WiserTrader Monthly

__________________________________________________________________________

 

August 2007                          Prescott, Arizona                     Contact Editor

__________________________________________________________________________

 

 

 

Subscribe to the Weekly Newsletter

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Published the 3rd Tuesday of the month

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Industry Ranking for August

 

___________________________________________________________________________

     Top down stock picking based on the leading stocks in leading industries should be supplemented with additional fundamental and chart analysis.

___________________________________________________________________________

 

 

1.0 Leading Industries

 

     Industry rank is weighted by the percent increase in its index price over the previous 4 weeks.  Industry rank ranges from a high of 1 to a low of 215 based on a list of 215 industries in the Yahoo Finance industry classification system. 

 

     The leading industries for the past month are ranked in Table 1A.  The leftmost column is the rank based on the previous 4-week percentage change.  The second column from the left is ranked by the number of positions an industry is above or below its 4-week average rank.  The third column from the left is the average of the first two columns.  Clicking on the industry name takes you to an industry summary page.  The “C’s” will display the companies in the industry.  The last three columns on the right are the percentage gains for the previous trading day, the previous week and the previous four weeks. 

 

 

 Table 1A

Leading Industries

August 21, 2007

R = Rank

C = Rank of Change

(R+C)/2

Industries

Companies

Last Gain

1 wk Ago Gain

1 mo Gain

1

97

49

Diagnostic Substances

C's

-0.7%

1.0%

8.0%

2

2

2

Recreational Goods, Other

C's

0.7%

7.7%

5.6%

3

77

40

Water Utilities

C's

1.5%

2.3%

3.8%

4

14

9

Regional - Southwest Banks

C's

1.6%

8.6%

3.8%

5

60

33

Medical Equipment Wholesale

C's

1.8%

2.2%

3.1%

6

30

18

Sporting Goods Stores

C's

4.2%

8.0%

2.8%

7

63

35

Confectioners

C's

0.9%

2.8%

2.4%

8

68

38

Resorts & Casinos

C's

2.6%

2.6%

1.2%

9

91

50

Catalog & Mail Order Houses

C's

2.4%

0.8%

1.1%

10

11

11

Regional - Pacific Banks

C's

1.6%

7.0%

1.1%

11

12

12

REIT - Retail

C's

0.6%

6.4%

0.9%

12

26

19

Food Wholesale

C's

0.2%

3.6%

0.5%

13

17

15

REIT - Industrial

C's

1.7%

10.3%

0.3%

14

76

45

Drug Stores

C's

0.5%

0.3%

-0.4%

15

70

43

Research Services

C's

-0.1%

1.2%

-0.4%

16

10

13

Regional - Mid-Atlantic Banks

C's

1.0%

7.6%

-0.6%

17

59

38

Specialized Health Services

C's

-0.2%

1.4%

-0.8%

18

48

33

Medical Laboratories & Research

C's

-0.3%

0.8%

-0.8%

19

114

67

Personal Products

C's

-0.6%

0.9%

-0.9%

20

4

12

REIT - Healthcare Facilities

C's

0.6%

5.8%

-1.0%

21

3

12

Savings & Loans

C's

2.0%

10.8%

-1.3%

22

85

54

Auto Parts Wholesale

C's

-0.7%

2.7%

-1.4%

23

52

38

Healthcare Information Services

C's

0.2%

2.1%

-1.4%

24

19

22

Money Center Banks

C's

0.1%

6.7%

-1.5%

25

35

30

Internet Service Providers

C's

2.2%

4.5%

-1.7%

26

1

14

Music & Video Stores

C's

-0.1%

1.4%

-1.9%

27

32

30

Sporting Goods

C's

0.0%

1.5%

-2.2%

28

22

25

Property & Casualty Insurance

C's

-0.1%

4.8%

-2.2%

29

6

18

Regional - Midwest Banks

C's

0.6%

7.4%

-2.2%

30

149

90

Networking & Communication Devices

C's

1.2%

-0.3%

-2.5%

31

5

18

REIT - Residential

C's

1.6%

9.0%

-2.7%

32

9

21

Regional - Southeast Banks

C's

0.8%

7.9%

-2.7%

33

128

81

Scientific & Technical Instruments

C's

0.9%

0.2%

-2.7%

34

148

91

Specialty Eateries

C's

1.2%

0.5%

-2.8%

35

47

41

Drugs Wholesale

C's

0.5%

2.0%

-3.0%

36

65

51

Accident & Health Insurance

C's

-0.6%

1.2%

-3.1%

37

124

81

Multimedia & Graphics Software

C's

0.2%

-0.3%

-3.1%

38

8

23

REIT - Office

C's

0.7%

6.9%

-3.2%

39

118

79

Beverages - Soft Drinks

C's

-0.8%

-0.7%

-3.2%

40

21

31

Internet Information Providers

C's

1.2%

-0.8%

-3.3%

 

 

     The top 20 leading industries are plotted in Figure 1.

 

 

 

FIGURE 1

 

 

1.1 Stocks in Leading Industries

 

     The two leading industries for the past four weeks were Diagnostic Substances and Recreational Goods.  Stocks from these are listed by price in Tables 1B and 1C.  Leaders for the past week and month have the lowest numbered rankings.  Stocks were omitted because of performance, the exchange traded or data was difficult to obtain.

 

 

 

Table 1B – Diagnostic Substances as of 8/21/07

Symbol

Exchange

Avg. Vol.

Volume

Price

Last % Chg

1wk %Chg

1mo %Chg

1 wk Rank

1 mo Rank

DADE

NasdaqNM

1,310,380

1,561,424

$74.67

0.19%

-0.4%

33.6%

7

1

AMAG

NGM

618,141

159,425

$53.65

-1.40%

0.4%

-6.9%

6

8

SRDX

NasdaqNM

227,955

102,301

$50.09

-1.63%

2.3%

4.0%

5

6

MYGN

NasdaqNM

549,377

870,728

$42.03

-2.53%

2.5%

8.4%

4

3

VIVO

NasdaqNM

283,658

302,487

$24.58

-1.68%

-2.0%

7.9%

8

4

ABAX

NasdaqNM

287,917

92,218

$20.79

1.02%

4.4%

10.2%

2

2

QDEL

NGM

469,927

272,543

$16.12

-0.92%

10.0%

1.1%

1

7

AKRX

NGM

428,258

99,565

$7.52

-1.05%

3.7%

7.3%

3

5

SNUS

NGM

202,719

340,710

$4.08

5.70%

-2.9%

-18.1%

9

10

EPIX

NGM

183,412

65,707

$4.07

-3.78%

-4.2%

-16.9%

10

9

 

 

 

Table 1C – Recreational Goods, Other  as of 8/21/07

Symbol

Exchange

Avg. Vol.

Volume

Price

Last % Chg

1wk %Chg

1mo %Chg

1 wk Rank

1 mo Rank

FOSL

NasdaqNM

530,227

569,049

$33.15

1.13%

12.5%

20.2%

1

1

JADE

NGM

694,870

176,409

$6.38

1.43%

-2.6%

-15.3%

4

7

PGIC

NGM

499,895

85,699

$5.01

0.60%

-5.8%

-6.2%

6

4

LVB

NYSE

71,242

175,000

$30.42

-2.78%

0.6%

-9.8%

3

5

MOV

NYSE

186,677

130,900

$29.13

0.52%

5.5%

-5.9%

2

3

ORNG

NGM

5,975

495

$5.71

7.53%

-3.9%

-12.0%

5

6

SMD

AMEX

34,454

86,700

$0.55

-3.49%

-14.1%

-5.2%

7

2

 

 

     Symbols that are highlighted in blue are optionable.  Normally, the Options Advisory limits itself to stocks priced above $30 because the higher a stock’s price, a smaller percentage change is needed to produce a desired change in the value of an options contract.

 

     Before trading any of these stocks, some due diligence is needed to look at their charts and the fundamentals that you typically use.  These tables were obtained with tools available on the website, as well.  The tools can be used to produce similar tables for any or all of the 215 industries.

 

 

 

 

2.0 Industries Rising in Rank

 

     Table 2A contains the industries that are moving up in position the fastest.  The 20 fastest rising in rank are plotted in Figure 2.

 

 

 

 

 Table 2A

Industries Advancing in Rank the Fastest

August 21, 2007

R = Rank

C = Rank of Change

(R+C)/2

Industries

Companies

Last Gain

1 wk Ago Gain

1 mo Gain

26

1

14

Music & Video Stores

C's

-0.1%

1.4%

-1.9%

2

2

2

Recreational Goods, Other

C's

0.7%

7.7%

5.6%

21

3

12

Savings & Loans

C's

2.0%

10.8%

-1.3%

20

4

12

REIT - Healthcare Facilities

C's

0.6%

5.8%

-1.0%

31

5

18

REIT - Residential

C's

1.6%

9.0%

-2.7%

29

6

18

Regional - Midwest Banks

C's

0.6%

7.4%

-2.2%

52

7

30

REIT - Diversified

C's

1.5%

8.6%

-4.7%

38

8

23

REIT - Office

C's

0.7%

6.9%

-3.2%

32

9

21

Regional - Southeast Banks

C's

0.8%

7.9%

-2.7%

16

10

13

Regional - Mid-Atlantic Banks

C's

1.0%

7.6%

-0.6%

10

11

11

Regional - Pacific Banks

C's

1.6%

7.0%

1.1%

11

12

12

REIT - Retail

C's

0.6%

6.4%

0.9%

67

13

40

REIT - Hotel/Motel

C's

1.5%

5.0%

-6.4%

4

14

9

Regional - Southwest Banks

C's

1.6%

8.6%

3.8%

45

15

30

Recreational Vehicles

C's

2.3%

3.9%

-4.0%

61

16

39

Trucking

C's

-1.2%

2.7%

-5.5%

13

17

15

REIT - Industrial

C's

1.7%

10.3%

0.3%

94

18

56

Property Management

C's

1.6%

2.5%

-8.3%

24

19

22

Money Center Banks

C's

0.1%

6.7%

-1.5%

54

20

37

Electronics Stores

C's

1.3%

3.1%

-4.7%

40

21

31

Internet Information Providers

C's

1.2%

-0.8%

-3.3%

28

22

25

Property & Casualty Insurance

C's

-0.1%

4.8%

-2.2%

81

23

52

Auto Dealerships

C's

0.0%

2.9%

-7.2%

69

24

47

Grocery Stores

C's

4.3%

5.8%

-6.4%

60

25

43

Insurance Brokers

C's

0.6%

2.3%

-5.5%

12

26

19

Food Wholesale

C's

0.2%

3.6%

0.5%

128

27

78

Mortgage Investment

C's

2.6%

7.4%

-10.5%

142

28

85

Investment Brokerage - National

C's

1.2%

6.4%

-10.9%

116

29

73

Toys & Games

C's

-0.9%

-0.2%

-9.8%

6

30

18

Sporting Goods Stores

C's

4.2%

8.0%

2.8%

135

31

83

Long Distance Carriers

C's

-0.5%

-2.1%

-10.7%

27

32

30

Sporting Goods

C's

0.0%

1.5%

-2.2%

51

33

42

Closed-End Fund - Debt

C's

1.1%

2.5%

-4.6%

70

34

52

Publishing - Newspapers

C's

0.3%

0.8%

-6.4%

25

35

30

Internet Service Providers

C's

2.2%

4.5%

-1.7%

84

36

60

Office Supplies

C's

-1.5%

2.0%

-7.5%

100

37

69

Electronics Wholesale

C's

1.1%

1.2%

-8.8%

127

38

83

Rental & Leasing Services

C's

0.8%

0.4%

-10.5%

108

40

74

Closed-End Fund - Equity

C's

1.1%

2.7%

-9.4%

73

39

56

General Entertainment

C's

0.1%

0.4%

-6.7%

 

 

FIGURE 2

 

 

 

3.0 Industries Falling in Rank

 

     A list of the industries declining in rank the fastest is given in Table 3A.  The 20 fastest declining in rank are plotted in Figure 3.

 

 

 

 

 Table 3A

Industries Declining in Rank the Fastest

August 21, 2007

R = Rank

C = Rank of Change

(R+C)/2

Industries

Companies

Last Gain

1 wk Ago Gain

1 mo Gain

161

176

169

Independent Oil & Gas

C's

-0.7%

-2.3%

-12.0%

83

177

130

Aerospace/Defense Products & Services

C's

-0.6%

-0.5%

-7.2%

86

178

132

Conglomerates

C's

0.3%

1.3%

-7.6%

180

179

180

Information Technology Services

C's

-0.2%

-2.5%

-13.6%

59

180

120

Diversified Computer Systems

C's

-0.6%

-2.4%

-5.1%

185

181

183

Air Services, Other

C's

0.7%

-4.2%

-14.3%

112

182

147

Technical Services

C's

2.4%

0.2%

-9.7%

147

183

165

Industrial Equipment & Components

C's

-0.8%

-1.7%

-11.0%

98

184

141

Pollution & Treatment Controls

C's

-1.8%

-0.3%

-8.7%

169

185

177

Major Airlines

C's

5.3%

-1.3%

-12.6%

167

186

177

Industrial Electrical Equipment

C's

0.1%

0.3%

-12.5%

131

187

159

Chemicals - Major Diversified

C's

-0.1%

1.2%

-10.5%

208

188

198

Industrial Metals & Minerals

C's

1.6%

-0.5%

-19.6%

143

189

166

Small Tools & Accessories

C's

0.5%

-1.8%

-10.9%

154

190

172

Specialty Chemicals

C's

0.0%

0.1%

-11.6%

194

191

193

CATV Systems

C's

-0.2%

-3.2%

-16.3%

181

192

187

Major Integrated Oil & Gas

C's

-1.1%

-0.7%

-13.7%

175

193

184

Beverages - Brewers

C's

0.0%

-1.9%

-13.1%

172

194

183

Aluminum

C's

1.0%

0.3%

-12.9%

120

195

158

Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

C's

-0.4%

-0.2%

-10.0%

211

196

204

Steel & Iron

C's

0.7%

-2.5%

-21.5%

191

197

194

Heavy Construction

C's

2.1%

-2.5%

-15.6%

121

198

160

Personal Computers

C's

2.3%

1.5%

-10.1%

190

199

195

Foreign Money Center Banks

C's

0.2%

-1.3%

-15.3%

174

200

187

Oil & Gas Pipelines

C's

-0.4%

-2.2%

-13.0%

126

201

164

Basic Materials Wholesale

C's

0.0%

-2.3%

-10.4%

119

202

161

Application Software

C's

-0.2%

-0.5%

-9.9%

87

203

145

Semiconductor- Memory Chips

C's

0.6%

-4.6%

-7.7%

129

204

167

Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

C's

-1.1%

-1.1%

-10.5%

140

205

173

Tobacco Products, Other

C's

-2.7%

-0.9%

-10.9%

171

206

189

Closed-End Fund - Foreign

C's

0.1%

-1.6%

-12.7%

195

207

201

Foreign Regional Banks

C's

-0.6%

-2.5%

-16.4%

200

208

204

Regional Airlines

C's

2.0%

-11.7%

-17.5%

183

209

196

Shipping

C's

0.3%

-1.7%

-13.9%

188

210

199

Railroads

C's

-1.0%

-1.4%

-14.5%

213

211

212

Silver

C's

-1.1%

-11.9%

-24.5%

210

212

211

Copper

C's

2.0%

-2.2%

-20.8%

163

213

188

Manufactured Housing

C's

-0.1%

1.0%

-12.1%

197

214

206

Gold

C's

0.0%

-4.2%

-16.7%

215

215

215

Diversified Communication Services

C's

-34.9%

-27.9%

-36.9%

 

 

FIGURE 3

 

 

 

4.0 Lagging Industries

 

     Lagging industries for the past month are listed in Table 4A.  A chart showing the rank performance of the 20 worst ranked is shown in Figure 4.

 

 

 

 

 Table 4A

Lagging Industries

August 21, 2007

R = Rank

C = Rank of Change

(R+C)/2

Industries

Companies

Last Gain

1 wk Ago Gain

1 mo Gain

176

101

139

Housewares & Accessories

C's

0.3%

-1.9%

-13.3%

177

126

152

Computers Wholesale

C's

-0.5%

-0.2%

-13.4%

178

159

169

Computer Peripherals

C's

-1.6%

-1.6%

-13.6%

179

175

177

Electronic Equipment

C's

-0.3%

-2.1%

-13.6%

180

179

180

Information Technology Services

C's

-0.2%

-2.5%

-13.6%

181

192

187

Major Integrated Oil & Gas

C's

-1.1%

-0.7%

-13.7%

182

144

163

Marketing Services

C's

0.3%

-0.2%

-13.8%

183

209

196

Shipping

C's

0.3%

-1.7%

-13.9%

184

121

153

Building Materials Wholesale

C's

-1.2%

1.0%

-14.1%

185

181

183

Air Services, Other

C's

0.7%

-4.2%

-14.3%

186

158

172

Business Equipment

C's

0.6%

0.1%

-14.5%

187

120

154

General Building Materials

C's

0.4%

-1.0%

-14.5%

188

210

199

Railroads

C's

-1.0%

-1.4%

-14.5%

189

147

168

Jewelry Stores

C's

0.6%

0.6%

-15.1%

190

199

195

Foreign Money Center Banks

C's

0.2%

-1.3%

-15.3%

191

197

194

Heavy Construction

C's

2.1%

-2.5%

-15.6%

192

125

159

Gaming Activities

C's

1.2%

1.7%

-15.9%

193

94

144

Residential Construction

C's

-0.5%

-2.5%

-16.1%

194

191

193

CATV Systems

C's

-0.2%

-3.2%

-16.3%

195

207

201

Foreign Regional Banks

C's

-0.6%

-2.5%

-16.4%

196

104

150

Cement

C's

-0.3%

-4.6%

-16.6%

197

214

206

Gold

C's

0.0%

-4.2%

-16.7%

198

131

165

Oil &