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Prosper in 2009

 

 

 

Growth Momentum Stock Picks

 

Ranked by 28-Period Williams %R as of 02/20/09 *

Stock

Reference Date

% Chg

Gain in 2009

Company

Industry

% from Max

Monthly % Gain

%R1

%R2

None this week

 

 
 
Key

Passed Recent Filter

Price declined by half of stop loss setting

Oversold  re  Williams %R  (%R2 = most recent)

Overbought re Williams %R  (%R2 = most recent)

 

Growth Momentum Stock Screening Criteria

        The approach focuses on companies with proven records of earnings growth while still in a stage of earnings acceleration.  It was developed by a well know author.  When screening for quarterly earning increases, it is important to compare a quarter to the same quarter last year. Strong industry fundamentals should show up for a number of companies.  The system tries to identify the strong companies leading the current market cycle.  The screen specifies a minimum annual growth rate of 25% in earnings per share from continuing operations over the last five years.

     A stock needs a catalyst to start a strong price advance. It is possible to study the companies passing the preliminary screens to see if any catalysts exist.  A second consideration that the author emphasizes is that investors should pursue stocks showing strong upward price movements. The author says that stocks that seem too high-priced and risky most often go even higher, while stocks that seem cheap often go even lower.  The author's newspaper highlights stocks within 10% of their 52-week high and this was the criterion established for this screen.  The author found that 95% of the winning stocks had fewer than 25 million shares outstanding, while the median for the group was 4.6 million.  We used a screen for stocks to have fewer then 20 million shares outstanding. 

     Relative strength compares the performance of a stock relative to the market as a whole.  The author recommends only looking for stocks with a percentage rank of 70% or better—stocks that have performed better than 70% of all stocks.  A stock needs a few institutional sponsors for it to show above-market performance. Three to 10 institutional owners are suggested as a reasonable minimum number.  The final aspect of the system looks at the overall market direction. 

     Information is provided by the American Association of Individual Investors.

 

 

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Weekly Stock Market Summary

 For the Week Ending
 April 25, 2009
 
 Major Averages
 Dow Jones       - 0.68%
 NASDAQ          + 1.27%
 S&P 500 Index   - 0.39%
 NYSE            - 0.22%
 Russell 2000    - 0.13%
 
 3 month Libor     1.10%
 30 Year Bond      3.876%
 10 Year Note      2.996%
 Fed Funds Rate    0.250%
 
 Leading Industries
 For the Past Week: (C’s=Companies)

Textile Industrial

C's

28.8%

Resorts & Casinos

C's

18.8%

REIT - Hotel/Motel

C's

17.8%

Paper & Paper Products

C's

15.1%

Silver

C's

12.9%

Gold

C's

11.3%

Lumber, Wood Production

C's

11.2%

Lodging

C's

10.3%

Small Tools & Accessories

C's

10.1%

Air Services, Other

C's

10.1%

 
 Lagging Industries
 For the Past Week: (C’s=Companies)

Technical & System Software

C's

-5.2%

Education & Training Services

C's

-5.3%

Regional - Southeast Banks

C's

-6.7%

Research Services

C's

-6.8%

Broadcasting - Radio

C's

-6.9%

Copper

C's

-7.2%

Farm Products

C's

-7.7%

Surety & Title Insurance

C's

-7.7%

Diagnostic Substances

C's

-8.8%

Music & Video Stores

C's

-12.2%

 
 Leading Industries
 For the Past Month: (C’s=Companies)

Resorts & Casinos

C's

64.4%

REIT - Hotel/Motel

C's

58.8%

Textile Industrial

C's

40.2%

Auto Parts

C's

36.5%

Credit Services

C's

35.5%

Real Estate Development

C's

35.3%

REIT - Retail

C's

34.0%

Lodging

C's

32.7%

Major Airlines

C's

29.2%

Recreational Vehicles

C's

29.1%

 
 Lagging Industries
 For the Past Month: (C’s=Companies)

Water Utilities

C's

-5.4%

Drug Manufacturers - Major

C's

-5.5%

Discount, Variety Stores

C's

-5.6%

Agricultural Chemicals

C's

-6.8%

Tobacco Products, Other

C's

-7.0%

Drug Delivery

C's

-7.2%

Diagnostic Substances

C's

-10.7%

Gold

C's

-11.0%

Education & Training Services

C's

-13.0%

Farm Products

C's

-14.2%

 
 Crude Oil                $51.49
 
 US Dollar Index          84.761
 
 Gold over the Past 30 Days
 USD                      - 3.25%
 CHF                      - 1.19%
 CAD                      - 3.90%
 GBP                      - 4.98%
 EUR                      - 0.42%
 JPY                      - 4.00%
 

 

    * Updated on Saturday.  

 

 

 

 

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