Wiser Trader Stocks and Options Newsletter

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Issue No. 76  May 17, 2006                           Prescott, Arizona                       Systems@WiserTrader.com

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1.0   Trading

     

·        The newsletter is on a mid-week schedule until some issues are worked out for a primary information source.  It will return to a Monday pre-open schedule soon, perhaps as early as next week.

·        Five free Excel-XLQPlus spreadsheet downloads are available to help track various segments of the market at http://www.wisertrader.com/excel.php.  All have undergone recent updates. 

 

1.1 Pullback

 

      While climbing a wall of worry, the market decided to look down.  In part, it was declining consumer sentiment combined with Fed expectations of a slowing economy.  In addition was the recent rise in treasury yields following a quarter point Fed rate hike to 5.00%.  On Monday, it was a decline in the US dollar when Japan announced it would not hike interest rates at this time.  The market is shown in Figure 1A as of Monday’s close.

 

 

FIGURE 1A

 

 

© 2006 WiserTrader.com, LLC.  Members of wisertrader.com are neither licensed brokers nor licensed advisors.  Trades discussed represent recommendations made by the editor for the wisertrader.com portfolio.  The newsletter and web site are for information only and should not be considered as personal advice.  While it is believed that the posted information is factual, mistakes can be made in transcription.  Investors should trade stocks only after verifying all information and consulting with a licensed broker or adviser.  WiserTrader.commarkets third party trading systems but has no other affiliation with trading system companies. 

 

      The Williams %R for each of the five indices is oversold.  On Thursday the 5-index Williams %R, shown in Figure 1B moved downward across the -50 neutral line and proceeded on Friday to narrow its range of component values.  At Monday’s close, the average indicator value was -92 with a range of 30 units.  The 200-day SMA for the indicator is -42. 

 

 

FIGURE 1B

 

1.2 Errata - Directivity

 

       In haste to publish the supplemental issue last Wednesday May 10, 2006, a couple of algebraic signs were misplaced in the directivity formula.  The formula should read,

 

      

 

      This corrected version has been incorporated into the archived newsletter dated 05-10-06 and in the spreadsheet download named Market Momentum

 

 

2.0 Market Analysis

 

      Commodities led the market lower on Monday, spurred by a rise in the US dollar after the Japanese central bank announced that it would not raise interest rates.  The average industry loss was -0.4% with 44% of 212 industries gaining.  This performance was better than Thursday and Friday of last week when the average industry loss was, respectively -1.3 and -1.4% with only 4 and 6% of industries gaining. 

 

      Key industry ETF’s in Table 2A are Biotech and Semiconductors, which confirm the NASDAQ.  Transportation confirms the Dow Jones Industrial Average according to Dow Theory.  Banking and Financials are confirming indicators for the S&P 500.  Gold and Housing are respective indicators for the inverse health of the currency (inflation) and the capacity for consumer spending. 

 

 

Table 2A

Indices, Key Industry ETF’s and Sector SPDR’s

 

1 month

1 wk ago

2 wks ago

3 wks ago

4 wks ago

Dow Jones Industrial Index

3.2%

-1.3%

2.1%

0.1%

2.4%

NASDAQ Composite Index

-3.1%

-4.5%

1.7%

-1.2%

1.0%

S & P 500 Index

0.7%

-2.3%

1.5%

-0.2%

1.8%

NYSE Composite Index

1.7%

-2.8%

1.9%

0.3%

2.4%

Russell 2000 Index

-1.6%

-5.6%

2.7%

-0.7%

2.2%

HGX, Phil. Housing Index

-7.9%

-5.1%

0.4%

-3.9%

0.5%

IYR, Real Estate

2.2%

-2.3%

2.6%

-1.4%

3.4%

GLD, GOLD

10.3%

-0.2%

3.7%

5.7%

0.9%

RKH, Banking

4.3%

-1.4%

0.6%

2.9%

2.2%

IYT, Transportation

5.9%

-2.0%

6.3%

-1.7%

3.4%

SMH, Semiconductors

-1.2%

-6.1%

2.3%

0.0%

2.8%

BBH, Biotechnology

-6.2%

-0.2%

2.0%

-5.8%

-2.2%

OIH, Oil Infrastructure

-0.4%

-7.1%

2.3%

0.9%

4.0%

XLE, Energy

-2.3%

-5.2%

0.9%

-1.3%

3.5%

XLU, Utilities

4.1%

-1.5%

2.9%

-1.6%

4.4%

XLB, Materials

0.3%

-4.1%

3.1%

-1.6%

3.1%

XLI, Industrial

3.7%

-2.0%

3.0%

-1.1%

3.9%

XLK, Technology

-3.9%

-4.3%

1.3%

-1.6%

0.8%

XLV, Healthcare

-0.1%

0.2%

0.2%

-1.0%

0.6%

XLF, Financials

3.0%

-1.7%

1.8%

0.9%

2.1%

XLP, Consumer Staples

3.5%

-1.1%

1.6%

1.3%

1.7%

XLY, Consumer Discretionary

2.2%

-1.4%

2.2%

0.7%

0.7%

 

 

 

      The VIX and VXN volatility indexes are listed in Table 2B.

 

 

Table 2B

Volatility

Indicator

Current

Last Week

2 Weeks Ago

Complacent

Cautious

VIX **

13.6

11.8

11.6

< 20

> 50

VXN ***

18.0

14.9

15.5

< 30

> 70

**   Above 20 day SMA = Short-term sell signal.

*** Above 20 day SMA = Short-term sell signal.

 

 

 

      Figure 2A compares the major averages with key ETF’s and Sector SPDR’s.

 

 

FIGURE 2A

 

 

 

 

 

Table 2C

Market Summary

 
Industries are listed according to the Dow Jones Classification System 

 
 

 Major Indices 
 For the Past Week:
 Dow Jones      -1.3%
 NASDAQ         -4.5%
 S&P500 Index   -2.3%
 Russell 2000   -5.6%
 NYSE           -2.8%
 
 30 Year Bond 5.298%
 10 Year Note 5.186%
 
 Leading Industries
 For the Past Week:
 Automobiles 
 Aerospace & Defense 
 Nonferrous Metals 
 Broadcasting & Entertainment 
 Media 
 Heavy Construction 
 Automobiles & Parts 
 Personal Products 
 Media Agencies 
 Soft Drinks                     
 
 Lagging Industries
 For the Past Week:
 Paper 
 Travel & Tourism 
 Telecommunications Equipt 
 Home Construction 
 Platinum & Precious Metals 
 Technology Hardware & Equipt 
 Forestry & Paper 
 Semiconductors 
 Computer Hardware 
 Investment Services                
          
 Leading Industries
 For the Past Month:
 Coal 
 Mining 
 Transportation Services 
 Nonferrous Metals 
 Business Training & Employ 
 Hotels 
 Brewers 
 Basic Resources 
 Steel 
 Oil Equipment & Services             
 
 Lagging Industries
 For the Past Month:
 Water 
 Home Construction 
 Toys 
 Leisure Goods 
 Specialized Consumer Services 
 Software 
 Health Care Providers 
 Recreational Products 
 Software & Computer Services 
 Consumer Electronics                            
 
 Crude Oil $68.73
 
 Gold for the past 30 days:
 USD    +14.03%
 CAD    +10.33%
 CHF    + 6.45%
 GBP    + 6.29%
 EUR    + 7.98%
JPY     + 5.97%

 
 
 
 

3.0 Procedure

 

      The following watch lists contain stock candidates for consideration.  They are not necessarily trades.  Categories include checklists for insider buying and cash rich companies, as well as, filters that employ stock picking methods used by master traders.  The information is not meant to imply any endorsement or sponsorship by these master traders.

 

      Current stock rankings are based on the degree to which stocks are overbought or over sold based on the 28-period Williams %R for the past two trading days.  Two columns are labeled “%R1” and “%R2” with “%R2” indicating the Williams %R for the most recent trading day.  Of course, values more negative than -80 are oversold and those less negative than -20 are overbought.

 

      One should keep in mind that oversold stocks are not necessarily ready to move upward.  They could very well be in a condition of continuous decline.  The lists are meant to serve as a starting point for further due diligence. 

 

      A column labeled “Monthly % Gain” was added to show the inverse relationship between price action over the past month and the Williams %R.  The change from a 10-period Williams %R with a weekly percent change to a 28-period Williams %R with a monthly percent change was done to reflect a longer term view.

 

      The “Reference” is the date that a stock passed the indicated filter and was first added to or returned to the list.  The “% Change” is how the price has changed since the reference date.  Stocks that are down 10% or more after being listed are removed for a period of about two months.  The “% from Max” is the percentage the price has declined from the maximum price reached since the reference date.  Stocks that are down 8% from their highs after being listed are flagged in yellow.  Stocks that are down 15% from their highs after being listed are removed for two months.  More information on filters is available on the web site.

 

      A performance summary of filtering techniques for checklists and master trader selection methods is given in Table 3A. 

 

 

Table 3A

Stock Filter Summary

Filter

Avg. % Change Since Listed

Avg. % Change Monday

1 Month

1 Week Ago

2 weeks Ago

3 Weeks Ago

4 Weeks Ago

Net Insider Buying

5.6%

-0.6%

4.8%

0.9%

0.3%

-1.9%

5.9%

Cash Rich Companies

5.3%

-0.5%

7.9%

2.0%

4.6%

0.5%

0.6%

Price to Free Cash Flow

6.5%

-0.2%

1.3%

-5.0%

0.8%

4.1%

1.7%

Growth Momentum

13.1%

-2.3%

0.4%

-6.0%

5.3%

-1.5%

3.1%

Lynch

21.9%

-1.7%

2.4%

-5.2%

2.7%

1.4%

3.9%

Buffett

23.3%

-1.1%

1.3%

-5.1%

3.2%

0.6%

2.9%

Graham

11.8%

-0.5%

0.6%

-3.9%

1.8%

0.1%

2.7%

Templeton

5.1%

0.2%

1.0%

-1.5%

1.9%

-0.5%

1.0%

 Zweig

3.0%

-1.8%

-0.8%

-4.8%

3.5%

-2.0%

2.7%

Average

10.6%

-1.0%

2.1%

-3.2%

2.7%

0.1%

2.7%

 

 

Key

Passed Recent Filter

Price declined by half of stop loss setting

Oversold  based on  Williams %R  (%R2 is most recent)

Overbought based on Williams %R  (%R2 is most recent)

 

 

      Companies that have experienced net insider buying within the past 6 months of 5% or more of issued stock are listed in Table 3B.  These stocks should also appear in one of the master trader screens or meet additional screening criteria before being given serious consideration.  This list is a mixture of stocks that are optionable and those that are not.

 

 

Table 3B

Net Insider Buying Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

CWEI

05/12/06

0.0%

Clayton Williams Energy, Inc.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-1.3%

0.8%

-49

-90

EQS

04/13/06

0.0%

Equus II Incorporated

Financial

Investment Services

-5.1%

-4.1%

-71

-77

LXU

12/23/05

30.7%

LSB Industries, Inc.

Basic Materials

Chemical Manufacturing

-7.8%

2.7%

-25

-44

SOMX

05/12/06

1.5%

Somaxon Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

1.5%

14.7%

-26

-29

NAHC

05/12/06

1.5%

National Atlantic Holdings Corporation

Financial

Insurance (Property & Casualty)

1.5%

0.5%

-28

-28

ACME

05/12/06

0.0%

ACME Communications, Inc.

Services

Broadcasting & Cable TV

0.0%

5.7%

-67

-24

 

 

      Companies with net cash positions that comprise at least 40% of their share price are listed in Table 3C.  These stocks should also appear in one of the master trader screens or meet additional screening criteria before being given serious consideration.  Again, this list is a mixture of stocks that are optionable and those that are not.

 

 

Table 3C

Capital Rich Companies Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

SCIX

04/07/06

10.0%

Scailex Corp., Ltd. (USA)

Technology

Computer Networks

-1.3%

10.2%

-12

-12

ACTS

05/05/06

3.8%

Actions Semiconductor Co., Ltd. (ADR)

Technology

Semiconductors

-1.7%

9.4%

-15

-10

WSC

03/11/06

2.1%

Wesco Financial Corporation

Conglomerates

Conglomerates

0.2%

4.1%

-17

-4

 

 

      Table 3D was added to contain companies having a low price to free cash flow (P-FCF) less than 5.  Companies having P-FCF less than 10 are typically capable of financing the purchase of all their outstanding shares of stock.

 

 

Table 3D

Price to Free Cash Flow Companies Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

FIS

05/12/06

0.4%

Fidelity National Information Services

Services

Business Services

0.4%

-2.7%

-85

-84

RKT

05/12/06

-0.8%

Rock-Tenn Company

Basic Materials

Paper & Paper Products

-0.8%

3.0%

-45

-65

KWD

03/04/06

20.0%

Kellwood Company

Consumer Cyclical

Apparel/Accessories

-5.4%

3.5%

-58

-60

 

 

      For the Peter Lynch style screen in Table 3E, the number of selections is reduced by selecting only optionable stocks having P/E’s less than 30.  

 

 

 

Table 3E

Peter Lynch Value Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

CAE

04/21/06

-3.3%

Cascade Corporation

Capital Goods

Misc. Capital Goods

-6.1%

-0.9%

-87

-87

TM

12/13/04

50.4%

Toyota Motor Corporation (ADR)

Consumer Cyclical

Auto & Truck Manufacturers

-8.6%

0.1%

-89

-84

KOF

04/29/05

44.0%

Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Beverages (Non-Alcoholic)

-4.6%

2.0%

-61

-68

RIO

05/05/06

-8.0%

Companhia Vale do Rio Doce (ADR)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-11.5%

-8.8%

-39

-59

PKX

02/17/06

21.9%

POSCO (ADR)

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

-8.9%

-8.1%

-30

-57

AZN

02/03/06

14.6%

AstraZeneca PLC (ADR)

Health Care

Major Drugs

-3.7%

4.0%

-42

-46

SKM

02/07/05

29.8%

SK Telecom Co., Ltd. (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

-5.5%

7.3%

-18

-36

BTI

08/12/05

25.9%

British American Tobacco (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Tobacco

-2.9%

3.6%

-24

-35

 

 

      For the Growth Momentum screen in Table 3F, the number of selections is reduced by selecting only optionable stocks having P/E’s less than 30. 

 

 

Table 3F

Growth Momentum Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

APC

02/10/06

0.0%

Anadarko Petroleum Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-11.2%

-6.9%

-92

-100

GS

04/21/06

-7.7%

Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-7.7%

-5.4%

-100

-100

HCC

10/21/05

16.5%

HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Property & Casualty)

-9.0%

-3.4%

-100

-100

COG

05/12/06

-3.6%

Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-3.6%

-5.1%

-71

-93

CHB

02/17/06

-5.4%

Champion Enterprises, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-11.3%

-2.7%

-85

-92

BEN

11/04/05

-2.6%

Franklin Resources, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-14.3%

-6.0%

-82

-87

WCC

02/10/06

30.0%

WESCO International, Inc.

Technology

Electronic Instruments & Controls

-12.5%

-1.9%

-72

-81

CHE

05/06/05

41.6%

Chemed Corporation

Services

Business Services

-10.3%

-6.5%

-62

-80

ENDP

02/17/06

3.5%

Endo Pharmaceuticals

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-7.7%

-2.7%

-59

-75

ET

10/21/05

38.0%

E*TRADE FINANCIAL Corporation

Financial

Investment Services

-10.5%

-4.0%

-67

-72

OVTI

03/17/06

13.0%

OmniVision Technologies

Technology

Semiconductors

-11.8%

1.0%

-68

-70

BHP

09/09/05

42.0%

BHP Billiton Limited (ADR)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-9.0%

0.6%

-33

-68

PCU

12/02/05

42.0%

Southern Copper Corporation (USA)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-10.0%

0.8%

-39

-65

JEF

04/21/06

-4.8%

Jefferies Group, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-7.8%

1.1%

-42

-63

RIO

03/31/06

6.1%

Companhia Vale do Rio Doce (ADR)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-11.5%

5.9%

-39

-59

GRMN

03/03/06

24.6%

Garmin Ltd.

Technology

Communications Equipment

-5.6%

7.3%

-33

-45

MDR

05/12/06

-4.3%

McDermott International

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-4.3%

13.7%

-24

-43

KCS

05/12/06

-2.5%

KCS Energy, Inc.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-2.5%

8.5%

-29

-41

SYT

04/08/05

37.4%

Syngenta AG (ADR)

Basic Materials

Chemical Manufacturing

-4.6%

4.3%

-31

-40

CSR

05/12/06

-1.3%

Credit Suisse Group (ADR)

Financial

Insurance (Life)

-1.3%

8.7%

-23

-33

 

 

      The filter for Warren Buffet style stock picking in Table 3G is for the intermediate to long term.  Two requirements were added.  One was to include only optionable stocks in order to find LEAPS opportunities.  The other requirement was to include only those stocks having a PE of 17 or less.

 

 

Table 3G

Warren Buffett Value Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

XEC

05/05/06

-7.2%

Cimarex Energy Co.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-7.6%

-7.2%

-98

-100

ASH

10/28/05

19.7%

Ashland Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-14.1%

-11.4%

-89

-94

MVK

04/28/06

-2.6%

Maverick Tube Corporation

Capital Goods

Construction - Supplies and Fixtures

-9.3%

-6.2%

-80

-93

AH

02/03/06

16.1%

Armor Holdings, Inc.

Capital Goods

Aerospace and Defense

-9.2%

-3.9%

-95

-92

THO

04/15/05

84.0%

Thor Industries, Inc.

Capital Goods

Mobile Homes & RVs

-11.4%

-7.5%

-89

-91

RS

04/15/05

128.4%

Reliance Steel & Aluminum

Basic Materials

Misc. Fabricated Products

-10.1%

-6.3%

-60

-84

RI

09/02/05

31.7%

Ruby Tuesday, Inc.

Services

Restaurants

-11.4%

-8.2%

-100

-82

MBT

05/05/06

-4.6%

Mobile TeleSystems OJSC (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

-6.5%

-2.1%

-43

-81

SCHN

02/10/06

22.1%

Schnitzer Steel Industries, Inc.

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

-12.7%

-2.0%

-63

-76

APA

05/12/06

-2.0%

Apache Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-2.0%

-2.1%

-33

-75

NKE

09/23/05

0.5%

NIKE, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Footwear

-10.7%

-0.2%

-77

-74

HDI

10/14/05

2.1%

Harley-Davidson, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Recreational Products

-9.9%

-1.1%

-88

-73

OXY

03/03/06

4.4%

Occidental Petroleum Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-7.4%

-2.1%

-41

-68

NUE

04/15/05

126.8%

Nucor Corporation

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

-7.2%

-1.6%

-61

-66

NAT

05/12/06

-3.0%

Nordic American Tanker Shipping Limited

Transportation

Water Transportation

-3.0%

8.7%

-49

-66

PCU

02/10/06

14.7%

Southern Copper Corporation (USA)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-10.0%

0.8%

-39

-65

PSUN

05/05/06

-7.8%

Pacific Sunwear of CA

Services

Retail (Apparel)

-8.9%

1.3%

-29

-63

RIO

05/05/06

-8.0%

Companhia Vale do Rio Doce (ADR)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-11.5%

5.9%

-39

-59

UNT

03/03/06

6.9%

Unit Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-6.0%

-4.7%

-37

-53

MTH

05/12/06

-0.6%

Meritage Homes Corporation

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-0.6%

3.0%

-42

-52

STLD

12/16/05

85.1%

Steel Dynamics, Inc.

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

-7.7%

8.2%

-44

-45

CCRT

12/30/05

3.4%

CompuCredit Corporation

Financial

Consumer Financial Services

-5.5%

8.5%

-35

-43

ANF

03/03/06

2.8%

Abercrombie & Fitch Co.

Services

Retail (Apparel)

-5.6%

6.6%

-38

-39

BTI

12/30/05

12.6%

British American Tobacco (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Tobacco

-2.9%

3.6%

-24

-35

ABFS

04/29/05

38.2%

Arkansas Best Corporation

Transportation

Trucking

-4.6%

11.5%

-38

-35

FNF

10/21/05

12.9%

Fidelity National Financial

Financial

Insurance (Property & Casualty)

-5.1%

16.8%

-31

-34

RCII

10/21/05

68.3%

Rent-A-Center, Inc

Services

Rental & Leasing

-3.5%

2.9%

-36

-32

AEOS

03/10/06

12.7%

American Eagle Outfitters

Services

Retail (Apparel)

-2.4%

9.9%

-35

-26

JBHT

03/31/06

17.5%

J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.

Transportation

Trucking

-2.1%

10.6%

-19

-12

 

 

 

      Stocks from Benjamin Graham’s style of utility investing are listed in Table 3H.  A requirement was added to include only those stocks having a PE of 17 or less. 

 

 

Table 3H

Benjamin Graham Utility Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

KEP

01/10/05

71.1%

Korea Electric Power Corporation (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-14.2%

-7.4%

-97

-100

WGL

12/23/05

-6.7%

WGL Holdings, Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-9.5%

-2.2%

-100

-100

PGN

01/10/05

-5.7%

Progress Energy, Inc.

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-9.2%

-0.4%

-98

-97

OKE

11/11/05

18.4%

ONEOK, Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-5.5%

-1.9%

-91

-91

VVC

03/03/06

0.9%

Vectren Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-4.7%

-1.1%

-76

-86

SRE

01/10/05

24.3%

Sempra Energy

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-7.8%

0.5%

-98

-79

EON

03/10/06

4.4%

E.ON AG (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-6.2%

3.5%

-54

-59

ATO

04/01/05

-0.3%

Atmos Energy Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-9.8%

2.1%

-41

-54

ATG

10/21/05

7.5%

AGL Resources Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-2.2%

1.6%

-49

-43

UU

06/10/05

2.1%

United Utilities PLC (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-2.6%

1.9%

-38

-42

UGI

12/30/05

13.3%

UGI Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-1.4%

9.6%

-22

-19

 

 

 

      Optionable stocks from John Templeton’s style of investing are listed in Table 3I. 

 

 

Table 3I

John Templeton Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

SPF

05/12/06

-1.4%

Standard Pacific Corp.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-1.4%

-9.1%

-87

-94

FLIR

04/28/06

-2.9%

FLIR Systems, Inc.

Capital Goods

Aerospace and Defense

-5.4%

-20.2%

-93

-94

GBCI

05/05/06

-4.2%

Glacier Bancorp, Inc.

Financial

Regional Banks

-4.2%

-1.9%

-99

-93

COH

04/13/06

-8.5%

Coach, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Apparel/Accessories

-13.0%

-9.7%

-91

-91

BBBY

04/07/06

-6.9%

Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-6.9%

-1.9%

-75

-82

ORLY

01/20/06

6.8%

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-10.6%

-5.3%

-75

-82

LOW

11/18/05

-4.1%

Lowe's Companies, Inc.

Services

Retail (Home Improvement)

-8.9%

-0.4%

-75

-75

HDI

02/24/06

-4.3%

Harley-Davidson, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Recreational Products

-5.8%

0.0%

-88

-73

PCU

02/10/06

14.7%

Southern Copper Corporation (USA)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-10.0%

0.8%

-39

-65

AMSG

10/14/05

5.5%

AmSurg Corp.

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

-9.8%

1.2%

-57

-57

SNV

05/27/05

-6.0%

Synovus Financial Corp.

Financial

Regional Banks

-8.2%

1.4%

-74

-54

CHD

11/18/05

10.4%

Church & Dwight Co., Inc.

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Personal & Household Products

-2.8%

2.5%

-51

-50

EWBC

12/30/05

8.1%

East West Bancorp, Inc.

Financial

Regional Banks

-3.5%

6.6%

-48

-46

WSM

09/02/05

13.3%

Williams-Sonoma, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-4.7%

3.1%

-49

-43

HHS

10/28/05

7.7%

Harte-Hanks, Inc.

Services

Printing & Publishing

-8.6%

0.3%

-44

-34

GTRC

03/03/06

5.2%

Guitar Center, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-3.8%

7.6%

-36

-34

GISX

12/30/05

14.2%

Global Imaging Systems, Inc.

Technology

Office Equipment

-2.8%

7.9%

-21

-28

MIK

12/30/05

9.1%

Michaels Stores, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-1.4%

4.4%

-33

-26

MMM

05/12/06

0.6%

3M Company

Conglomerates

Conglomerates

0.6%

8.5%

-15

-11

CPS

05/27/05

13.8%

ChoicePoint Inc.

Services

Business Services

-1.5%

3.6%

-22

-7

DGX

08/19/05

16.9%

Quest Diagnostics Incorporated

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

0.1%

18.1%

-9

-4

EDMC

12/16/05

28.3%

Education Management Corp

Services

Schools

0.4%

3.2%

-18

-3

JNJ

02/17/06

1.5%

Johnson & Johnson

Health Care

Major Drugs

-1.7%

2.1%

-24

0

 

 

      Optionable stocks from Martin Zweig’s style of investing are listed in Table 3J. 

 

 

Table 3J

Martin Zweig Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

MRO

04/28/06

-5.2%

Marathon Oil Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-8.4%

-8.6%

-79

-100

RDC

03/03/06

-2.2%

Rowan Companies, Inc.

Energy

Oil Well Services & Equipment

-14.1%

-8.7%

-95

-100

RRC

05/05/06

-4.9%

Range Resources Corp.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-6.9%

-5.5%

-77

-100

XEC

04/13/06

-6.8%

Cimarex Energy Co.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-12.9%

-9.3%

-98

-100

CHK

05/05/06

-6.4%

Chesapeake Energy Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-7.0%

-4.3%

-79

-100

COG

05/12/06

-3.6%

Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-3.6%

-5.1%

-71

-93

ERF

05/05/06

-6.0%

ENERPLUS RESOURCES FUND SR G TR UNITS

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-7.1%

-2.5%

-32

-93

BEN

10/28/05

2.5%

Franklin Resources, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-14.3%

-6.0%

-82

-87

UCBH

04/13/06

-8.0%

UCBH Holdings, Inc.

Financial

Regional Banks

-10.3%

-8.4%

-89

-86