|
Stock Portfolios
Reviewed
Weekly
|
A Growth-Value portfolio and the Price Channel
portfolio are included in the
weekly newsletter with a wide selection of
additional watch lists. Stocks are selected for the Top-Down
portfolio in the free monthly newsletter. You can sign up for
the both newsletters here where both short term and long term
positions are suggested. Newsletter Signup
Four Trial Issues
Goals:
The goal is to double your capital in
three years. We attempt to do this by increasing your capital at a
compounded rate of 26% a year. The portfolios typically
maintain a variable size list of growth and value stocks.
At least one new selection is added each month. A hedged list
of stocks is provided weekly for frequent traders. |
Performance
Stock Trades
for
2008 - listed below
Short
Term Trades
Based on Options Candidate List
|
Stocks for 11
Weeks |
|
Weekly Trading |
|
3.3% Average
Profit |
|
70% winning
trades |
|
Total of 50
trades |
Growth-Value Stocks in 2008
|
Growth-Value
Trading in 2008 ($10972.75 Initial Capital) |
% Initial
Capital |
|
Closed
trades in 2008 = |
16 |
|
|
Average
Trade Size = |
$1,000.00 |
|
|
Total Closed
Position Share costs = |
$16,000.00 |
|
|
Gross Profit
on Closed Positions = |
-$1,100.80 |
-10.03% |
|
Number of
Open Positions = |
3 |
|
|
Cost of Open
Positions = |
$3,000.00 |
|
|
Gross Profit
on Open Positions in 2008 = |
$189.82 |
1.73% |
|
Total Gross
Profit = |
-$910.98 |
-8.30% |
|
Broker
Commission ($9.99/trade) = |
-$259.74 |
|
|
Subscription
Cost to date = |
-$25.00 |
|
|
Net 2008
Profit After Expenses = |
-$1,195.72 |
-10.90% |
|
Cash =
|
$6,342.60 |
|
|
Current
Capital = |
$9,777.03 |
5/2/08 |
Top-Down Stocks in 2008
|
Top-Down
Trading in 2008 ($9809.07 Initial Capital) |
% Initial
Capital |
|
Closed
trades in 2008 = |
16 |
|
|
Average
Trade Size = |
$1,000.00 |
|
|
Total Closed
Position Share costs = |
$16,000.00 |
|
|
Gross Profit
on Closed Positions = |
-$864.26 |
-8.81% |
|
Number of
Open Positions = |
1 |
|
|
Cost of Open
Positions = |
$1,000.00 |
|
|
Gross Profit
on Open Positions in 2008 = |
$13.26 |
0.14% |
|
Total Gross
Profit = |
-$851.00 |
-8.68% |
|
Broker
Commission ($9.99/trade) = |
-$269.73 |
|
|
Subscription
Cost to date = |
$0.00 |
|
|
Net 2008
Profit After Expenses = |
-$1,120.73 |
-11.43% |
|
Cash =
|
$7,399.34 |
|
|
Current
Capital = |
$8,688.34 |
5/2/08 |
Price Channel Portfolio in
2008
|
Price
Channel Trading in 2008 ($11000 Initial Capital) |
% Initial
Capital |
|
Closed
trades in 2008 = |
22 |
|
|
Average
Trade Size = |
$1,000.00 |
|
|
Total Closed
Position Share costs = |
$22,000.00 |
|
|
Gross Profit
on Closed Positions = |
-$94.72 |
-0.9% |
|
Number of
Open Positions = |
5 |
|
|
Cost of Open
Positions = |
$5,000.00 |
|
|
Gross Profit
on Open Positions in 2008 = |
$284.16 |
2.6% |
|
Total Gross
Profit = |
$189.43 |
1.72% |
|
Broker
Commission ($9.99/trade) = |
-$459.54 |
|
|
Subscription
Cost to date = |
-$25.00 |
|
|
Net 2008
Profit After Expenses = |
-$295.11 |
-2.7% |
|
Cash =
|
$5,810.55 |
|
|
Current
Capital = |
$10,729.89 |
5/2/08 |
|
Major
Indices Year to Date |
Relative
to |
Relative
to |
|
Index |
12/31/07 |
5/3/08 |
% Chg |
SMA 200 |
52 wk
High |
|
DOW |
13264.82 |
13,058.20 |
-1.56% |
0.10% |
-7.81% |
|
NASDAQ |
2652.28 |
2,476.99 |
-6.61% |
-1.79% |
-13.37% |
|
S&P500 |
1468.36 |
1,413.90 |
-3.71% |
-1.26% |
-9.66% |
|
NYSE |
9740.32 |
9,451.17 |
-2.97% |
-0.23% |
-8.34% |
|
Russell
2K |
766.03 |
725.74 |
-5.26% |
-3.47% |
-15.19% |
|
Average |
|
|
-4.02% |
|
-10.88% |
Value
Filters
|
Metric Description |
Stock Value That Reduced Risk of Loss * |
Corresponding Ratio of Stock Value to Industry Value * |
|
Price to
Earnings (PE) |
(7) 10 to 15 |
0.5 to 0.75 (1) |
|
Price to
Book (PB) |
< 1 |
0.5 to 0.75 (1) |
|
Price to
Sales (PS) |
< 0.5 (1) |
0.5 to 0.75 (1) |
|
Return on
Equity (ROE) |
10 to 20 |
2 to 3 |
|
Price to
Free Cash Flow (P-FCF) |
< 5 (10) |
(0.5) 0.75 to 1 |
|
* Numbers in parenthesis are to extend
the range. |
Growth-Momentum Filters
|
Description |
(1) Stock Candidate |
(2) Down-market
|
|
Stocks |
Long Positions |
Short Positions |
|
Market direction |
Up, Sideways |
Down, Sideways |
|
Price |
> $15 |
> $30 |
|
12 month EPS growth |
> 80% |
< 20% |
|
Relative Strength |
26 wk > 90% |
26 wk < 20% |
|
Price within |
5% of 52wk high |
5% of 52 wk low |
|
Exchanges |
NASDAQ, NYSE |
NASDAQ, NYSE |
Top-Down Filter
|
The top-down filter
selects stocks in leading sectors and industries that show
growth in market share, sales and earnings. |
Price Channel Filter
|
The
Price Channel filter selects trending stocks whose prices
fit within a rising (long positions) or falling (short
positions) price channel. |
|
Risk: The value filters are new.
Testing is ongoing. |
|
|
