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WiserTrader Industries Monthly |
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__________________________________________________________________________
February 2008 Prescott, Arizona Contact Editor __________________________________________________________________________
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Published the 3rd Tuesday of the month Subscription to Weekly Newsletter
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Table 1A
Top-Down Portfolio Performance
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Top-Down Trading in 2008 ($7809.07 Initial Capital) |
% Initial Capital |
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Closed trades in 2008 = |
5 |
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Average Trade Size = |
$1,000.00 |
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Total Closed Position Share costs = |
$5,000.00 |
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Gross Profit on Closed Positions = |
-$553.32 |
-7.09% |
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Number of Open Positions = |
2 |
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Cost of Open Positions = |
$2,000.00 |
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Gross Profit on Open Positions in 2008 = |
$23.30 |
0.30% |
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Total Gross Profit = |
-$530.03 |
-6.79% |
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Broker Commission ($9.99/trade) = |
-$59.94 |
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Subscription Cost to date = |
$0.00 |
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Net 2008 Profit After Expenses = |
-$589.97 |
-7.55% |
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Cash = |
$5,454.79 |
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Current Capital * = |
$7,219.10 |
2/19/08 |
* includes stocks bought in 2007 and sold in 2008
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Current stocks are listed in Table 1B. TIP is an inflation-protected US Treasury ETF and FXE is a currency ETF for the Euro. Stop loss settings are explained in Section 2.
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Table 1B
Top-Down Portfolio
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Top - Down Portfolio |
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Stock |
Begin Date |
Begin Price |
Last Date |
Last Price |
Gross P/L (%) |
Status |
Sell stop |
Metrics |
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CNX |
12/31/07 |
71.52 |
1/4/08 |
65.48 |
-8.4% |
closed |
66.22 |
Growth |
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BBY |
12/31/07 |
52.51 |
1/4/08 |
47.48 |
-9.6% |
closed |
48.04 |
Growth |
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PBR |
12/31/07 |
115.24 |
1/16/08 |
98.09 |
-14.9% |
closed |
106.93 |
Growth |
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SRP |
12/31/07 |
16.98 |
1/22/08 |
14.90 |
-12.2% |
closed |
15.28 |
Defensive |
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CPD |
1/16/08 |
17.00 |
1/28/08 |
15.27 |
-10.2% |
closed |
15.30 |
Defensive |
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TIP |
12/31/07 |
105.26 |
2/19/08 |
106.90 |
1.6% |
Buy |
98.17 |
Defensive |
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FXE |
12/31/07 |
146.40 |
2/19/08 |
147.53 |
0.8% |
Buy |
134.42 |
Defensive |
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As of market close on |
2/19/08 |
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Trailing Stop Settings are |
Bearish |
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Net capital for 2008 = |
-7.6% |
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f = |
25.0% |
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Sector and industry rankings are determined by the percent increase in industry composite index values over the previous 4 weeks. Industry rank ranges from a high of 1 to a low of 215 based on a list of 215 industries in the Yahoo Finance industry classification system. Sectors rankings based on the average monthly gain of their industries are listed in Table 1C. The leading sector for the month was basic materials.
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Table 1C
Sector Rank
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S Rank |
Sector * |
Last |
1 wk |
2 wks |
3 wks |
4 wks |
1 mo |
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1 |
Basic Materials |
3.1% |
4.6% |
-1.9% |
4.1% |
5.2% |
12.3% |
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2 |
Transportation |
-0.2% |
-0.7% |
0.3% |
4.1% |
5.1% |
9.0% |
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3 |
Consumer Cyclical |
0.4% |
1.1% |
-1.7% |
2.5% |
5.3% |
7.2% |
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4 |
Industrial Goods |
0.7% |
0.7% |
-3.9% |
4.1% |
5.2% |
6.0% |
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5 |
Energy |
2.1% |
4.1% |
-1.2% |
2.0% |
0.8% |
5.8% |
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6 |
Financial |
-0.6% |
-0.4% |
-5.8% |
2.4% |
9.5% |
5.1% |
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7 |
Services |
0.0% |
-0.5% |
-2.7% |
3.1% |
4.8% |
4.6% |
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8 |
Conglomerates |
-0.1% |
1.3% |
-3.5% |
2.8% |
1.7% |
2.2% |
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9 |
Consumer Noncyclical |
0.4% |
1.4% |
-2.3% |
1.8% |
1.2% |
2.0% |
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10 |
Technology |
-0.8% |
-0.1% |
-3.4% |
2.3% |
0.6% |
-0.7% |
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11 |
Utilities |
0.2% |
0.9% |
-3.2% |
4.1% |
-2.4% |
-0.8% |
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12 |
Healthcare |
0.1% |
0.6% |
-2.2% |
2.0% |
-2.5% |
-2.1% |
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Within the basic materials sector aluminum is ranked at the top, being 3rd out of 215 industries, as listed in Table 1D. Nonmetallic mineral mining is next, in the 5th position followed by industrial metals & minerals in the 6th position.
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Table 1D
Basic Materials Industries
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Rank |
Industry |
Today |
1 wk |
2 wks |
3 wks |
4 wks |
1 mo |
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12 |
Agricultural Chemicals |
3.3% |
4.8% |
0.5% |
3.7% |
7.3% |
17.1% |
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3 |
Aluminum |
1.2% |
7.9% |
-1.8% |
9.7% |
5.2% |
22.3% |
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37 |
Chemicals - Major Diversified |
1.0% |
1.9% |
-1.4% |
2.6% |
7.4% |
10.7% |
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15 |
Copper |
5.1% |
6.5% |
-0.6% |
9.4% |
-0.5% |
15.3% |
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110 |
Gold |
5.2% |
2.2% |
0.7% |
-6.0% |
6.8% |
3.3% |
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6 |
Industrial Metals & Minerals |
4.4% |
8.5% |
-6.7% |
10.7% |
7.6% |
20.6% |
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5 |
Nonmetallic Mineral Mining |
3.0% |
5.4% |
-0.8% |
3.4% |
11.9% |
21.0% |
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152 |
Silver |
4.7% |
1.6% |
1.8% |
-6.3% |
3.2% |
0.1% |
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62 |
Specialty Chemicals |
1.2% |
2.3% |
-1.5% |
4.5% |
2.8% |
8.2% |
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54 |
Steel & Iron |
3.5% |
6.6% |
-9.4% |
10.8% |
1.9% |
9.0% |
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68 |
Synthetics |
1.1% |
3.5% |
-1.6% |
2.4% |
3.3% |
7.7% |
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Clicking on the C’s next to aluminum brings up a list of 7 companies that can be copied and pasted into the “Companies” spreadsheet, shown in Table 1E. Each company meets average daily volume and trading exchange requirements and most have shown a respectable gain over the past month.
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Table 1E
Aluminum Companies
As of 1-19-08