Wiser Trader Stocks and Options Newsletter

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Issue No. 92   September 4, 2006                    Prescott, Arizona                       Systems@WiserTrader.com

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1.0   Trading

     

      In spite of continued low volume, the market is holding on to recent gains.

 

1.1 September Test

 

      This week, the major averages gained from 1.2% for the S&P 500 in Figure 1A to 3.2% for the Russell 2000.  If it were not for the low volume, one could anticipate an early fall rally.  However, September is a notoriously weak month.  As large traders return from vacations the first week of September, it remains to be seen whether they will continue buying or take profits.

 

 

FIGURE 1A

 

 

 

 

 

© 2006 WiserTrader.com, LLC.  Members of wisertrader.com are neither licensed brokers nor licensed advisors.  Trades discussed represent recommendations made by the editor for the wisertrader.com portfolio.  The newsletter and web site are for information only and should not be considered as personal advice.  While it is believed that the posted information is factual, mistakes can be made in transcription.  Investors should trade stocks only after verifying all information and consulting with a licensed broker or adviser.  WiserTrader.commarkets third party trading systems but has no other affiliation with trading system companies. 

   

 

 

 

 

      Some profit taking in semiconductors on Friday was evident for the NASDAQ in Figure 1B.  However, the NASDAQ managed to hold on to its recent gains, as well, with a 2.5% gain for the week. 

 

 

FIGURE 1B

 

 

      The market continues to welcome a moderating economy, expecting the FOMC to see it as a reason to refrain from further rate hikes on September 20th.  Recent employment and inflation data supported prospects for a soft landing.  Lower treasury yields anticipate moderating economic growth with modestly reduced earnings for the 3rd quarter.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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2.0 Market Analysis

 

      Key industry ETF’s in Table 2A are Biotech and Semiconductors, which confirm the NASDAQ.  Transportation confirms the Dow Jones Industrial Average according to Dow Theory.  Banking and Financials are confirming indicators for the S&P 500.  Gold and Housing are respective indicators for the inverse health of the currency (inflation) and the capacity for consumer spending. 

 

Table 2A

Indices, Key Industry ETF’s and Sector SPDR’s

 

1 month

1 wk ago

2 wks ago

3 wks ago

4 wks ago

Dow Jones Industrial Index

2.0%

1.6%

-0.9%

2.6%

-1.4%

NASDAQ Composite Index

5.2%

2.5%

-1.1%

5.2%

-1.3%

S & P 500 Index

2.5%

1.2%

-0.5%

2.8%

-1.0%

NYSE Composite Index

2.0%

1.4%

-0.7%

2.7%

-1.3%

Russell 2000 Index

2.9%

3.2%

-1.7%

4.8%

-3.2%

HGX, Phil. Housing Index

0.1%

2.7%

-1.8%

5.7%

-6.0%

IYR, Real Estate

0.4%

1.5%

0.7%

2.5%

-4.2%

GLD, GOLD

-3.3%

0.6%

1.2%

-2.7%

-2.4%

RKH, Banking

-1.2%

-0.2%

-0.8%

2.0%

-2.2%

IYT, Transportation

-1.5%

2.0%

-3.5%

5.9%

-5.4%

SMH, Semiconductors

8.2%

3.3%

-1.1%

8.2%

-2.1%

BBH, Biotechnology

1.3%

2.0%

-1.1%

2.8%

-2.1%

OIH, Oil Infrastructure

-1.7%

-1.2%

0.5%

1.1%

-2.1%

XLE, Energy

-2.4%

-3.0%

1.3%

-1.2%

0.5%

XLU, Utilities

2.1%

1.4%

-0.1%

1.4%

-0.6%

XLB, Materials

3.2%

2.0%

-0.3%

3.0%

-1.3%

XLI, Industrial

1.2%

1.7%

-1.8%

4.2%

-2.6%

XLK, Technology

7.7%

2.6%

-0.4%

5.7%

-0.3%

XLV, Healthcare

3.6%

1.4%

0.6%

2.4%

-0.8%

XLF, Financials

0.7%

0.9%

-0.9%

2.9%

-1.9%

XLP, Consumer Staples

3.6%

1.7%

0.2%

1.4%

0.4%

XLY, Consumer Discretionary

2.4%

2.9%

-2.6%

3.3%

-1.3%

 

 

 

 

      The VIX and VXN volatility indexes are listed in Table 2B.

 

 

Table 2B

Volatility

Indicator

Current

Last Week

2 Weeks Ago

Complacent

Cautious

VIX **

12.0

12.3

11.6

< 20

> 50

VXN ***

16.8

17.0

18.5

< 30

> 70

**   Below 20 day SMA = Short-term buy signal.

*** Below 20 day SMA = Short-term buy signal.

 

 

      Figure 2A compares the major averages with key ETF’s and Sector SPDR’s.

 

 

FIGURE 2A

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 2C

Market Summary

 

Industries are listed according to the Yahoo Industry Classification System

 

 

 

 Major Indices 
 For the Past Week:
 Dow Jones     +1.6%
 NASDAQ        +2.5%
 S&P500 Index  +1.2%
 Russell 2000  +3.2%
 NYSE          +1.4%
 
 30 Year Bond 4.873%
 10 Year Note 4.726%
 
 Leading Industries
 For the Past Week:

General Entertainment

Silver

Manufactured Housing

Catalog & Mail Order Houses

Major Airlines

Semiconductor- Memory Chips

Building Materials Wholesale

Specialty Eateries

Data Storage Devices

Networking & Communication Devices

 
 Lagging Industries
 For the Past Week:

Investment Brokerage - National

Jewelry Stores

Regional - Southeast Banks

Drugs - Generic

Shipping

Nonmetallic Mineral Mining

Independent Oil & Gas

Major Integrated Oil & Gas

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

  
 
 Leading Industries
 For the Past Month:

Networking & Communication Devices

Catalog & Mail Order Houses

Semiconductor- Memory Chips

Office Supplies

Data Storage Devices

Processing Systems & Products

Food Wholesale

Internet Software & Services

Silver

Semiconductor - Broad Line

  
 Lagging Industries
 For the Past Month:

Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Independent Oil & Gas

Home Furnishing Stores

Trucking

Rental & Leasing Services

Money Center Banks

Railroads

Music & Video Stores

Trucks & Other Vehicles

Specialty Retail, Other

  
 Crude Oil $69.21
 
 Gold for the past 30 days:
 USD    -4.20%
 CAD    -6.06%
 CHF    -4.17%
 GBP    -5.62%
 EUR    -4.46%
 JPY    -2.09%

 

 

 

 

 

_________________________________________________________________________

 

             

 

_________________________________________________________________________

 

 

 

3.0 Procedure

 

      The following watch lists contain stock candidates for consideration.  They are not necessarily trades.  Categories include checklists for insider buying and cash rich companies, as well as, filters that employ stock picking methods used by master traders.  The information is not meant to imply any endorsement or sponsorship by these master traders. 

 

      Current stock rankings are based on the degree to which stocks are overbought or over sold based on the 28-period Williams %R for the past two trading days.  Two columns are labeled “%R1” and “%R2” with “%R2” indicating the Williams %R for the most recent trading day.  Of course, values more negative than -80 are oversold and those less negative than -20 are overbought.

 

      One should keep in mind that oversold stocks are not necessarily ready to move upward.  They could very well be in a condition of continuous decline.  The lists are meant to serve as a starting point for further due diligence. 

 

      A column labeled “Monthly % Gain” was added to show the inverse relationship between price action over the past month and the Williams %R.  The change from a 10-period Williams %R with a weekly percent change to a 28-period Williams %R with a monthly percent change was done to reflect a longer term view.

 

      The “Reference” is the date that a stock passed the indicated filter and was first added to or returned to the list.  The “% Change” is how the price has changed since the reference date.  Stocks that are down 10% or more after being listed are removed for a period of about two months.  The “% from Max” is the percentage the price has declined from the maximum price reached since the reference date.  Stocks that are down 8% from their highs after being listed are flagged in yellow.  Stocks that are down 15% from their highs after being listed are removed for two months.  More information on filters is available on the web site.

 

      A performance summary of filtering techniques for checklists and master trader selection methods is given in Table 3A. 

 

 

Table 3A

Stock Filter Summary

Filter

Avg. % Change Since Listed

Avg. % Change Friday

1 Month

1 Week Ago

2 weeks Ago

3 Weeks Ago

4 Weeks Ago

Net Insider Buying

13.4%

2.3%

9.8%

4.7%

1.7%

4.0%

-0.9%

Cash Rich Companies

11.2%

0.1%

3.9%

1.2%

1.4%

1.7%

-0.4%

Price to Free Cash Flow

5.4%

-0.2%

3.2%

1.8%

-0.2%

2.6%

-1.1%

Growth Momentum

2.2%

0.2%

-0.1%

1.3%

-2.0%

2.9%

-2.2%

Lynch

17.3%

2.1%

5.1%

4.4%

-0.1%

2.2%

-1.3%

Buffett

6.3%

0.6%

-1.0%

1.4%

-1.4%

1.3%

-2.0%

Graham

14.1%

0.0%

1.7%

2.1%

-1.1%

1.6%

-0.9%

Templeton

7.7%

0.0%

1.4%

2.2%

-2.6%

4.3%

-2.2%

 Zweig

4.2%

0.7%

-1.0%

-0.2%

-1.2%

1.7%

-1.2%

Average

9.1%

0.6%

2.5%

2.1%

-0.6%

2.5%

-1.4%

 

 

Key

Passed Recent Filter

Price declined by half of stop loss setting

Oversold  based on  Williams %R  (%R2 is most recent)

Overbought based on Williams %R  (%R2 is most recent)

 

 

 

      Companies that have experienced net insider buying within the past 6 months of 5% or more of issued stock are listed in Table 3B.  These stocks should also appear in one of the master trader screens or meet additional screening criteria before being given serious consideration.  This list is a mixture of stocks that are optionable and those that are not.

 

 

Table 3B

Net Insider Buying Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

MSN

07/07/06

-2.6%

Emerson Radio Corp.

Consumer Cyclical

Audio & Video Equipment

-3.8%

-1.6%

-66

-72

ULBI

08/18/06

5.5%

Ultralife Batteries, Inc.

Technology

Electronic Instruments & Controls

0.0%

1.0%

-68

-46

TWI

06/16/06

-1.3%

Titan International, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Auto & Truck Parts

-6.7%

-1.5%

-65

-41

MOBE

08/11/06

37.1%

Mobility Electronics, Inc.

Technology

Computer Peripherals

0.0%

8.7%

-29

-25

PHRM

07/07/06

10.3%

Pharmion Corporation

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-1.3%

13.1%

-22

-21

VLNC

08/04/06

24.7%

Valence Technology, Inc.

Technology

Electronic Instruments & Controls

0.0%

24.7%

-26

-20

TELK

08/04/06

7.1%

Telik, Inc.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-1.9%

7.1%

-9

-20

PLB

07/21/06

0.1%

American Italian Pasta Company

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Food Processing

-1.8%

2.1%

-13

-11

APN

07/21/06

39.3%

Applica Incorporated

Consumer Cyclical

Appliances & Tools

0.0%

6.2%

-8

-4

 

 

      Companies with net cash positions that comprise at least 40% of their share price are listed in Table 3C.  These stocks should also appear in one of the master trader screens or meet additional screening criteria before being given serious consideration.  Again, this list is a mixture of stocks that are optionable and those that are not.

 

 

Table 3C

Capital Rich Companies Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

WSC

03/11/06

6.0%

Wesco Financial Corporation

Conglomerates

Conglomerates

0.0%

6.0%

-23

-24

SCIX

04/07/06

20.2%

Scailex Corp., Ltd.

Technology

Computer Networks

-0.8%

0.1%

-29

-22

EXAR

07/28/06

7.4%

Exar Corporation

Technology

Semiconductors

-0.6%

5.4%

-5

-11

 

 

      Table 3D was added to contain companies having a low price to free cash flow (P-FCF) less than 5.  Companies having P-FCF less than 10 are typically capable of financing the purchase of all their outstanding shares of stock.

 

 

Table 3D

Price to Free Cash Flow Companies Check List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

MFW

08/18/06

-3.9%

M & F Worldwide Corp.

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Beverages (Non-Alcoholic)

-3.9%

1.3%

-83

-84

TGS

08/11/06

0.0%

Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A (ADR)

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-3.1%

-1.2%

-75

-71

KWD

08/18/06

0.2%

Kellwood Company

Consumer Cyclical

Apparel/Accessories

-8.9%

-2.4%

-31

-63

Y

08/11/06

2.5%

Alleghany Corporation

Conglomerates

Conglomerates

0.0%

0.8%

-13

-11

F

07/21/06

31.7%

FORD MOTOR

Consumer Cyclical

Auto & Truck Manufacturers

-1.2%

3.4%

-5

-10

MNT

08/11/06

7.6%

Mentor Corporation

Health Care

Medical Equipment & Supplies

0.0%

2.3%

-10

-2

RHD

07/14/06

1.9%

R.H. Donnelley Corp.

Services

Advertising

0.0%

2.1%

-3

-2

FD

08/11/06

7.9%

Federated Department Str.

Services

Retail (Department & Discount)

0.0%

4.6%

-17

-2

FIS

08/18/06

1.1%

Fidelity National Information Services

Services

Business Services

0.0%

5.1%

-18

0

 

 

      For the Peter Lynch style screen in Table 3E, the number of selections is reduced by selecting only optionable stocks having P/E’s less than 30. 

 

 

 

Table 3E

Peter Lynch Value Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

RTP

08/04/06

-3.0%

Rio Tinto plc (ADR)

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-3.6%

-3.0%

-81

-61

SKM

08/25/06

3.5%

SK Telecom Co., Ltd. (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

0.0%

4.9%

-65

-47

BTI

08/12/05

38.5%

British American Tobacco (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Tobacco

-0.7%

2.9%

-12

-11

PKX

08/11/06

6.4%

POSCO (ADR)

Basic Materials

Iron & Steel

-0.4%

3.8%

-27

-8

VIP

08/18/06

19.0%

Vimpel-Communications (ADR)

Services

Communications Services

0.0%

15.7%

-8

-3

AZN

02/03/06

39.7%

AstraZeneca PLC (ADR)

Health Care

Major Drugs

0.0%

6.7%

-1

-1

 

 

      For the Growth Momentum screen in Table 3F, the number of selections is reduced by selecting only optionable stocks having P/E’s less than 30. 

 

 

Table 3F

Growth Momentum Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

GS

08/18/06

-3.6%

Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-3.6%

-0.6%

-71

-69

ENDP

02/17/06

10.0%

Endo Pharmaceuticals

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-4.5%

-0.5%

-36

-41

PPDI

08/04/06

3.1%

Pharmaceutical Product Development, Inc.

Health Care

Biotechnology & Drugs

-0.4%

4.1%

-56

-40

CSE

08/04/06

-0.6%

CapitalSource, Inc.

Financial

Misc. Financial Services

-0.6%

2.5%

-9

-12

 

 

      The filter for Warren Buffet style stock picking in Table 3G is for the intermediate to long term.  Two requirements were added.  One was to include only optionable stocks in order to find LEAPS opportunities.  The other requirement was to include only those stocks having a PE of 17 or less.

 

 

Table 3G

Warren Buffett Value Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

EOG

07/14/06

-6.0%

EOG Resources, Inc.

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-11.1%

-5.2%

-94

-84

OXY

03/03/06

8.4%

Occidental Petroleum Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-4.5%

-2.2%

-94

-84

UNT

08/25/06

-3.5%

Unit Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-3.5%

-6.9%

-85

-84

NAT

05/12/06

13.5%

Nordic American Tanker Shipping Limited

Transportation

Water Transportation

-12.4%

-8.9%

-83

-80

APA

08/11/06

-3.9%

Apache Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-3.9%

-4.0%

-95

-80

ASH

07/21/06

-1.8%

ASHLAND INC NEW

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-6.3%

-5.2%

-73

-74

CRDN

08/11/06

0.9%

Ceradyne, Inc.

Capital Goods

Aerospace and Defense

-0.8%

-3.9%

-71

-67

THO

07/21/06

-2.3%

Thor Industries, Inc.

Capital Goods

Mobile Homes & RVs

-5.4%

-1.5%

-55

-64

RS

08/11/06

1.4%

Reliance Steel & Aluminum

Basic Materials

Misc. Fabricated Products

-3.6%

-1.2%

-65

-60

XOM

08/04/06

-0.9%

ExxonMobil Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas - Integrated

-3.7%

-0.9%

-56

-54

PHM

08/04/06

-2.2%

Pulte Homes, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-4.4%

-2.2%

-50

-49

PCU

07/21/06

8.9%

Southern Copper Corporation

Basic Materials

Metal Mining

-4.7%

0.4%

-50

-46

STR

05/26/06

20.6%

Questar Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-4.0%

-3.3%

-38

-45

MVK

07/21/06

1.3%

Maverick Tube Corporation

Capital Goods

Construction - Supplies and Fixtures

0.0%

0.5%

-49

-44

MTH

08/04/06

-2.3%

Meritage Homes Corporation

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-4.5%

-2.3%

-35

-41

SPF

07/14/06

5.4%

Standard Pacific Corp.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-3.8%

-2.0%

-34

-41

PETD

07/07/06

18.8%

Petroleum Development Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas - Integrated

-2.9%

-0.4%

-47

-39

BTI

12/30/05

23.9%

British American Tobacco (ADR)

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Tobacco

-0.7%

2.9%

-12

-11

TBL

07/07/06

9.4%

The Timberland Company

Consumer Cyclical

Footwear

0.0%

8.6%

-5

-6

AEOS

03/10/06

36.5%

American Eagle Outfitters

Services

Retail (Apparel)

0.0%

18.0%

-6

-1

 

 

 

      Stocks from Benjamin Graham’s style of utility investing are listed in Table 3H.  A requirement was added to include only those stocks having a PE of 17 or less. 

 

 

Table 3H

Benjamin Graham Utility Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

ATG

10/21/05

9.3%

AGL Resources Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-8.8%

-2.6%

-72

-76

WPS

05/26/06

4.4%

WPS Resources Corp

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-2.8%

-1.8%

-57

-68

VVC

03/03/06

6.2%

Vectren Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-2.6%

-1.1%

-57

-55

UGI

12/30/05

20.0%

UGI Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-3.6%

-1.3%

-47

-51

ATO

04/01/05

6.5%

Atmos Energy Corporation

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-3.7%

-0.6%

-28

-36

OKE

11/11/05

43.6%

ONEOK, Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-1.4%

2.8%

-40

-25

WGL

12/23/05

1.3%

WGL Holdings, Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-1.8%

4.2%

-5

-15

PGN

01/10/05

0.9%

Progress Energy, Inc.

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-2.8%

1.5%

-23

-14

SRE

01/10/05

37.5%

Sempra Energy

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

0.0%

4.8%

0

-12

OTTR

06/09/06

13.4%

Otter Tail Corporation

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-0.1%

4.6%

-9

-6

UU

06/10/05

8.8%

United Utilities PLC (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

0.0%

5.7%

-3

-5

EON

03/10/06

16.7%

E.ON AG (ADR)

Utilities

Electric Utilities

-0.3%

3.7%

-11

-4

 

 

 

      Optionable stocks from John Templeton’s style of investing are listed in Table 3I. 

 

 

Table 3I

John Templeton Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

IEX

08/11/06

0.1%

IDEX Corporation

Capital Goods

Misc. Capital Goods

-4.1%

0.4%

-87

-86

USTR

08/11/06

-0.3%

United Stationers Inc.

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Office Supplies

-3.9%

-9.8%

-85

-83

WSM

09/01/06

0.0%

Williams-Sonoma, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

0.0%

-11.9%

-83

-81

THO

08/25/06

5.1%

Thor Industries, Inc.

Capital Goods

Mobile Homes & RVs

-1.9%

-1.5%

-55

-64

BBBY

07/21/06

5.0%

Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-5.6%

-1.6%

-76

-61

WSO

07/28/06

-2.7%

Watsco, Incorporated

Capital Goods

Misc. Capital Goods

-5.5%

-4.2%

-55

-61

SPLS

05/26/06

-5.3%

Staples, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-8.8%

-1.0%

-56

-53

DHI

07/14/06

4.0%

D.R. Horton Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-3.2%

-2.9%

-54

-52

HAR

08/18/06

-5.5%

Harman International Industries Inc./DE/

Consumer Cyclical

Audio & Video Equipment

-5.5%

1.8%

-48

-48

RYL

08/11/06

6.0%

The Ryland Group, Inc.

Capital Goods

Construction Services

-3.9%

-2.0%

-33

-41

HZO

08/11/06

10.6%

MarineMax, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-1.4%

2.4%

-37

-38

EWBC

12/30/05

10.5%

East West Bancorp, Inc.

Financial

Regional Banks

-1.4%

-0.8%

-29

-36

DGX

08/19/05

25.7%

Quest Diagnostics Incorporated

Health Care

Healthcare Facilities

-2.3%

3.0%

-7

-32

PETS

07/07/06

20.1%

PetMed Express, Inc.

Services

Retail (Drugs)

-5.0%

13.2%

-24

-27

COH

07/28/06

9.8%

Coach, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Apparel/Accessories

-1.7%

3.0%

-33

-19

GISX

12/30/05

26.2%

Global Imaging Systems, Inc.

Technology

Office Equipment

-1.3%

2.8%

-13

-17

PNR

07/28/06

4.9%

Pentair, Inc.

Conglomerates

Conglomerates

-0.6%

1.7%

-11

-15

HIBB

07/21/06

21.5%

Hibbett Sporting Goods, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

-3.3%

5.3%

-9

-14

JNJ

02/17/06

9.6%

Johnson & Johnson

Health Care

Major Drugs

-0.4%

0.1%

-13

-12

GBCI

05/05/06

6.1%

Glacier Bancorp, Inc.

Financial

Regional Banks

0.0%

3.5%

-12

-6

HHS

08/18/06

1.6%

Harte-Hanks, Inc.

Services

Printing & Publishing

-0.1%

5.3%

-7

-6

UNH

08/25/06

1.8%

UnitedHealth Group Inc.

Financial

Insurance (Accident & Health)

-0.3%

6.7%

-2

-5

MIK

12/30/05

22.0%

Michaels Stores, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

0.0%

1.4%

-10

-4

CHD

11/18/05

15.5%

Church & Dwight Co., Inc.

Consumer Non-Cyclical

Personal & Household Products

0.0%

3.3%

0

-3

ORLY

09/01/06

0.0%

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

Services

Retail (Specialty Non-Apparel)

0.0%

3.5%

-12

-1

 

 

 

      Optionable stocks from Martin Zweig’s style of investing are listed in Table 3J. 

 

 

Table 3J

Martin Zweig Watch List

Stock

Reference

% Chg

Company

Sector

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

BSC

06/16/06

-1.6%

The Bear Stearns Companies Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-11.1%

-11.1%

-90

-96

MRO

04/28/06

7.1%

Marathon Oil Corporation

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-7.8%

-2.5%

-97

-84

PCP

08/11/06

1.6%

Precision Castparts Corp.

Capital Goods

Aerospace and Defense

-3.2%

-4.1%

-69

-76

SII

04/28/06

0.9%

Smith International, Inc.

Energy

Oil Well Services & Equipment

-7.3%

-3.8%

-88

-75

WHQ

07/14/06

-1.1%

W-H Energy Services, Inc.

Energy

Oil Well Services & Equipment

-8.1%

-4.0%

-74

-70

GS

06/16/06

3.6%

Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

-3.8%

-2.5%

-71

-69

BJS

08/11/06

-4.0%

BJ Services Company

Energy

Oil Well Services & Equipment

-4.5%

-5.0%

-67

-66

MDU

01/27/06

5.9%

MDU Resources Group, Inc.

Utilities

Natural Gas Utilities

-3.2%

-2.4%

-63

-62

PCAR

07/28/06

3.4%

PACCAR Inc

Consumer Cyclical

Auto & Truck Manufacturers

-4.7%

0.5%

-56

-46

ERF

05/05/06

7.1%

ENERPLUS RESOURCES FUND SR G TR UNITS

Energy

Oil & Gas Operations

-1.7%

-0.1%

-27

-32

ESI

11/04/05

13.5%

ITT Educational Services

Services

Schools

-1.9%

0.7%

-51

-31

RL

08/11/06

4.8%

Polo Ralph Lauren Corporation

Consumer Cyclical

Apparel/Accessories

-0.7%

1.9%

-36

-31

DHR

07/21/06

6.3%

Danaher Corporation

Technology

Scientific & Technical Instruments

-1.0%

1.5%

-26

-21

IO

08/25/06

4.2%

Input/Output, Inc.

Technology

Scientific & Technical Instruments

0.0%

4.2%

-18

-17

FSH

05/05/06

6.0%

Fisher Scientific International Inc.

Technology

Scientific & Technical Instruments

-0.8%

2.9%

-10

-13

TROW

07/28/06

9.8%

T. Rowe Price Group, Inc.

Financial

Investment Services

0.0%

7.0%

-3

-1

 

 

 

 

4.0           Results & Conclusions

 

      This section highlights trading performance.  Only a summary is provided here to save space.  Detailed lists of closed trades can be found on the portfolio page of the website.

 

 

Major Indices Year to Date

Relative to SMA 200

200 Day High

Relative to High

50 Day Low

Relative to Low

 

12/30/05

9/2/06

% Chg

09/02/06

Prior Week

DOW

10717.5

11,464.15

6.97%

3.54%

2.34%

11642.7

-1.53%

10739.3

6.75%

NASDAQ

2205.32

2,193.16

-0.55%

-1.41%

-3.95%

2370.88

-7.50%

2020.39

8.55%

S&P500

1248.29

1,311.01

5.02%

2.62%

1.66%

1325.76

-1.11%

1234.49

6.20%

Russell 2K

673.22

721.56

7.18%

0.76%

-2.17%

781.83

-7.71%

671.94

7.38%

NYSE