Wiser Trader Stocks and Options Newsletter

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Issue No.  80  June 12, 2006                          Prescott, Arizona                       Systems@WiserTrader.com

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1.0   Trading

     

      The market is characterized by extremely choppy trading.

 

1.1 Channels

 

      The major averages lost from 2.8 to 4.9% for the week, as seen in Table 1A. 

 

 

TABLE 1A

Major Averages For the Past Week

 

6/4/06

6/11/06

% Change

DOW

11247.87

10,891.92

-3.16%

NASDAQ

2219.41

2,135.06

-3.80%

S&P500

1288.22

1,252.30

-2.79%

Russell

737.45

701.39

-4.89%

NYSE

8305.25

7,965.32

-4.09%

 

 

       While the DOW and NYSE Composite are at their 200-day SMA, the Russell 2000, S&P 500 and NASDAQ have broken below theirs, as seen in Table 1B.

 

 

TABLE 1B

Relative to SMA 200

DOW

0.03%

NASDAQ

-4.40%

S&P 500

-0.78%

Russell

-0.38%

NYSE

0.54%

 

 

 

© 2006 WiserTrader.com, LLC.  Members of wisertrader.com are neither licensed brokers nor licensed advisors.  Trades discussed represent recommendations made by the editor for the wisertrader.com portfolio.  The newsletter and web site are for information only and should not be considered as personal advice.  While it is believed that the posted information is factual, mistakes can be made in transcription.  Investors should trade stocks only after verifying all information and consulting with a licensed broker or adviser.  WiserTrader.commarkets third party trading systems but has no other affiliation with trading system companies. 

   

 

      The NASDAQ in Figure 1A, after bouncing off the lower trend line of its 2-year trading channel, has broken below it.  Its next major support is around 2,050. 

 

 

FIGURE 1A

 

     

      The S&P 500 shown in Figure 1B is approaching the lower trend line of its 2-year trading channel.  We will know by July if it will bounce off the 1,240 level or continue lower.  

 

 

FIGURE 1B

 

 

      Figure 1C shows that the past two weeks have been unusually choppy with the average Williams %R indicator for the five indices crossing its 200-day average (-42) four times.  The fact that the range of component indicator values is tight implies that the market could move sharply from here.

 

 

FIGURE 1C

 

 

       This kind of uncertainty was seen back in late March to early April but with less down side, as seen in Figure 1D.

 

 

FIGURE 1D

 

 

      This is not a good time to enter new major long positions.  It is better to tighten sell stops now since four of the five major indices are still working their way toward the bottom trend line of their 2-year channels.  It will be interesting to see how they respond to reaching their channel support lines. 

 

 

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2.0 Market Analysis

 

      Choppiness can be expected to continue through June, until after the FOMC issues its policy statement.   The CPI data in the coming week should have an impact on near term market movement.  The indices are poised to move sharply in either direction.

 

      Key industry ETF’s in Table 2A are Biotech and Semiconductors, which confirm the NASDAQ.  Transportation confirms the Dow Jones Industrial Average according to Dow Theory.  Banking and Financials are confirming indicators for the S&P 500.  Gold and Housing are respective indicators for the inverse health of the currency (inflation) and the capacity for consumer spending. 

 

 

Table 2A

Indices, Key Industry ETF’s and Sector SPDR’s

 

1 month

1 wk ago

2 wks ago

3 wks ago

4 wks ago

Dow Jones Industrial Index

-4.3%

-3.2%

-0.3%

1.2%

-2.1%

NASDAQ Composite Index

-4.8%

-3.8%

0.4%

0.8%

-2.2%

S & P 500 Index

-3.0%

-2.8%

0.6%

1.0%

-1.9%

NYSE Composite Index

-5.3%

-4.1%

0.8%

0.8%

-2.8%

Russell 2000 Index

-5.5%

-4.9%

1.1%

1.0%

-2.7%

HGX, Phil. Housing Index

-12.6%

-6.8%

-1.9%

0.1%

-4.4%

IYR, Real Estate

2.4%

0.0%

2.2%

1.7%

-1.5%

GLD, GOLD

-15.0%

-4.8%

-2.5%

-0.7%

-7.8%

RKH, Banking

-1.0%

-1.1%

1.4%

0.7%

-1.9%

IYT, Transportation

-5.8%

-4.4%

1.8%

1.1%

-4.2%

SMH, Semiconductors

-9.4%

-5.9%

1.2%

-2.8%

-2.1%

BBH, Biotechnology

0.2%

-3.3%

0.9%

2.3%

0.4%

OIH, Oil Infrastructure

-9.7%

-8.4%

3.5%

2.9%

-7.4%

XLE, Energy

-6.9%

-6.6%

2.6%

2.0%

-4.8%

XLU, Utilities

3.9%

-0.2%

2.9%

1.7%

-0.5%

XLB, Materials

-9.5%

-6.8%

0.8%

1.0%

-4.6%

XLI, Industrial

-6.0%

-4.4%

0.6%

0.3%

-2.5%

XLK, Technology

-5.0%

-3.7%

-0.2%

0.8%

-1.8%

XLV, Healthcare

0.1%

-1.5%

1.1%

0.9%

-0.4%

XLF, Financials

-1.5%

-1.7%

0.9%

1.0%

-1.8%

XLP, Consumer Staples

0.5%

-0.8%

-0.5%

2.0%

-0.2%

XLY, Consumer Discretionary

-2.8%

-2.4%

0.9%

0.0%

-1.2%

 

 

 

      The VIX and VXN volatility indexes are listed in Table 2B.

 

 

Table 2B

Volatility

Indicator

Current

Last Week

2 Weeks Ago

Complacent

Cautious

VIX **

18.1

14.3

14.3

< 20

> 50

VXN ***

23.2

18.4

18.6

< 30

> 70

**   Above 20 day SMA = Short-term sell signal.

*** Above 20 day SMA = Short-term sell signal.

 

 

 

      Figure 2A compares the major averages with key ETF’s and Sector SPDR’s.

 

 

FIGURE 2A

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 2C

Market Summary

 

Industries are listed according to the Yahoo.com Classification System

 

 Major Indices 
 For the Past Week:
 Dow Jones     -3.2%
 NASDAQ        -3.8%
 S&P500 Index  -2.8%
 Russell 2000  -4.9%
 NYSE          -4.1%
 
 30 Year Bond 4.842%
 10 Year Note 4.981%
 
 Leading Industries
 For the Past Week:
 REIT - Office
 Tobacco Products, Other
 Cleaning Products
 Education & Training Services
 REIT - Industrial
 Internet Information Providers
 Publishing - Newspapers
 Music & Video Stores
 REIT - Hotel/Motel
 REIT - Diversified  
 
 Lagging Industries
 For the Past Week:
 Silver
 Semiconductor - Int Circuits
 Metal Fabrication
 Aluminum
 Gold
 Life Insurance
 Oil & Gas Drilling & Exploration
 Computer Based Systems
 Copper
 Cement 
 Leading Industries
 For the Past Month:
 Long Distance Carriers
 Long-Term Care Facilities
 Tobacco Products, Other
 REIT - Office
 Gas Utilities
 Electric Utilities
 Hospitals
 Drug Stores
 Health Care Plans
 Food Wholesale  
 
 Lagging Industries
 For the Past Month:
 Metal Fabrication
 Gold
 General Entertainment
 Cement
 Computer Based Systems
 Diversified Machinery
 Copper
 Steel & Iron
 Silver
 Major Integrated Oil & Gas  
 
 Crude Oil $71.64
 
 Gold for the past 30 days:
 USD    -13.57%
 CAD    -13.04%
 CHF    -12.65%
 GBP    -12.49%
 EUR    -12.51%
 JPY    -10.81%

 

 

 

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3.0 Procedure

 

      The following watch lists contain stock candidates for consideration.  They are not necessarily trades.  Categories include checklists for insider buying and cash rich companies, as well as, filters that employ stock picking methods used by master traders.  The information is not meant to imply any endorsement or sponsorship by these master traders.

 

      Current stock rankings are based on the degree to which stocks are overbought or over sold based on the 28-period Williams %R for the past two trading days.  Two columns are labeled “%R1” and “%R2” with “%R2” indicating the Williams %R for the most recent trading day.  Of course, values more negative than -80 are oversold and those less negative than -20 are overbought.

 

      One should keep in mind that oversold stocks are not necessarily ready to move upward.  They could very well be in a condition of continuous decline.  The lists are meant to serve as a starting point for further due diligence. 

 

      A column labeled “Monthly % Gain” was added to show the inverse relationship between price action over the past month and the Williams %R.  The change from a 10-period Williams %R with a weekly percent change to a 28-period Williams %R with a monthly percent change was done to reflect a longer term view.

 

      The “Reference” is the date that a stock passed the indicated filter and was first added to or returned to the list.  The “% Change” is how the price has changed since the reference date.  Stocks that are down 10% or more after being listed are removed for a period of about two months.  The “% from Max” is the percentage the price has declined from the maximum price reached since the reference date.  Stocks that are down 8% from their highs after being listed are flagged in yellow.  Stocks that are down 15% from their highs after being listed are removed for two months.  More information on filters is available on the web site.

 

      A performance summary of filtering techniques for checklists and master trader selection methods is given in Table 3A. 

 

 

Table 3A

Stock Filter Summary

Filter

Avg. % Change Since Listed

Avg. % Change Friday

1 Month

1 Week Ago

2 weeks Ago

3 Weeks Ago

4 Weeks Ago

Net Insider Buying

2.0%

-0.7%

1.6%

-2.3%

2.8%

4.1%

-2.8%

Cash Rich Companies

2.0%

1.2%

-7.9%

0.1%

-0.3%

-1.6%

-6.3%

Price to Free Cash Flow

1.5%

-1.3%

-6.7%

-4.6%

0.2%

0.8%

-3.2%

Growth Momentum

8.2%

-0.3%

-5.7%

-4.0%

2.1%

1.9%

-5.5%

Lynch

13.6%

0.5%

-3.7%

-3.3%

2.0%

0.5%

-2.8%

Buffett

11.3%

0.0%

-4.0%

-3.8%

1.5%

1.6%

-3.1%

Graham

5.9%

-0.2%

0.4%

-2.2%

2.4%

2.2%

-1.9%

Templeton

2.4%

-0.4%

-2.0%

-2.2%

0.9%

0.4%

-1.1%

 Zweig

2.6%

-0.1%

-2.5%

-3.0%

2.3%

1.6%

-3.2%

Average

5.5%

-0.1%

-3.4%

-2.8%

1.5%

1.3%

-3.3%

 

 

Key

Passed Recent Filter

Price declined by half of stop loss setting

Oversold  based on  Williams %R  (%R2 is most recent)

Overbought based on Williams %R  (%R2 is most recent)

 

 

      Companies that have experienced net insider buying within the past 6 months of 5% or more of issued stock are listed in Table 3B.  These stocks should also appear in one of the master trader screens or meet additional screening criteria before being given serious consideration.  This list is a mixture of stocks that are optionable and those that are not.

 

 

Table 3B

Net Insider Buying Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

SGXP

06/09/06

0.0%

SGX Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

0.0%

-15.6%

-70

-92

TRGT

06/02/06

-0.7%

Targacept , Inc.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-1.4%

-4.0%

-85

-85

ULBI

06/02/06

-9.7%

Ultralife Batteries, Inc.

Technology

Electronic Instruments & Controls

-9.7%

-9.7%

-76

-83

LXU

12/23/05

29.0%

LSB Industries, Inc.

Basic Materials

Chemical Manufacturing

-9.0%

-5.8%

-67

-67

RGNC

05/26/06

-0.4%

Regency Energy Partners LP

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-2.8%

0.8%

-43

-59

EQS

04/13/06

0.0%

Equus II Incorporated

Financial

Investment Services

-6.1%

-2.0%

-51

-57

NAHC

05/12/06

1.1%

National Atlantic Holdings Corporation

Financial

Insurance (Property & Casualty)

-1.3%

1.1%

-48

-56

IOMI

06/09/06

0.0%

Iomai Corporation

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

0.0%

-0.9%

-69

-39

MOCC

05/26/06

-2.7%

Moscow CableCom Corp.

Services

Broadcasting & Cable TV

-5.4%

23.6%

-30

-30

APN

06/09/06

0.0%

Applica Incorporated

Consumer Cyclical

Appliances & Tools

0.0%

0.9%

-16

-19

ACME

05/12/06

5.0%

ACME Communications, Inc.

Services

Broadcasting & Cable TV

-2.1%

3.3%

-5

-14

 

 

 

      Companies with net cash positions that comprise at least 40% of their share price are listed in Table 3C.  These stocks should also appear in one of the master trader screens or meet additional screening criteria before being given serious consideration.  Again, this list is a mixture of stocks that are optionable and those that are not.

 

 

Table 3C

Capital Rich Companies Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

HRAY

05/19/06

-6.8%

Hurray! Holding Co., Ltd. (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

-6.8%

-28.6%

-93

-85

WSC

03/11/06

-4.3%

Wesco Financial Corporation

Conglomerates

Conglomerates

-6.3%

-6.0%

-76

-78

ACTS

05/05/06

2.4%

Actions Semiconductor Co., Ltd. (ADR)

Technology

Semiconductors

-5.3%

-3.0%

-44

-40

SCIX

04/07/06

16.5%

Scailex Corp., Ltd.

Technology

Computer Networks

-1.7%

5.9%

-17

-17

 

 

 

      Table 3D was added to contain companies having a low price to free cash flow (P-FCF) less than 5.  Companies having P-FCF less than 10 are typically capable of financing the purchase of all their outstanding shares of stock.

 

 

Table 3D

Price to Free Cash Flow Companies Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

TEO

06/09/06

0.0%

Telecom Argentina S.A. (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

0.0%

-8.2%

-77

-88

TGS

06/09/06

0.0%

Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A (ADR)

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

0.0%

-2.8%

-71

-84

KWD

03/04/06

11.0%

Kellwood Company

Consumer Cyclical

Apparel/Accessories

-12.4%

-7.6%

-84

-82

RHD

06/09/06

0.0%

R.H. Donnelley Corp.

Services

Advertising

0.0%

-4.4%

-66

-80

FIS

05/12/06

-1.8%

Fidelity National Information Services

Services

Business Services

-3.2%

-3.2%

-73

-76

RKT

06/09/06

0.0%

Rock-Tenn Company

Basic Materials

Paper & Paper Products

0.0%

-3.8%

-51

-52

 

 

 

      For the Peter Lynch style screen in Table 3E, the number of selections is reduced by selecting only optionable stocks having P/E’s less than 30. 

 

 

 

Table 3E

Peter Lynch Value Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

BTI

08/12/05

23.4%

British American Tobacco (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Tobacco

-4.8%

-3.0%

-85

-85

SKM

02/07/05

22.6%

SK Telecom Co., Ltd. (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

-10.8%

-8.5%

-81

-81

CAE

04/21/06

-5.8%

Cascade Corporation

Capital Goods

Misc. Capital Goods

-8.6%

-2.4%

-52

-52

AZN

02/03/06

14.2%

AstraZeneca PLC (ADR)

Health Care

Major Drugs

-4.0%

-0.7%

-59

-51

 

 

 

      For the Growth Momentum screen in Table 3F, the number of selections is reduced by selecting only optionable stocks having P/E’s less than 30. 

 

 

Table 3F

Growth Momentum Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

HCC

10/21/05

11.6%

HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Property & Casualty)

-12.8%

-4.9%

-85

-85

ENDP

02/17/06

-2.2%

Endo Pharmaceuticals

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-12.9%

-4.5%

-81

-80

KCS

05/12/06

-7.5%

KCS Energy, Inc.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-7.5%

-7.5%

-80

-80

CHE

05/06/05

34.7%

Chemed Corporation

Services

Business Services

-14.6%

-7.4%

-78

-78

GRMN

03/03/06

22.1%

Garmin Ltd.

Technology

Communications Equipment

-7.5%

-4.6%

-64

-65

GS

04/21/06

-9.6%

Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-9.6%

-4.0%

-64

-64

MDR

05/12/06

N/A

McDermott International

Capital Goods

Construction Services

N/A

-4.6%

196

-59

 

 

 

      The filter for Warren Buffet style stock picking in Table 3G is for the intermediate to long term.  Two requirements were added.  One was to include only optionable stocks in order to find LEAPS opportunities.  The other requirement was to include only those stocks having a PE of 17 or less.

 

 

Table 3G

Warren Buffett Value Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

ANF

03/03/06

-5.3%

Abercrombie & Fitch Co.

Services

Retail (Apparel)

-13.0%

-8.0%

-90

-90

BTI

12/30/05

10.5%

British American Tobacco (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Tobacco

-4.8%

-3.0%

-85

-85

CCRT

12/30/05

-0.9%

CompuCredit Corporation

Financial

Consumer Financial Services

-9.4%

-5.4%

-80

-81

UNT

03/03/06

-1.6%

Unit Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-13.4%

-11.1%

-47

-80

FNF

10/21/05

11.4%

Fidelity National Financial

Financial

Insurance (Property & Casualty)

-6.4%

-2.3%

-79

-78

STR

05/26/06

0.0%

Questar Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-6.6%

-7.8%

-71

-71

NUE

04/15/05

101.9%

Nucor Corporation

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

N/A

-11.6%

-71

-71

HDI

10/14/05

-0.3%

Harley-Davidson, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Recreational Products

-12.0%

-1.0%

-66

-66

IMO

06/02/06

-8.5%

IMPERIAL OIL LTD

Energy

Oil & Gas - Integrated

-8.5%

-1.8%

-66

-66

OXY

03/03/06

2.0%

Occidental Petroleum Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-9.5%

-5.2%

-61

-61

NAT

05/12/06

0.8%

Nordic American Tanker Shipping Limited

Transportation

Water Transportation

-1.3%

0.8%

-63

-59

JBHT

03/31/06

13.5%

J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.

Transportation

Trucking

-5.4%

-2.2%

-57

-57

AEOS

03/10/06

9.6%

American Eagle Outfitters

Services

Retail (Apparel)

-5.1%

-1.3%

-55

-55

ABFS

04/29/05

36.5%

Arkansas Best Corporation

Transportation

Trucking

-5.7%

-0.7%

-53

-53

NKE

09/23/05

-0.2%

NIKE, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Footwear

-11.3%

-0.5%

-35

-35

 

 

 

      Stocks from Benjamin Graham’s style of utility investing are listed in Table 3H.  A requirement was added to include only those stocks having a PE of 17 or less. 

 

 

Table 3H

Benjamin Graham Utility Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

EON

03/10/06

-2.7%

E.ON AG (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-12.6%

-7.4%

-91

-91

OTTR

06/09/06

0.0%

Otter Tail Corporation

Utilities

Electric Utilities

0.0%

-5.3%

-84

-84

UU

06/10/05

1.4%

United Utilities PLC (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-3.7%

-1.0%

-75

-75

SRE

01/10/05

23.4%

Sempra Energy

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-8.5%

0.5%

-66

-66

WPS

05/26/06

1.5%

WPS Resources Corp

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-0.8%

0.1%

-52

-52

WGL

12/23/05

-6.1%

WGL Holdings, Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-9.0%

0.2%

-46

-46

ATO

04/01/05

0.0%

Atmos Energy Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-9.5%

-0.5%

-37

-37

VVC

03/03/06

3.0%

Vectren Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-2.8%

1.4%

-29

-29

UGI

12/30/05

15.2%

UGI Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-1.5%

2.2%

-23

-23

PGN

01/10/05

-3.1%

Progress Energy, Inc.

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-6.6%

2.9%

-21

-21

OKE

11/11/05

27.0%

ONEOK, Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-1.8%

7.3%

-19

-19

ATG

10/21/05

11.6%

AGL Resources Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-0.5%

4.2%

-10

-10

 

 

 

      Optionable stocks from John Templeton’s style of investing are listed in Table 3I. 

 

 

Table 3I

John Templeton Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

SPLS

05/26/06

-2.2%

Staples, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-2.8%

-12.0%

-90

-97

HHS

10/28/05

2.3%

Harte-Hanks, Inc.

Services

Printing & Publishing

-13.1%

-4.2%

-97

-97

CPS

05/27/05

8.9%

ChoicePoint Inc.

Services

Business Services

-5.8%

-3.5%

-82

-87

LEN

05/19/06

-7.4%

Lennar Corporation

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-7.9%

-6.1%

-87

-86

MMM

05/12/06

-6.9%

3M Company

Conglomerates

Conglomerates

-7.5%

-6.9%

-67

-85

ORLY

01/20/06

1.7%

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-14.9%

-5.6%

-83

-83

GTRC

03/03/06

-2.8%

Guitar Center, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-11.1%

-6.8%

-83

-82

CHD

11/18/05

7.7%

Church & Dwight Co., Inc.

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Personal & Household Products

-5.2%

-2.3%

-76

-76

MIK

12/30/05

7.7%

Michaels Stores, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-2.7%

-0.8%

-70

-73

GBCI

05/05/06

-5.5%

Glacier Bancorp, Inc.

Financial

Regional Banks

-5.5%

-0.7%

-69

-69

HDI

02/24/06

-6.6%

Harley-Davidson, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Recreational Products

-8.0%

-3.0%

-66

-66

SNV

05/27/05

-8.0%

Synovus Financial Corp.

Financial

Regional Banks

-10.2%

-1.2%

-53

-53

LOW

11/18/05

-5.6%

Lowe's Companies, Inc.

Services

Retail (Home Improvement)

-10.3%

-1.6%

-63

-52

FLIR

04/28/06

1.6%

FLIR Systems, Inc.

Capital Goods

Aerospace and Defense

-5.9%

4.4%

-51

-52

DGX

08/19/05

13.9%

Quest Diagnostics Incorporated

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

-2.9%

-1.7%

-46

-46

UNH

05/26/06

6.1%

UnitedHealth Group Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Accident & Health)

-2.6%

-0.2%

-49

-37

EWBC

12/30/05

10.2%

East West Bancorp, Inc.

Financial

Regional Banks

-1.7%

2.2%

-34

-34

GISX

12/30/05

18.3%

Global Imaging Systems, Inc.

Technology

Office Equipment

-2.5%

2.7%

-29

-32

AMSG

10/14/05

10.2%

AmSurg Corp.

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

-5.7%

4.7%

-27

-28

JNJ

02/17/06

3.9%

Johnson & Johnson

Health Care

Major Drugs

-0.3%

1.1%

-23

-10

 

 

 

      Optionable stocks from Martin Zweig’s style of investing are listed in Table 3J. 

 

 

Table 3J

Martin Zweig Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

BTU

06/09/06

0.0%

Peabody Energy Corporation

Energy

Coal

0.0%

-24.3%

-93

-93

ANF

04/13/06

-2.4%

Abercrombie & Fitch Co.

Services

Retail (Apparel)

-13.0%

-8.0%

-90

-90

SII

04/28/06

-9.7%

Smith International, Inc.

Energy

Oil Well Services & Equipment

-14.5%

-10.6%

-83

-83

MRO

04/28/06

-7.5%

Marathon Oil Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-10.7%

-6.4%

-79

-79

STRA

01/13/06

11.6%

Strayer Education, Inc.

Services

Schools

-8.0%

-4.8%

-76

-76

FSH

05/05/06

-1.2%

Fisher Scientific International Inc.

Technology

Scientific & Technical Instruments

-5.5%

-3.6%

-70

-75

CRDN

06/09/06

0.0%

Ceradyne, Inc.

Capital Goods

Aerospace and Defense

0.0%

-11.3%

-72

-73

TMTA

06/02/06

9.5%

Transmeta Corporation

Technology

Semiconductors

-5.8%

16.5%

-70

-70

RARE

05/19/06

-7.6%

RARE Hospitality International, Inc.

Services

Restaurants

-7.6%

-1.7%

-67

-67

GRMN

02/24/06

35.0%

Garmin Ltd.

Technology

Communications Equipment

-7.4%

-4.5%

-64

-64

HTLD

01/27/06

4.8%

Heartland Express, Inc.

Transportation

Trucking

-9.6%

-3.5%

-58

-58

MDU

01/27/06

2.4%

MDU Resources Group, Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-4.2%

-1.1%

-49

-49

ERF

05/05/06

-0.6%

ENERPLUS RESOURCES FUND SR G TR UNITS

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-5.2%

-0.2%

-35

-35

LSTR

02/10/06

3.4%

Landstar System, Inc.

Transportation

Trucking

-7.3%

2.6%

-34

-34

SKIL

06/02/06

0.7%

SkillSoft Public Limited Company

Technology

Computer Services

-3.2%

12.0%

-30

-30

UCBH

04/13/06

-4.9%

UCBH Holdings, Inc.

Financial

Regional Banks

-7.3%

3.8%

-13

-13

ESI

11/04/05

10.4%

ITT Educational Services

Services

Schools

-0.1%

1.7%

-13

-13

 

 

 

4.0           Results & Conclusions

 

      This section highlights trading performance.  Only a summary is provided here to save space.  Detailed lists of closed trades can be found on the portfolio page of the website.

 

 

 

Major Indices Year to Date

Relative to SMA 200

200 Day High Close

Relative to High

200 Day Low Close

Relative to Low

 

12/30/05

6/10/06

% Chg

Today

Prior Week

DOW

10717.5

10,891.92

1.63%

0.16%

3.68%

11642.7

-6.45%

10215.2

6.62%

NASDAQ

2205.32

2,135.06

-3.19%

-4.27%

-0.43%

2370.88

-9.95%

2037.47

4.79%

S&P500

1248.29

1,252.30

0.32%

-0.67%

2.10%

1325.76

-5.54%

1176.84

6.41%

Russell 2K

673.22

701.39

4.18%

-0.25%

5.04%

781.83

-10.29%

621.57

12.84%

NYSE

7753.95

7965.32

2.73%

0.71%

4.83%

8646.96

-7.88%

7234.09

10.11%

Average

 

 

1.13%

-0.86%

3.04%

 

-8.02%

 

8.16%

 

4.1 Options Trading

 

Average Profit per Trade 2.04%

 

Average Hold Time 2.7 days

 

 

4.2 Stock Trading

 

 

Stock Trading for 2006 ($10.5K Initial Capital)

Number of Closed trades in 2006 =