are down 8% from their highs after being listed are flagged in yellow.  Stocks that are down 15% from their highs after being listed are removed for two months.  More information on filters is available on the web site.

 

      A performance summary of filtering techniques for checklists and master trader selection methods is given in Table 3A. 

 

 

Table 3A

Stock Filter Summary

Filter

Avg. % Change Since Listed

Avg. % Change Friday

1 Month

1 Week Ago

2 weeks Ago

3 Weeks Ago

4 Weeks Ago

Net Insider Buying

3.8%

2.3%

1.8%

-0.2%

-0.1%

1.7%

0.3%

Cash Rich Companies

3.9%

1.8%

3.8%

3.2%

0.8%

1.1%

-1.4%

Price to Free Cash Flow

16.1%

5.3%

5.2%

4.0%

-2.4%

6.3%

-1.8%

Growth Momentum

20.0%

1.7%

5.0%

3.6%

-3.1%

4.6%

-0.1%

Lynch

32.7%

1.0%

5.9%

2.8%

0.6%

3.5%

-1.3%

Buffett

31.7%

1.1%

3.7%

2.8%

-1.4%

3.4%

-1.0%

Graham

16.8%

1.0%

3.3%

1.9%

-0.2%

3.0%

-1.4%

Templeton

6.4%

1.1%

0.9%

0.3%

-0.1%

1.6%

-1.0%

 Zweig

9.0%

1.2%

4.5%

2.7%

-2.4%

4.0%

0.2%

Average

15.6%

1.8%

3.8%

2.3%

-0.9%

3.3%

-0.8%

 

 

Key

Passed Recent Filter

Price declined by half of stop loss setting

Oversold  based on  Williams %R  (%R2 is most recent)

Overbought based on Williams %R  (%R2 is most recent)

 

 

      Companies that have experienced net insider buying within the past 6 months of 5% or more of issued stock are listed in Table 3B.  These stocks should also appear in one of the master trader screens or meet additional screening criteria before being given serious consideration.  This list is a mixture of stocks that are optionable and those that are not.

 

Table 3B

Net Insider Buying Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

CLRT

03/24/06

-8.9%

Clarient, Inc.

Technology

Scientific & Technical Instruments

-12.1%

-4.7%

-100

-95

EQS

04/13/06

0.0%

Equus II Incorporated

Financial

Investment Services

-6.1%

-4.7%

-94

-89

RGN

03/17/06

0.0%

RegeneRx Biopharmaceut.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-10.9%

-5.8%

-55

-55

NXTM

03/17/06

0.0%

NxStage Medical, Inc.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-8.0%

4.8%

-49

-49

MMLP

11/25/05

0.0%

Martin Midstream Partners L.P.

Transportation

Water Transportation

-2.8%

0.5%

-28

-26

LXU

12/23/05

35.4%

LSB Industries, Inc.

Basic Materials

Chemical Manufacturing

-1.7%

16.8%

-8

-8

TWI

04/21/06

0.0%

Titan International, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Auto & Truck Parts

0.0%

10.6%

0

0

 

 

      Companies with net cash positions that comprise at least 40% of their share price are listed in Table 3C.  These stocks should also appear in one of the master trader screens or meet additional screening criteria before being given serious consideration.  Again, this list is a mixture of stocks that are optionable and those that are not.

 

 

 

Table 3C

Capital Rich Companies Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

WSC

03/11/06

-0.5%

Wesco Financial Corporation

Conglomerates

Conglomerates

-0.9%

-0.7%

-67

-31

SCIX

04/07/06

8.3%

Scailex Corp., Ltd. (USA)

Technology

Computer Networks

0.0%

8.3%

0

0

 

 

      Table 3D was added to contain companies having a low price to free cash flow (P-FCF) less than 5.  Companies having P-FCF less than 10 are typically capable of financing the purchase of all their outstanding shares of stock.

 

 

Table 3D

Price to Free Cash Flow Companies Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

LNX

03/31/06

-2.7%

Lenox Group Inc.

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Personal & Household Products

-11.3%

-6.5%

-73

-71

KWD

03/04/06

20.5%

Kellwood Company

Consumer Cyclical

Apparel/Accessories

-4.9%

2.5%

-51

-48

MOVI

03/24/06

30.5%

Movie Gallery, Inc.

Services

Recreational Activities

0.0%

18.5%

-46

-3

 

 

      For the Peter Lynch style screen in Table 3E, the number of selections is reduced by selecting only optionable stocks having P/E’s less than 30. 

 

 

 

Table 3E

Peter Lynch Value Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

CAE

04/21/06

1.1%

Cascade Corporation

Capital Goods

Misc. Capital Goods

-1.9%

-17.7%

-76

-76

AZN

02/03/06

16.3%

AstraZeneca PLC (ADR)

Health Care

Major Drugs

-2.2%

6.6%

-30

-30

KOF

04/29/05

48.1%

Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Beverages (Non-Alcoholic)

0.0%

3.6%

-12

-16

SKM

02/07/05

35.7%

SK Telecom Co., Ltd. (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

0.0%

15.5%

-10

-10

TM

12/13/04

64.6%

Toyota Motor Corporation (ADR)

Consumer Cyclical

Auto & Truck Manufacturers

0.0%

8.2%

-3

-3

PKX

02/17/06

33.4%

POSCO (ADR)

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

0.0%

5.3%

-2

-2

BTI

08/12/05

29.7%

British American Tobacco (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Tobacco

0.0%

7.7%

-1

-1

 

 

      For the Growth Momentum screen in Table 3F, the number of selections is reduced by selecting only optionable stocks having P/E’s less than 30. 

 

 

Table 3F

Growth Momentum Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

DNR

03/03/06

13.8%

Denbury Resources Inc.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-10.1%

1.1%

-69

-73

SM

03/17/06

1.9%

St. Mary Land & Exploration Co.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-9.1%

-0.2%

-66

-66

HCC

10/21/05

22.9%

HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Property & Casualty)

-4.0%

0.1%

-64

-64

WSO

11/25/05

7.7%

Watsco, Incorporated

Capital Goods

Misc. Capital Goods

-9.1%

-0.3%

-63

-63

CHE

05/06/05

45.4%

Chemed Corporation

Services

Business Services

-7.9%

-3.4%

-63

-63

AHC

02/03/06

0.0%

Amerada Hess Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas - Integrated

-5.6%

-0.1%

-56

-56

APC

02/10/06

0.0%

Anadarko Petroleum Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-6.1%

4.3%

-53

-53

LM

08/12/05

8.8%

Legg Mason, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-13.0%

-5.1%

-55

-52

BEN

11/04/05

2.7%

Franklin Resources, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-9.6%

-1.5%

-43

-43

ENDP

02/17/06

6.6%

Endo Pharmaceuticals

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-4.9%

1.0%

-42

-42

ET

10/21/05

46.0%

E*TRADE FINANCIAL Corporation

Financial

Investment Services

-5.3%

-3.1%

-39

-39

GS

04/21/06

-0.9%

Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-0.9%

2.1%

-32

-34

UIC

03/17/06

22.2%

United Industrial Corp.

Capital Goods

Aerospace and Defense

-2.9%

10.5%

-22

-23

GRMN

03/03/06

28.1%

Garmin Ltd.

Technology

Communications Equipment

-1.7%

15.2%

-21

-21

SYT

04/08/05

36.0%

Syngenta AG (ADR)

Basic Materials

Chemical Manufacturing

-1.2%

4.0%

-16

-16

JEF

04/21/06

2.0%

Jefferies Group, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-1.2%

11.7%

-15

-16

OVTI

03/17/06

25.3%

OmniVision Technologies

Technology

Semiconductors

-1.4%

10.2%

-16

-16

CHB

02/17/06

6.4%

Champion Enterprises, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-0.2%

6.2%

-10

-10

PCU

12/02/05

49.2%

Southern Copper Corporation (USA)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

0.0%

10.9%

-9

-9

BHP

09/09/05

51.7%

BHP Billiton Limited (ADR)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

0.0%

12.8%

-4

-4

RIO

03/31/06

15.3%

Companhia Vale do Rio Doce (ADR)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

0.0%

14.9%

-2

-2

WCC

02/10/06

48.6%

WESCO International, Inc.

Technology

Electronic Instruments & Controls

0.0%

16.6%

-1

-1

 

 

      The filter for Warren Buffet style stock picking in Table 3G is for the intermediate to long term.  Two requirements were added.  One was to include only optionable stocks in order to find LEAPS opportunities.  The other requirement was to include only those stocks having a PE of 17 or less.

 

 

Table 3G

Warren Buffett Value Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

DHI

04/13/06

-9.9%

D.R. Horton Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-12.9%

-13.8%

-99

-85

ASH

10/28/05

22.8%

Ashland Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-11.9%

-4.7%

-80

-80

NKE

09/23/05

0.3%

NIKE, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Footwear

-10.8%

-2.5%

-79

-79

TOL

02/17/06

3.7%

Toll Brothers, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-13.9%

-4.0%

-78

-78

RI

09/02/05

39.4%

Ruby Tuesday, Inc.

Services

Restaurants

-6.2%

-3.7%

-77

-77

ACS

04/29/05

14.2%

Affiliated Computer Services, Inc.

Technology

Computer Services

-14.2%

-8.9%

-78

-77

DSPG

02/07/05

6.7%

DSP Group, Inc.

Technology

Communications Equipment

-11.2%

-5.2%

-70

-70

HDI

10/14/05

3.3%

Harley-Davidson, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Recreational Products

-8.9%

-3.1%

-63

-63

THO

04/15/05

94.0%

Thor Industries, Inc.

Capital Goods

Mobile Homes & RVs

-6.6%

-6.1%

-58

-58

MVK

04/28/06

4.7%

Maverick Tube Corporation

Capital Goods

Construction - Supplies and Fixtures

0.0%

4.4%

-44

-49

SCHN

02/10/06

29.6%

Schnitzer Steel Industries, Inc.

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

-7.3%

-4.7%

-48

-48

RS

04/15/05

143.1%

Reliance Steel & Aluminum

Basic Materials

Misc. Fabricated Products

-2.7%

0.9%

-38

-38

EOG

04/13/06

6.0%

EOG Resources, Inc.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-2.9%

5.9%

-72

-27

OXY

03/03/06

10.0%

Occidental Petroleum Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-2.4%

9.8%

-23

-23

NUE

04/15/05

139.9%

Nucor Corporation

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

-1.5%

8.0%

-21

-22

FNF

10/21/05

17.5%

Fidelity National Financial

Financial

Insurance (Property & Casualty)

-1.2%

19.3%

-19

-19

ANF

03/03/06

6.1%

Abercrombie & Fitch Co.

Services

Retail (Apparel)

0.0%

12.3%

-15

-16

ABFS

04/29/05

37.7%

Arkansas Best Corporation

Transportation

Trucking

-4.5%

6.2%

-13

-13

AEOS

03/10/06

13.3%

American Eagle Outfitters

Services

Retail (Apparel)

-0.8%

11.2%

-10

-11

AH

02/03/06

27.4%

Armor Holdings, Inc.

Capital Goods

Aerospace and Defense

-0.3%

5.6%

-9

-10

PCU

02/10/06

20.5%

Southern Copper Corporation (USA)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

0.0%

10.9%

-9

-9

UNT

03/03/06

12.2%

Unit Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

0.0%

8.4%

-8

-9

RCII

10/21/05

74.5%

Rent-A-Center, Inc

Services

Rental & Leasing

0.0%

8.3%

-7

-7

STLD

12/16/05

96.7%

Steel Dynamics, Inc.

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

0.0%

19.0%

-4

-4

JBHT

03/31/06

19.4%

J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.

Transportation

Trucking

0.0%

13.5%

-2

-2

BTI

12/30/05

16.0%

British American Tobacco (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Tobacco

0.0%

7.7%

-1

-1

CCRT

12/30/05

6.8%

CompuCredit Corporation

Financial

Consumer Financial Services

-1.9%

10.9%

-1

-1

 

 

 

      Stocks from Benjamin Graham’s style of utility investing are listed in Table 3H.  A requirement was added to include only those stocks having a PE of 17 or less. 

 

 

Table 3H

Benjamin Graham Utility Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

WGL

12/23/05

-3.0%

WGL Holdings, Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-5.9%

-0.1%

-61

-61

PGN

01/10/05

-2.1%

Progress Energy, Inc.

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-5.7%

0.8%

-55

-55

OKE

11/11/05

21.3%

ONEOK, Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-3.2%

-1.6%

-43

-54

EON

03/10/06

9.1%

E.ON AG (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-2.0%

9.9%

-21

-21

UGI

12/30/05

12.6%

UGI Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-0.9%

9.1%

-14

-14

VVC

03/03/06

5.2%

Vectren Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-0.7%

1.0%

-12

-12

SRE

01/10/05

29.9%

Sempra Energy

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-3.6%

2.3%

-11

-11

ATG

10/21/05

9.5%

AGL Resources Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-0.4%

2.7%

-9

-9

ATO

04/01/05

1.8%

Atmos Energy Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-7.9%

4.2%

-5

-5

UU

06/10/05

4.8%

United Utilities PLC (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

0.0%

3.6%

-4

-4

KEP

01/10/05

96.2%

Korea Electric Power Corporation (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

0.0%

4.5%

-2

-3

 

 

 

      Optionable stocks from John Templeton’s style of investing are listed in Table 3I. 

 

 

Table 3I

John Templeton Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

COH

04/13/06

-4.9%

Coach, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Apparel/Accessories

-9.5%

-9.9%

-94

-94

FLIR

04/28/06

-0.4%

FLIR Systems, Inc.

Capital Goods

Aerospace and Defense

-0.4%

-14.8%

-84

-84

BBBY

04/07/06

-5.1%

Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-5.1%

-0.1%

-76

-81

TOL

03/03/06

-6.5%

Toll Brothers, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-13.9%

-4.0%

-78

-78

HDI

02/24/06

-3.2%

Harley-Davidson, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Recreational Products

-4.7%

0.0%

-63

-63

ORLY

01/20/06

9.6%

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-8.3%

-5.7%

-63

-63

AMSG

10/14/05

5.5%

AmSurg Corp.

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

-9.8%

0.2%

-57

-57

EWBC

12/30/05

8.2%

East West Bancorp, Inc.

Financial

Regional Banks

-3.4%

6.1%

-45

-45

JNJ

02/17/06

-0.6%

Johnson & Johnson

Health Care

Major Drugs

-3.8%

0.2%

-46

-44

HHS

10/28/05

7.0%

Harte-Hanks, Inc.

Services

Printing & Publishing

-9.1%

4.4%

-41

-41

LOW

11/18/05

-1.0%

Lowe's Companies, Inc.

Services

Retail (Home Improvement)

-5.9%

-0.1%

-33

-33

CHD

11/18/05

10.5%

Church & Dwight Co., Inc.

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Personal & Household Products

-1.7%

3.6%

-29

-29

SNV

05/27/05

-4.9%